2018 Full NBA Mock Draft

So the NBA Draft is today and for you basketball fans out there, I apologize for not going nearly as in depth about this as I did with the NFL Draft but as I’m sure you’ve noticed, I’m not nearly as good with basketball as football. Also, I’m not going to lie, I didn’t do nearly as much research before doing this as I should have. I’ve been VERY busy with some things that may or may not be in the works right now as well as being a cashier at a liquor store. So if you’ve been following this draft and my analysis is just flat out wrong, that’s why. But I’m going to do my best with this one and I’m going to do the entire 2-round NBA mock. I’m only doing explanations for the lottery picks (1-14) because really those are the only picks anyone cares about. So with that, let’s get to the mock.

Round 1

1. Phoenix Suns-DeAndre Ayton-C-Arizona

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This is pretty much the only guarantee I can make with this draft because it’s basically a foregone conclusion that Ayton is going to be the top pick to the Suns. He’s the best prospect and probably the safest, too. I liken him to DeMarcus Cousins minus the mean streak (that we know of) and I think at worst he’s going to be a quality starter.

2. Sacramento Kings-Marvin Bagley-F-Duke

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Marvin Bagley was the preseason pick to be the top selection in the draft but with the rise of Ayton and Bagley not being as amazing as everybody thought (he was still really good, though). But Bagley’s potential is too high to pass on so I think the Kings will take their shot here.

3. Atlanta Hawks-Jaren Jackson-F-Michigan State

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The Hawks have nothing right now and Jaren Jackson is among the best prospects in this draft. Jackson needs to put on some muscle but his basketball skills are top-notch. He might get bullied in the paint a little bit at first but if he can fill out, there may not be a bigger threat in the post.

4. Memphis Grizzlies-Luka Doncic-G/F-Slovenia

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This is the biggest question mark of the draft. Yeah, Doncic is 6’8 with really good handles, but his competition is trash. Also I guess he’s getting fat? I don’t know, like I said at the outset, I haven’t done as much due diligence as I probably should have. But from what I understand, Doncic could be another Ben Simmons, but he could also be another Andrea Bargnani.

5. Dallas Mavericks-Mo Bamba-C-Texas

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Bamba’s potential is off the charts but he’s raw as all Hell. He’s going to need a year or two before he’s really ready for the big time. But he’s a 7-footer with a 7’9 wingspan, which at worst he’s just going to block every single shot. Dirk Nowitzki’s not getting any younger and there’s nobody better for Bamba to try and model his game after.

6. Orlando Magic-Michael Porter-F-Missouri

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We really don’t know anything about Porter since he missed basically his entire season at Missouri with a back injury. He was the number 1 recruit last year, though, and that doesn’t just get handed out for nothing so I think the Magic, who really have no marketable talent right now, should take a chance on him.

7. Chicago Bulls-Trae Young-G-Oklahoma

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Young was the story of the college basketball world last year as his shooting numbers were just stupid. However he faded down the stretch and people are really wondering whether he’s another Jimmer Fredette. Quite frankly, I think he’s going to be another Monta Ellis but better passer (Young’s a better passer than people give him credit for).

8. Cleveland Cavaliers (from Boston Celtics through Brooklyn Nets)-Mikal Bridges-F-Villanova

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Despite Jalen Brunson garnering all the attention, Bridges is the better prospect. With Cleveland expecting to lose LeBron James, they need to nail this pick in order to remain relevant. Bridges, of course, is far from being LeBron James, but he’s a similar style of player and has the potential to be a star in this league.

9. New York Knicks-Wendell Carter-C-Duke

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I mentioned this the last time I did a mock, but when Duke came to Indiana last year, I actually came away more impressed by Carter than I was by Bagley and I think he has the potential to be the steal of this draft. Aside from Kristaps Porzingis, who may not even want to be there much longer, the Knicks don’t have shit from a talent standpoint so adding a bruiser like Carter could give them a very dominant duo down low.

10. Philadelphia 76ers (from Los Angeles Lakers)-Collin Sexton-G-Alabama

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Full disclosure, I actually like Collin Sexton a bit more than Trae Young, mainly because I think I trust Sexton a little more. I think he’s the safest of the two and he’s a better passer. He doesn’t have Young’s shooting ability, which is why I think Young will go higher, but Sexton is more of a traditional point guard that could be a real asset to the 76ers, especially if Markelle Fultz is as broken as everyone says he is.

11. Charlotte Hornets-Kevin Knox-F-Kentucky

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Knox was a high-ranking recruit but he didn’t do as much at Kentucky as everyone expected. He’s a bit raw right now and pretty much everything we have on him is projection at this point. But there’s no doubting his talent and if developed properly, he could be the perfect sidekick for Kemba Walker in Charlotte.

12. Los Angeles Clippers (from Detroit Pistons)-Shai Gilgeous-Alexander-G-Kentucky

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This is a guy whose draft stock is rising a lot lately. In fact, there are rumors that the Raptors are so enamored with Gilgeous-Alexander that they are trying to trade into the top 10 to land him (the Raptors do not have a pick in this year’s draft). Since they don’t have a pick, a trade to land this guy would likely cost a star player such as Kyle Lowry or DeMar DeRozan. If a team is that in love with a guy, there’s definitely more worth delving into.

13. Los Angeles Clippers-Miles Bridges-F-Michigan State

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Miles Bridges was my favorite player in college basketball, but as far as NBA talents go, he’s a little raw. There is definitely something to work with, though, as he took over plenty of games while in East Lansing. If he can translate that over to the NBA, the Clippers could find themselves with a Hell of a player.

14. Denver Nuggets-Lonnie Walker-G-Miami (FL)

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Full disclosure, I know nothing about this guy, but that hair is so absurd that he has to be a lottery pick. Not as nuts as Elfrid Payton’s, but it’s pretty damn close But he’s rated pretty highly on all draft boards so he’s probably a guy who could help the Nuggets in the short and long term.

15. Washington Wizards-De’Anthony Melton-G-USC

16. Phoenix Suns (from Miami Heat)-Zhaire Smith-G-Texas Tech

17. Milwaukee Bucks-Robert Williams-C-Texas A&M

18. San Antonio Spurs-Kevin Huerter-F-Maryland

19. Atlanta Hawks (from Minnesota Timberwolves)-Troy Brown-F-Oregon

20. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Oklahoma City Thunder)-Elie Okobo-G-France

21. Utah Jazz-Jacob Evans-F-Cincinnati

22. Chicago Bulls (from New Orleans Pelicans)-Mitchell Robinson-F-N/A

23. Indiana Pacers-Keita Bates-Diop-F-Ohio State

24. Portland Trail Blazers-Melvin Frazier-G-Tulane

25. Los Angeles Lakers (from Cleveland Cavaliers)-Khyri Thomas-G-Creighton

26. Philadelphia 76ers-Shake Milton-G-SMU

27. Boston Celtics-Grayson Allen-G-Duke

28. Golden State Warriors-Donte Divincenzo-G-Villanova

29. Brooklyn Nets-Dzanan Musa-F-Bosnia and Herzegovina

30. Atlanta Hawks (from Houston Rockets)-Jerome Robinson-G-Boston College

Round 2

31. Phoenix Suns-Jalen Brunson-G-Villanova

32. Memphis Grizzlies-Devonte Graham-G-Kansas

33. Atlanta Hawks-Chandler Hutchison-F-Boise State

34. Dallas Mavericks-Aaron Holiday-G-UCLA

35. Orlando Magic-Anfernee Simons-G-IMG

36. Sacramento Kings-Landry Shamet-G-Wichita State

37. New York Knicks (from Chicago Bulls)-Mo Wagner-F-Michigan

38. Philadelphia 76ers (from Brooklyn Nets)-Bruce Brown-F-Miami (FL)

39. Philadelphia 76ers (from New York Knicks)-Gary Trent Jr-G-Duke

40. Brooklyn Nets (from Los Angeles Lakers)-Jarred Vanderbilt-F-Kentucky

41. Orlando Magic (from Charlotte Hornets)-Rodions Kurucs-F-Latvia

42. Detroit Pistons-Gary Clark-F-Cincinnati

43. Denver Nuggets (from Los Angeles Clippers)-Josh Okogie-F-Georgia Tech

44. Washington Wizards-Trevon Duval-G-Duke

45. Brooklyn Nets (from Milwaukee Bucks)-Omari Spellman-C-Villanova

46. Houston Rockets (from Miami Heat)-Kenrich Williams-F-TCU

47. Los Angeles Lakers (from Denver Nuggets)-Hamidou Diallo-F-Kentucky

48. Minnesota Timberwolves-Justin Jackson-F-Maryland

49. San Antonio Spurs-Rawle Alkins-G-Arizona

50. Indiana Pacers-Ray Spalding-C-Louisville

51. New Orleans Pelicans-Tony Carr-G-Penn State

52. Utah Jazz-Malik Newman-G-Kansas

53. Oklahoma City Thunder-Vince Edwards-F-Purdue

54. Dallas Mavericks (from Portland Trail Blazers)-Isaac Bonga-F-Germany

55. Charlotte Hornets (from Cleveland Cavaliers)-Chimezie Metu-C-USC

56. Philadelphia 76ers-Devon Hall-G-Virginia

57. Oklahoma City Thunder (from Boston Celtics)-Svi Mykhailiuk-F-Kansas

58. Denver Nuggets (from Golden State Warriors)-Alize Johnson-F-Missouri State

59. Phoenix Suns (from Toronto Raptors)-Jevon Carter-G-West Virginia

60. Philadelphia 76ers (from Houston Rockets)-Kevin Hervey-F-UT Arlington

That’s going to do it for this NBA Mock Draft. I’ll try and get a recap out after the actual event is over, but I can’t promise anything since I’ll be working during it (I’m going to try and stream it on my phone but I won’t be able to get instant reactions onto paper like I did for the NFL Draft). Let me know how you think this draft is going to go in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.

2018 NFL Draft: Full Recap

This is the last I’ll post of the 2018 NFL Draft, which is one of my favorite sporting events of the year and it never ceases to disappoint. With all 256 picks made, I’ve gotten a chance to scour them all and decide what I think of each team’s class, which players got screwed, which players god overdrafted, etc., etc. So let’s get to the recap.

Best Draft Class: Green Bay Packers

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The Packers had the most picks (12) going into this Draft and they made very good use of them. This class is getting bonus points for the wheeling and dealing they did. First, they acquired the Saints’ 2019 first round pick to move down, then they gave up one of their third rounders to move back up and get a cornerback in Louisville’s Jaire Alexander. Then they doubled down on corner in round 2 and got a first round talent Iowa’s Josh Jackson, who led the nation in picks last season. The secondary was such a huge need for the Packers that I don’t mind that they hit the same position multiple times, especially considering both players they got were first round-caliber prospects. Aside from Haha Clinton-Dix, that unit is garbage. I would have liked to have seen them get another safety, but if I’m a Packers fan, I’m more than happy with the corners they got. The Packers also got great value for their wide receivers in an effort to find a replacement for Jordy Nelson as they landed Missouri’s J’Mon Moore in the 4th and Notre Dame’s Equanimeous St. Brown in the 6th. Here’s every pick the Packers made.

18. Jaire Alexander-CB-Louisville

45. Josh Jackson-CB-Iowa

88. Oren Burks-LB-Vanderbilt

133. J’Mon Moore-WR-Missouri

138. Cole Madison-OG-Washington State

172. JK Scott-P-Alabama

174. Marques Valdes-Scantling-WR-South Florida

207. Equanimeous St. Brown-WR-Notre Dame

232. James Looney-EDGE-California

239. Hunter Bradley-LS-Mississippi State

248. Kendall Donnerson-EDGE-Southeast Missouri State

Honorable Mentions: Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos, New York Giants, Washington Redskins

Worst Draft Class: Oakland Raiders

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Jon Gruden’s first Draft in 10 years didn’t go great in my opinion. First, he traded down to take Kolton Miller. I liked the trade down and I like Miller, but there were far more pressing needs for the Raiders than offensive line and there were some damn good players available. There were a ton of needs on the defensive side of the ball, pretty much every position could have used a pick dedicated to it. When the Raiders took Miller, the following defenders were available: Tremaine Edmunds, Derwin James, Jaire Alexander, Leighton Vander Esch, and Rashaan Evans, all of whom would have started immediately on that defense. Then in the second round they took a defensive tackle named PJ Hall. At first I thought it was a typo and they meant NC State’s BJ Hill and I thought to myself “it’s good they addressed DT, and I like Hill, though I think this is a little rich for him.” Turns out it wasn’t a typo and they drafted some guy named PJ Hall from Sam Houston State, a player I had never heard of. They traded up for another tackle in the third, this time North Carolina A&T’s Brandon Parker, a guy I think I heard of in passing but never paid much attention to. I don’t know why they needed to trade up for a tackle from NC A&T of all places, but what do I know, I’m a blogger who lives in his parents’ basement. They took Arden Key in the third round, which I thought was a good value, but he’s a guy that has struggled with drug abuse and has failed to maximize his potential and I’m not so sure the Raiders would be the best place for him, especially with the eventual move to Las Vegas. They get bonus points for landing Maurice Hurst in the 5th round, though, so that keeps this Draft from being an utter shit show. There’s talent in this class, don’t get me wrong, and I think some of the guys taken later in this class could wind up being steals, but I thought the value of a lot of these picks, especially given who else at their positions were available, was pretty poor. I can’t in good faith give this class a good grade out of the gates. Here’s the rest of the class.

15. Kolton Miller-OT-UCLA

57. PJ Hall-DL-Sam Houston State

65. Brandon Parker-OT-North Carolina A&T

87. Arden Key-EDGE-LSU

110. Nick Nelson-CB-Wisconsin

140. Maurice Hurst-DL-Michigan

173. Johnny Townsend-P-Florida

216. Azeem Victor-LB-Washington

228. Marcell Ateman-WR-Oklahoma State

Honorable Mention: San Francisco 49ers, Los Angeles Rams, New York Jets

Best Bargain: Maurice Hurst-DL-Michigan-Oakland Raiders (140th Overall)

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If I’ve said it once, I’ve said it a thousand times during this draft process, but Hurst fell in this draft due to being diagnosed with a heart condition at the Combine. I expected him to fall out of the first round, but I didn’t expect him to fall all the way to the 5th. Oakland got a tremendous value with this pick. I at one point had Hurst as the 12th best player on my Big Board. His reaction to the snap is basically perfect. As soon as the center even flinches his wrist, Hurst is off. The only knocks against Hurst for me was that he was a bit undersized (which didn’t bother me so much because Aaron Donald is considered undersized) and I felt that he would often be so consumed with the guy who is trying to block him that he’s not looking in the backfield to see where the play is going. But that’s something that’s easily coachable. The Raiders got a goddamn steal with this kid, which significantly helps what was otherwise a weak class.

Honorable Mentions: Bo Scarbrough-RB-Alabama-Dallas Cowboys (236th Overall), Shaquem Griffin-LB-Central Florida-Seattle Seahawks (141st Overall), Deshon Elliott-S-Texas-Baltimore Ravens (190th Overall), Josh Sweat-EDGE-Florida State-Philadelphia Eagles (130th Overall), Tyrell Crosby-OT-Oregon-Detroit Lions (153rd Overall)

Biggest Reach: Terrell Edmunds-S-Virginia Tech-Pittsburgh Steelers (28th Overall)

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I had 8 safeties rated ahead of Terrell Edmunds, including one that went undrafted (Quin Blanding). Yet the Steelers still made him their first round pick, 28th overall. In fact, Edmunds was so surprised he was taken by the Steelers, he was in the bathroom when they called him. He had been sitting in the green room with his brother Tremaine, who was taken 12 picks earlier by the Bills and despite not technically having been invited to the green room, he still got to hold his jersey with the commissioner and Ryan Shazier because they had the Edmunds Steelers jersey lying around for his brother. It made for a nice story, but the Steelers could’ve gotten this guy in the third, maybe even the fourth round.

Honorable Mention: PJ Hall-DL-Sam Houston State-Oakland Raiders (57th Overall), Brandon Parker-OT-North Carolina A&T-Oakland Raiders (65th Overall), Joseph Noteboom-OT-TCU-Los Angeles Rams (89th Overall)

Notable Undrafted Free Agents and Where They’ve Signed

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Every year there are extremely talented players that get overlooked. Here are just a few.

Simmie Cobbs Jr-WR-Indiana-Washington Redskins

JT Barrett-QB-Ohio State-Indianapolis Colts

Josh Adams-RB-Notre Dame-Philadelphia Eagles

Tegray Scales-LB-Indiana-Los Angeles Rams

Akrum Wadley-RB-Iowa-Tennessee Titans

Allen Lazard-WR-Iowa State-Jacksonville Jaguars

Chase Litton-QB-Marshall-Kansas City Chiefs

Nic Shimonek-QB-Texas Tech-Los Angeles Chargers

Kurt Benkert-QB-Virginia-Atlanta Falcons

Kyle Allen-QB-Houston-Carolina Panthers

Kevin Toliver-CB-LSU-Chicago Bears

Jeff Holland-LB-Auburn-Denver Broncos

Davin Bellamy-EDGE-Georgia-Houston Texans

Riley Ferguson-QB-Memphis-Miami Dolphins

Hercules Mata’afa-DL-Washington State-Minnesota Vikings

Tarvarus McFadden-CB-Florida State-San Francisco 49ers

Holton Hill-CB-Texas-Minnesota Vikings

And those are just the big names that didn’t hear their name called. There were hundreds of others. But as I said in yesterday’s blog, just because you weren’t drafted doesn’t mean your NFL dream is dead. Not by a long shot.

The Quarterbacks That Were Taken

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Football’s most important position is definitely quarterback and there was no shortage of signal callers in this year’s class. Here’s every QB that was selected.

1. Baker Mayfield-Oklahoma-Cleveland Browns

3. Sam Darnold-USC-New York Jets

7. Josh Allen-Wyoming-Buffalo Bills

10. Josh Rosen-UCLA-Arizona Cardinals

32. Lamar Jackson-Louisville-Baltimore Ravens

76. Mason Rudolph-Oklahoma State-Pittsburgh Steelers

108. Kyle Lauletta-Richmond-New York Giants

171. Mike White-Western Kentucky-Dallas Cowboys

199. Luke Falk-Washington State-Tennessee Titans

203. Tanner Lee-Nebraska-Jacksonville Jaguars

219. Danny Etling-LSU-New England Patriots

220. Alex McGough-FIU-Seattle Seahawks

249. Logan Woodside-Toledo-Cincinnati Bengals

Of the 13 quarterbacks, all 10 from my rankings ended up getting drafted, a first for me (last year I had 9 out of 10, UPenn’s Alek Torgersen being the lone undrafted quarterback). Of the 3 that weren’t ranked, Lee, Etling, and McGough, none of them probably would’ve cracked my “first 5 out.” Lee is the most talented of the three but his play at Nebraska was far below his talent. I’ve seen Alex McGough (pronounced “Mah-GOO”) play a couple times, since Indiana and FIU have a home-and-home series and I’ve gotta say, I don’t know what Seattle sees in him. He just looked lost every time I watched him play (which, to be fair, was only against IU, which has a pretty solid defense). The Patriots and Saints were two teams I figured would be going after a quarterback in the middle rounds as hard as anybody, but the Saints didn’t take any and the Patriots took a guy that had defenders stacking the box to stop the run because they knew he wasn’t a threat. Perhaps both teams weren’t high on this year’s class and elected to try and find their Hall of Fame quarterbacks’ successors in next year’s Draft.

Most Confusing Draft Day Decision

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The Draft Day decision that confused me more than any other was the Cowboys not electing to take a wide receiver until the third round, and even then they took a pretty raw Michael Gallup out of Colorado State. They did trade a 6th rounder to the Rams for Tavon Austin, but Austin hasn’t lived up to his 8th Overall pick billing and has been a guy that you just get creative with rather than a real threat to the defense. They also didn’t address pass rusher until the 4th round with another raw player in Kansas’ Dorance Armstrong Jr. I know they took Taco Charlton in the first round last year but pass rusher is still a big need, especially if they can’t sign DeMarcus Lawrence long-term. Overall I thought the talent the Cowboys got in the Draft was good, I just think they had their positional priorities out of whack a bit.

Secretly Genius Draft Day Decision

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A move that didn’t make sense to me at first but has really grown on me is Bill Belichick’s decision to take Georgia runningback Sony Michel with the 31st pick. I was a little taken aback by the decision at first since the Patriots had a very crowded runningback room, but then I thought some more about it. Only one of Jeremy Hill and Mike Gillislee is going to remain on the roster as the goalline power back. James White is just the pass catcher who never gets carries. Rex Burkhead is a wildcard who is only back on a 2-year deal. The Patriots were at their best last season when Dion Lewis was torching defenses in the second half with his all-around style of play. Michel is a very similar style of player and he was the most explosive player on Georgia’s offense that was a quarter away from a National Championship. There are people who are going to complain that the Patriots should’ve addressed the defense that got torched in the Super Bowl to which I say this: they kind of already did. The Patriots’ defense was riddled with injuries last year, particularly to Dont’a Hightower and 2017’s top Draft choice Derek Rivers (who was having a nice training camp before tearing his ACL). They’ll be getting those guys back and healthy They also signed Adrian Clayborn and traded for Jason McCourty to fill the holes for the meantime while also stockpiling on picks for next year’s Draft. The defense looks to be fine and in a win-now mode while the plethora of picks for next year’s class will likely be used to re-stock as this group gets older. So no surprise, but to me, the most genius Draft Day decision comes from the mind of Bill Belichick.

Some Prospects to Keep an Eye Out For in 2019

For scouting departments, when Mr. Irrelevant is announced, they get to work on next year’s class. Here are some guys that I think will go high next year.

Ed Oliver-DL-Houston

Nick Bosa-EDGE-Ohio State

Rashan Gary-DL-Michigan

Drew Lock-QB-Missouri

Justin Herbert-QB-Oregon

AJ Brown-WR-Ole Miss

Dexter Lawrence-DL-Clemson

Christian Wilkins-DL-Clemson

Clellin Ferrell-EDGE-Clemson

Austin Bryant-EDGE-Clemson

Just a few guys to look out for next college football season (you’ll notice a lot of defensive linemen. Next year’s class might be the best ever class for that position group).

And that’s a wrap on the 2018 NFL Draft. Let me know what you thought of it in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.

 

Each Team’s Biggest Draft Bust in the 21st Century

We rave about these prospects as “can’t miss” or “once in a lifetime” type players come Draft season. But every year, without fail, somebody taken in the first round fails to live up to expectations. I’m going to take a look at each team’s biggest blunder since 2000 to remind everyone to humble themselves when it comes to getting excited about your team’s first round pick. Some things to take note of when it comes to my rules for this list: First rounders only, the 2017 draft class is excluded since we really don’t know shit about them yet (Hell, Jared Goff was looking like a colossal bust after his first season. Look what happened there), and we are only considering a player’s success with the team that drafted them. So for example, Cedric Benson is a bust candidate even though he had a successful stint with the Bengals. He was drafted by the Bears, where he was awful. Draft position also matters here. The first overall pick’s bust status is going to weigh more than the 32nd overall pick’s status, even if the 32nd pick was a way worse player. I’ll also be noting some players that played the same position as the bust in question that were taken later who had much more successful careers to add salt to the wound.

Cleveland Browns-Courtney Brown-EDGE-Penn State (1st Overall in 2000)

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The first pick of the millennium, Brown was a freak of nature athlete and, to be fair to the Browns, judging by the body of work at Penn State and his physical traits, it’s really hard to blame them for taking Brown. He was basically Myles Garrett before Myles Garrett. While Garrett looks like a budding star if he can stay healthy, Brown notched just 17 sacks in his 5 years with the Browns, never eclipsing 4.5 in a season. There were definitely worse players the Browns have taken (probably the most misses in the NFL since their revival in 1999), but Brown was the only one that went first overall.

Who they could’ve had: John Abraham-South Carolina, Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila-San Diego State

New York Giants-Ereck Flowers-OT-Miami (FL) (9th Overall in 2015)

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Flowers’ huge frame made him enticing to the Giants, however he’s been one of the worst tackles in the game, as he was rushed into the starting role before he was ready and it showed. Every Giants fan I know consistently calls for his head and it doesn’t help him that the Giants just signed Nate Solder to a huge contract.

Who they could’ve had: Andrus Peat-Stanford, DJ Humphries-Florida

New York Jets-Vernon Gholston-EDGE-Ohio State (6th Overall in 2008)

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Gholston was a genetic freak but that didn’t translate whatsoever to the NFL, as he recorded as many sacks as I did in the NFL: Zero (I had 2 sacks in high school but I guess that doesn’t count). Anytime I see a rookie get their first NFL sack, I think to myself “better pick than Gholston.”

Who they could’ve had: Calais Campbell-Miami (FL), William Hayes-Winston-Salem State, Erik Walden-Middle Tennessee State, Cliff Avril-Purdue

Houston Texans-Travis Johnson-DL-Florida State (16th Overall in 2005)

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A lot of people will want to say David Carr for this pick, but to be fair to the guy, he played behind what was statistically the worst offensive line of all time. Carr got sacked an NFL record 76 times as a rookie and that destroyed his confidence and he never recovered. Travis Johnson was an okay player for the Texans, but he wasn’t worth the 16th overall pick. He was out of the league by 2011. There really aren’t that many busts in the Texans’ short history (since 2002).

Who they could’ve had: Jonathan Babineaux-Iowa

Denver Broncos-Paxton Lynch-QB-Memphis (26th Overall in 2016)

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You know it’s bad when you can’t beat out the 7th rounder your team took the year before for the starting job. We knew Lynch would need time to develop, but even now that he has an opportunity, the Broncos are already looking to move on. He’s only made 4 starts in his NFL career and has thrown just 4 TD’s.

Who they could’ve had: Jacoby Brissett-North Carolina State, Dak Prescott-Mississippi State

Indianapolis Colts-Bjoern Werner-EDGE-Florida State (24th Overall in 2013)

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Werner was this big European guy that everybody was foaming at the mouth over with his potential. However he lasted just 3 NFL seasons and recorded just 6.5 sacks in only 16 starts before getting cut by the Colts. He was not picked up elsewhere.

Who they could’ve had: Alex Okafor-Texas, William Gholston-Michigan State

Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Mark Barron-S-Alabama (7th Overall in 2012)

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Barron was a nightmare in coverage with the Buccaneers and lasted just 2 and a half seasons in Tampa before being shipped to the Rams. Since joining the Rams, though, they moved him to linebacker and he has been decent in his new role. At bare minimum he starts for one of the deadliest defenses in the league.

Who they could’ve had: Harrison Smith-Notre Dame, Coty Sensabaugh-Clemson, Robert Blanton-Notre Dame, George Iloka-Boise State

Chicago Bears-Kevin White-WR-West Virginia (7th Overall in 2015)

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I hate calling guys who can’t stay healthy “busts” because it’s not always their fault, but White has played just 5 games since being the 7th overall pick in 2015. It’s just one serious injury after another with this guy. It’s hard to overlook.

Who they could’ve had: DeVante Parker-Louisville, Nelson Agholor-USC, Devin Funchess-Michigan, Tyler Lockett-Kansas State, Jamison Crowder-Duke, Stefon Diggs-Maryland

San Francisco 49ers-AJ Jenkins-WR-Illinois (30th Overall in 2012)

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I was scratching my head when the 49ers made this pick (I had Jenkins as a 4th rounder) and he did nothing to dispel my confusions. Jenkins lasted just 1 year with the 49ers before being traded to the Chiefs. He was out of the league by 2015 with just 17 catches and 223 career receiving yards to his name.

Who they could’ve had: Alshon Jeffery-South Carolina, Mohamed Sanu-Rutgers, TY Hilton-FIU, Travis Benjamin-Miami (FL), Marvin Jones-California, Rishard Matthews-Nevada

Oakland Raiders-Jamarcus Russell-QB-LSU (1st Overall in 2007)

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Russell was a can’t miss quarterback prospect. Then he held out almost his entire rookie season because he wanted a bigger contract, went 7-18 as a starter, ballooned to 300 pounds, and was out of the league by 2010. He’s considered one of the biggest draft busts of all time, certainly the biggest of this millennium.

Who they could’ve had: Drew Stanton-Michigan State, Trent Edwards-Stanford (2007 was a REALLY bad year to pick a quarterback)

Miami Dolphins-Dion Jordan-EDGE-Oregon (3rd Overall in 2013)

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Issues with drugs caused Jordan to miss two entire seasons due to suspension. He only played 2 years with the Dolphins and has 1 career start. Currently a member of the Seahawks, he registered 4 sacks in 5 games last season so perhaps he’s turning a corner. But after the Dolphins traded up 9 spots to get him, they have to be fuming with the results they got.

Who they could’ve had: Ziggy Ansah-BYU, see Bjoern Werner’s section

Buffalo Bills-Aaron Maybin-EDGE-Penn State (11th Overall in 2009)

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Maybin had 6 career sacks and they were all for the division rival Jets in 2011. Maybin lasted just 2 years in Buffalo and was out of the league by 2013.

Who they could’ve had: Brian Orakpo-Texas, Clay Matthews-USC, Connor Barwin-Cincinnati, Paul Kruger-Utah, Michael Johnson-Georgia Tech

Washington Redskins-Rod Gardner-WR-Clemson (15th Overall in 2001)

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This was almost Patrick Ramsey, but Ramsey was taken 32nd in 2002 while Gardner went 15th in 2001 so Gardner edges him out. Gardner got off to a decent start, posting a 1000 yard season his second year, but he never eclipsed 700 again and was out of the league by 2007.

Who they could’ve had: Santana Moss-Miami (FL), Reggie Wayne-Miami (FL), Chad Johnson-Oregon State, Chris Chambers-Wisconsin, Steve Smith-Utah, TJ Houshmandzadeh-Oregon State

Green Bay Packers-Jamal Reynolds-EDGE-Florida State (10th Overall in 2001)

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Reynolds played just 3 seasons and had a grand total of 3 sacks in his career. Really can’t say much about his career because there was hardly anything to speak of. Really bad look for the tenth pick in the draft.

Who they could’ve had: Kyle Vanden Bosch-Nebraska, Aaron Schobel-TCU, Derrick Burgess-Ole Miss, Reggie Hayward-Iowa State,

Arizona Cardinals-Matt Leinart-QB-USC (10th Overall in 2006)

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It was hard to choose between Leinart and Jonathan Cooper (when you miss on a guard at #7 overall, you know you messed up). But the Cardinals have been scared to take a quarterback in the first round ever since the former Heisman Trophy winner, so he’s going to get the nod.

Who they could’ve had: Jay Cutler-Vanderbilt, Kellen Clemens-Oregon, Tarvaris Jackson-Alabama State, Charlie Whitehurst-Clemson

Baltimore Ravens-Breshad Perriman-WR-Central Florida (26th Overall in 2015)

at Nissan Stadium on November 5, 2017 in Nashville, Tennessee.

Similar situation with Perriman as Kevin White with the Bears. He has a lot of talent and is very fast for his size, but health has been a major issue. Perriman’s only made 4 starts and has just 43 catches in his two years of actually playing (2016 and 2017, he missed his rookie year).

Who they could’ve had: see Kevin White

Los Angeles Chargers-Larry English-EDGE-Northern Illinois (16th Overall in 2009)

at Qualcomm Stadium on August 8, 2013 in San Diego, California.

12 career sacks in 7 NFL seasons will not get the job done. English never had more than 3 sacks in a season and never started more than 5 games.

Who they could’ve had: see Aaron Maybin

Seattle Seahawks-Aaron Curry-LB-Wake Forest (4th Overall in 2009)

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Curry was considered the safest prospect in the class, however he just couldn’t figure things out in the NFL. He has since become a college coach at Charlotte.

Who they could’ve had: Brian Cushing-USC, James Laurinaitis-Ohio State, Rey Maualuga-USC, DeAndre Levy-Wisconsin

Dallas Cowboys-Bobby Carpenter-LB-Ohio State (18th Overall in 2006)

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A solid special teamer, but you don’t take a special teamer in the first round. Carpenter never made more than 3 starts in a season.

Who they could’ve had: DeMeco Ryans-Alabama, D’Qwell Jackson-Maryland, Stephen Tulloch-North Carolina State

Detroit Lions-Charles Rogers-WR-Michigan State (2nd Overall in 2003)

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Arguably the biggest wide receiver bust of all time, Rogers lasted just 3 seasons in the NFL and had a grand total of 440 yards in 15 games played.

Who they could’ve had: Andre Johnson-Miami (FL), Anquan Boldin-Florida State, Nate Burleson-Nevada, Brandon Lloyd-Illinois

Kansas City Chiefs-Glenn Dorsey-DL-LSU (5th Overall in 2008)

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Not gonna’ lie, I liked Dorsey so much in college that I bought his Chiefs jersey before his first NFL game. But he never amounted to anything with the Chiefs. He became a pretty good nose tackle with the 49ers, though.

Who they could’ve had: Pat Sims-Auburn, Red Bryant-Texas A&M, Ahtyba Rubin-Iowa State

Cincinnati Bengals-Peter Warrick-WR-Florida State (4th Overall in 2000)

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Warrick never managed more than 819 yards in a season, which wouldn’t be awful if he weren’t the 4th overall pick. Had he been a 4th rounder, we’d be considering him a steal. However, that production just won’t cut it for the value.

Who they could’ve had: Plaxico Burress-Michigan State, Laveraneus Coles-Florida State, Darrell Jackson-Florida

Los Angeles Rams-Jason Smith-OT-Baylor (2nd Overall in 2009)

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This very easily could’ve been Greg Robinson, as the credentials (tackle that was the 2nd overall pick) are basically identical. But Smith’s going to get the nod on the basis that he got beat out by the tackle the Rams took in the second round of the same draft (Indiana’s Rodger Saffold, who is still with the team to this day as a guard).

Who they could’ve had: Andre Smith-Alabama, Eugene Monroe-Virginia, Michael Oher-Ole Miss, Sebastian Vollmer-Houston

Carolina Panthers-Jeff Otah-OT-Pittsburgh (19th Overall in 2008)

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Very few busts for the Panthers, giving Otah the nod. Otah was decent when healthy, however he played just 29 games in his 4-year career and was out of the league by 2012.

Who they could’ve had: Duane Brown-Virginia Tech, King Dunlap-Auburn, Geoff Schwartz-Oregon

Tennessee Titans-Jake Locker-QB-Washington (8th Overall in 2011)

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Locker got off to a promising start, as he was pretty good in his first game, but he never got better. It’s also worth mentioning that all 7 guys picked ahead of him made the Pro Bowl in what was an absolutely stacked 2011 class. Locker retired after 4 seasons.

Who they could’ve had: Andy Dalton-TCU, Colin Kaepernick-Nevada, Tyrod Taylor-Virginia Tech

Atlanta Falcons-Jamaal Anderson-EDGE-Arkansas (8th Overall in 2007)

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Anderson registered just 7.5 career sacks, never more than 3 in a season, and was out of the league by 2013.

Who they could’ve had: Anthony Spencer-Purdue, Lamarr Woodley-Michigan, Charles Johnson-Georgia, Brian Robison-Texas

New Orleans Saints-Johnathan Sullivan-DL-Georgia (6th Overall in 2003)

2003 New Orleans Saints Headshots

All Images Copyright Michael C. Hebert

Sullivan played just 4 years in the NFL, 3 with the Saints, started 12 games as a rookie but 4 the rest of his career. He was out of the league by 2007.

Who they could’ve had: Kevin Williams-Oklahoma State

Pittsburgh Steelers-Jarvis Jones-EDGE-Georgia (19th Overall in 2013)

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6 career sacks for a guy who at one point in the draft process was being slated as the #1 overall pick. He’s currently a member of the Arizona Cardinals but hasn’t played a snap for them.

Who they could’ve had: see Dion Jordan

Jacksonville Jaguars-Luke Joeckel-OT-Texas A&M (2nd Overall in 2013)

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There were a lot of guys that were really deserving but Joeckel is going to win out because he was taken 2nd overall. Joeckel has been a turnstyle on the offensive line and is currently a member of the Seattle Seahawks, starting 11 games at guard for arguably the NFL’s worst offensive line.

Who they could’ve had: Lane Johnson-Oklahoma, Justin Pugh-Syracuse, Terron Armstead-Arkansas-Pine Bluff, David Bakhtiari-Colorado, Ricky Wagner-Wisconsin

Minnesota Vikings-Troy Williamson-WR-South Carolina (7th Overall in 2005)

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Williamson was an absolute freak at the Combine, but those skills never translated to the NFL. He never had more than 455 yards in a season and was out of the league by 2010.

Who they could’ve had: Roddy White-UAB, Vincent Jackson-Northern Colorado

New England Patriots-Dominique Easley-DL-Florida (29th Overall in 2014)

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Easley’s tenure in New England lasted just 2 seasons before he was traded to the Rams after numerous injuries and what many considered to be a “cancerous” personality in the locker room. It didn’t help that he only started 3 games for the Patriots.

Who they could’ve had: Timmy Jernigan-Florida State, Beau Allen-Wisconsin

Philadelphia Eagles-Danny Watkins-OG-Baylor (23rd Overall in 2011)

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Watkins played just 2 seasons with the Eagles before he retired to become a firefighter. Never made a huge impact when he was on the field either.

Who they could’ve had: Clint Boling-Georgia, Daniel Kilgore-Appalachian State

There are going to be busts in every draft, however there are also steals, guys who slip through the cracks and outperform their draft slot. Tomorrow I’m going to do something similar and pick out each team’s best draft steal since 2000. Let me know what you think of these draft busts in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.

NCAA Men’s Basketball Preview

College basketball is always one of the tougher sports to predict typically because it is ALWAYS experiencing turnover, with all the one-and-dones that enter and leave the league before we really get a chance to see what they can do. It’s hard to blame them, with how messy the NCAA can get it’s no wonder these players jump to the NBA first chance they get. So that being said, I’m anticipating a fun year of college basketball. In this preview, I will try and project who will win each of the Power 5 conferences as well as putting in my own Top 25 and my preseason All Americans. I will not be predicting who I think will be the champs, as March Madness is so insane every year that I feel like trying to predict how it’s going to go in November doesn’t give the tournament its full due. I will, however, give who I think will be the number 1 overall seed, if that helps. Let’s get to the conference champs.

ACC: Duke Blue Devils

Duke Countdown To Craziness

photo credit: Sports Illustrated

The ACC is probably the best conference in college hoops right now. You’ve got the blue bloods such as Duke and reigning champs North Carolina, but the second tier of this conference is typically super competitive as well, such as Notre Dame, Miami (FL), and Louisville (though with the whole Rick Pitino situation, Louisville may be removing themselves from this discussion). I’m going with Duke to win the ACC this year for two main reasons: Coach K and the recruiting class. Mike Krzyzewski is arguably the best college basketball coach on the planet right now and he always turns out a plethora of NBA talent, whether that be from one-and-dones or guys who stay all four years. This year he has a particularly talented group to go with Grayson Allen. Marvin Bagley, Wendell Carter, Trevon Duval, and Gary Trent Jr are all in the TOP EIGHT of ESPN’s Top 100 Recruits for the class of 2021 (whether these guys are here that long is another story). Bagley is the highlight here as he is a big time recruit who was able to reclassify in order to be a part of this Duke roster. He’s 6’11 with all the tools you can look for in a player: athleticism, shooting, and post moves being major positives with this kid. The one thing that may hold this team back is Grayson Allen. Yes he is a supremely talented point guard, but his emotional outbursts are more renowned than his game is and that can become a distraction. He’s got to be the leader of this young team, being a senior this year, and if he’s having hissy fits on the bench then it could do a lot of damage to this team.

SEC: Kentucky Wildcats

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photo credit: A Sea of Blue

Was there really any other choice here? While the SEC may be a dominant conference in football, they are essentially a one-man race in basketball, with Kentucky having won the conference each of the last 3 years (feels like it should be more than that). John Calipari rivals Coach K as the best coach in the game but the main challenge Kentucky deals with every year is the one-and-done. Kentucky goes through these types of players more often than seemingly any team in the country, but Cal also encourages it. He feels that his guys should take the opportunity to go to the NBA as soon as they feel they’re ready, but has all his guys declare for the NBA Draft anyway so they can all get a sense of their draft stock before deciding whether they want to go forward or return to school. And with his coaching prowess and skills as a recruiter, he has no problem finding replacements for the guys he lost the year prior. This season, Kentucky’s top players are Kevin Knox, PJ Washington, Nick Richardson, Hamidou Diallo, and Jarred Vanderbilt, joining a roster that returns very little from last year’s SEC champs. Kentucky’s only real competition this season will likely come from Florida, Texas A&M, or Alabama, but I think the gap between these schools are big enough that everyone else is playing for second place in the SEC.

Big Ten: Michigan State Spartans

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photo credit: Sports Illustrated

Tom Izzo’s Spartan squad has never been one that typically deals with the one-and-dones, as Deyonta Davis is the only player in recent memory to leave for the NBA after one season in East Lansing. That bodes well for Michigan State because they’ve got a lot of good returning talent, particularly Miles Bridges (who may be my favorite player in all of college basketball) and Lourawls “Tumtum” Nairn. Michigan State also landed Jaren Jackson, ESPN’s #9 recruit, who looks to be a major contributor for this season. In the Big Ten, Michigan State’s main competition will likely come from Wisconsin, Purdue or even  quietly good Minnesota and Northwestern teams. Indiana’s potentially a wild card because it’ll be interesting to see how Archie Miller transitions to major college basketball after great success at the University of Dayton. But Michigan State is so loaded and have a Hall of Fame head coach, making it awfully difficult to pick against them.

Big 12: Kansas Jayhawks

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photo credit: KUSports.com

Do I really even need to do this one? The Big 12 has been OWNED by Kansas of late, as the Jayhawks have won the Big 12 every year since 2005. That’s THIRTEEN STRAIGHT CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIPS! Despite this, Kansas only has one national championship victory to show for it (2008) but they will be looking for another run this year. They lose Player of the Year Frank Mason to the NBA, but they do have Devonte Graham returning, which was huge for Bill Self’s squad, as Kansas’ recruiting class was a little light this season. Billy Preston was their only recruit in ESPN’s Top 50. But having another season of Devonte Graham will likely be good enough for the Jayhawks to hold off such competition as West Virginia, Baylor, and possibly Iowa State for a fourteenth straight conference title.

PAC-12: Arizona Wildcats

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photo credit: Arizona Daily Star

Allonzo Trier and Rawle Alkins are back for Arizona and they’ll be running this offense with one new toy to play with: DeAndre Ayton, the 7-foot 250-pounder out of Phoenix. Ayton is the #3 overall recruit according to ESPN, trailing only Bagley and Missouri’s Michael Porter Jr (both guys are in the discussion for number 1 pick in the NBA Draft). Ayton is arguably as good as either of these guys and will be key to replacing Lauri Markkanen. Head Coach Sean Miller (older brother of Indiana coach Archie Miller) has had Arizona playing some really good basketball these last few years and it wouldn’t shock me to see these guys unseat UCLA as best in a weak conference, as only the Bruins and USC are expected to be competitive in this conference.

Preseason Top 25:

1.Duke Blue Devils

2.Michigan State Spartans

3.Kentucky Wildcats

4.Kansas Jayhawks

5.Arizona Wildcats

6.Villanova Wildcats

7.North Carolina Tar Heels

8.Florida Gators

9.Wichita State Shockers

10.West Virginia Mountaineers

11.Miami (FL) Hurricanes

12.USC Trojans

13.Notre Dame Fighting Irish

14.Cincinnati Bearcats

15.Minnesota Golden Gophers

16.Louisville Cardinals

17.Purdue Boilermakers

18.Gonzaga Bulldogs

19.Xavier Musketeers

20.Wisconsin Badgers

21.Northwestern Wildcats

22.UCLA Bruins

23.Baylor Bears

24.St. Mary’s Gaels

25.Seton Hall Pirates

Preseason All Americans

First Team:

G-Collin Sexton-Alabama

G-Devonte Graham-Kansas

F-Miles Bridges-Michigan State

F-Marvin Bagley-Duke

C-DeAndre Ayton-Arizona

Second Team:

G-Joel Berry-North Carolina

G-Trevon Bluiett-Xavier

F-Michael Porter Jr-Missouri

F-Johnathan Williams-Gonzaga

C-Mohamed Bamba-Texas

Projected Player of the Year: Miles Bridges-F-Michigan State

Mississippi Valley State v Michigan State

photo credit: CBS Detroit

Bridges is one of the most exciting players in the game and as a freshman last year, he scored 16.9 points per game with 8.3 rebounds while shooting almost 50% from the field and 39% from 3. He’s got another year under his belt and I think given his abilities, we are in for a tremendous season from the sophomore forward from Flint, Michigan.

Projected #1 Seed: Duke Blue Devils

Duke is just too stacked on paper for it to be anyone else at this point in the year. As I mentioned, in a sport typically dominated by freshman, Duke has 4 of the 8 best, including the number 1 overall player as well as one of the greatest coaches in the history of the game. However, we often see these super teams fall apart under the weight of media expectations, as teams with this much hype rarely ever live up to it, so while I am super high on Duke, it also wouldn’t shock me to see them underwhelm.

Those are my predictions for this college basketball season. Probably going to look WAY different when I do the postseason edition. Do you agree with my picks? Disagree? Let me know in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.

College Football Picks: Week 6

Last Week: 10-2                    Season Record: 18-6

Good week last time out, though I should also mention that both of my losses came when I picked the team that wasn’t favored (Mississippi State and Iowa). Turns out I may not have given Michigan State enough credit. I also damn near picked the exact score of the Clemson-VA Tech game (the score was 31-17, I said it would be 38-17). Anyway, enough tooting my own horn, on to the picks.

Wake Forest vs #2 Clemson (-21.5)

Wake Forest took Florida State to the brink last week. It took a beautiful touchdown throw by James Blackman for the Seminoles to escape the Demon Deacons. It is also worth noting that Wake had SEVENTEEN tackles for loss last week. That’s just incredible. Clemson has looked untouchable to start the season, which is amazing to me given how much talent they lost last season. I’m going to go with Clemson on this one. I don’t know if they cover that massive spread, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they do. Wake Forest doesn’t have enough offense to keep up.

Projected Score: Clemson 45 Wake Forest 17

#4 Penn State (-13.5) vs Northwestern

Northwestern hung in tight with a really good Wisconsin team and they actually led at the half. Penn State’s a different beast altogether, however. Despite the fact that Indiana once again limited Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards (56 yards on 20 carries), Barkley was able to find other ways to have a huge impact on the game, as he returned a kick to the house, threw a touchdown pass, and had 51 receiving yards. Trace McSorley and Dasean Hamilton also had big games for the Nittany Lions against the Hoosiers, which shows that Penn State is more than just their Heisman frontrunner. They’ll win this one relatively handily.

NCAA Football: Illinois at Penn State

Saquon Barkley has been the Heisman frontrunner as we approach the season’s halfway point (photo credit: Big Ten Network)

Projected Score: Penn State 48 Northwestern 27

#5 Georgia (-17.5) vs Vanderbilt 

After getting absolutely slaughtered by Alabama in Week 4, Vanderbilt had a nice bounceback performance against the #21 Florida Gators, hanging with them until the very end.  Georgia, on the other hand, perhaps turned in the performance of the year, going into Knoxville and abusing Tennessee 41-0 despite Jake Fromm’s very mediocre passing performance (7-15 for 84 yards with a TD and a pick). Georgia’s defense has also been wildly impressive, as displayed by the shutout of a previously-ranked Tennessee squad. Roquan Smith has been flying to the ball and has Georgia primed for a big win over Vanderbilt to further entrench themselves as the second-best team in the SEC.

Projected Score: Georgia 38 Vanderbilt 17

#23 West Virginia vs #8 TCU (-13)

Will Grier has been excellent for the Mountaineers to start the season, throwing for over 1300 yards and 13 TDS in the team’s first four games. Their one loss on the season was against a very good Virginia Tech squad that hung in tough with Clemson. TCU seems to have completely bounced back from a wildly underwhelming 2016 season as Kenny Hill has been a machine at quarterback. TCU has impressive double-digit wins over Oklahoma State and Arkansas and will look to do it again against West Virginia. They will, but West Virginia will make it a lot closer than the rest of the FBS has.

Projected Score: TCU 31 West Virginia 21

#13 Miami (FL) (-3) vs Florida State

Florida State has looked COMPLETELY lost without Deondre Francois. They did finally manage to get into the win column against Wake Forest, but it took a last minute TD pass by James Blackman to do it. They go up against a Miami squad that is coming off a beatdown of Duke in a revenge game from that lateral game a couple of years back. Malik Rozier has been very efficient for the U, completing nearly two-thirds of his passes and only tossing 2 INTs on the year. But the big star of this game is going to be Hurricanes runningback Mark Walton, who is averaging nearly 10 yards per carry on the season. Miami wins big.

Projected Score: Miami (FL) 49 Florida State 20

#22 Notre Dame (-15.5) vs North Carolina

Josh Adams was a monster against an overmatched Miami (OH) team, rushing for 159 yards on just 8 carries. He won’t be quite that good against a lackluster North Carolina defense that has allowed 30.6 points per game this season. The UNC offense has also been wildly inconsistent as they were only able to muster 7 points against Georgia Tech last week yet dropped 30 on a very good Louisville squad and 53 in their win over Old Dominion. Notre Dame’s defense will be the toughest they face yet and UNC won’t be too big an issue for the Fighting Irish.

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Josh Adams has had some of the more impressive rushing performances on the season (photo credit: One Foot Down)

Projected Score: Notre Dame 38 North Carolina 14

LSU vs #21 Florida (-2.5)

Ouch. Does it get any worse than losing to Troy for LSU? Actually, it does.

Troy spoils LSU’s homecoming and it doesn’t get any easier as they take on a Florida Gators team that seems to be starting to figure out their offense. Despite losing Luke del Rio for the season, Feleipe Franks looked like he had a fire lit under him after losing his starting job and played well in relief against Vanderbilt. For LSU, after absolutely dominating BYU in Week 1 (BYU’s offense never crossed midfield, and LSU was without star pass rusher Arden Key), the Tigers have looked lost, getting blown out by Mississippi State, narrowly beating an underwhelming Syracuse team, and culminating with an embarrassing loss to Troy. Their struggles will continue, as Florida takes this one in the Swamp.

Projected Score: Florida 30 LSU 10

Minnesota vs Purdue (-4)

Minnesota had been stuffing their non-conference schedule, allowing a grand total of 24 points in their 3-game slate. Then they take on conference foe Maryland and let up 31 points in a 31-24 loss. They look to right the ship (or “Row the Boat,” as head coach PJ Fleck likes to say) against a Purdue team that seems to have new life. They’ve trounced Ohio and Missouri for their two wins and competed from start to finish in their two losses to Louisville and Michigan. Jeff Brohm has been working wonders for the Boilermakers and I think this game ends up being a defensive slugfest, with Purdue pulling away late.

Projected Score: Purdue 20 Minnesota 17

#1 Alabama (-26.5) vs Texas A&M

The Aggies came very close to starting the season 1-3 yet find themselves 4-1 through their first five. They’ve been tested all year and aside from a Week 1 choke job for the ages, they’ve passed them all. Their greatest test will come against a juggernaut in Alabama that has just been unfair to start conference play. Against SEC opponents, they beat Vanderbilt 59-0 and Ole Miss 66-3. Alabama is so far ahead of everyone else it’s not even worth watching their games. Alabama wins a snooze-fest.

Projected Score: Alabama 52 Texas A&M 10

Michigan State vs #7 Michigan (-10.5)

The last time these two teams were at the big house was that famous botched punt that MSU took to the house for the victory. The Spartans were awful last season yet they were still competitive against an excellent Wolverines squad. Michigan will be starting John O’Korn at quarterback this week in place of the injured Wilton Speight as Michigan will look to shake their offensive woes on the season. I think Michigan wins, but it’s a low-scoring affair.

Projected Score: Michigan 21 Michigan State 17

#11 Washington State (-3) vs Oregon 

This is going to be a fun game if you love offense. Washington State pulled off the shocking upset over then-#5 USC last week and Luke Falk has put himself into the thick of the Heisman race. Oregon is coming off a big win over California and are an Arizona State late field goal away from being 5-0 on the season. This is going to be a shootout in Eugene and I think Oregon is going to take this one, but Luke Falk will still put up big numbers and stay in the Heisman race.

Projected Score: Oregon 49 Washington State 45

Stanford (-4) vs #20 Utah 

I never thought I would say this, but Stanford has been able to replace the seemingly irreplaceable Christian McCaffrey. Bryce Love has been an absolute MONSTER for the Cardinal through their first 5 games, already over 1000 yards rushing on the season and Stanford hasn’t even played half their games yet. Love is averaging 11.1 yards per carry and one could make a strong argument that he ought to be the Heisman frontrunner at this stage in the year. Utah will have the unenviable task in trying to stop him. Utah is 4-0 on the season but it’s an unimpressive 4-0 for me. Their wins come against North Dakota, BYU, San Jose State, and Arizona and only the San Jose State game was a truly convincing victory for me. I think Stanford knocks off the 20th ranked Utes and I think they do it big.

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Bryce Love has done the unthinkable this season: replace Christian McCaffrey (photo credit: Rule of Tree)

Projected Score: Stanford 55 Utah 20

Those are my picks this week. I didn’t do Indiana’s game because they’re facing FCS opponent Charleston Southern and I can’t in good conscious do an FBS-FCS game unless it involves North Dakota State (who always seems to beat FBS teams) or Washington State (who always seems to lose to FCS teams). It just wouldn’t be very sporting of me. So if you have any other games you want me to do, let me know in the comments section or hit me up on Facebook and Twitter @jimwyman10.

College Football Picks: Week 5

Last Week: 8-4                       Season Record: 8-4

Let’s get picking.

Northwestern vs #10 Wisconsin (-15)

Northwestern is a team I think can be sneaky good in the Big Ten. They’ve had plenty of stability over the last few years with Clayton Thorson and Justin Jackson leading the charge. Pat Fitzgerald has led one of the better runs in program history over the last few years and they’ve gotten off to a solid start to this season as well. However they run into a Wisconsin team that ran roughshod over their non-conference schedule, albeit a relatively weak one, and seems to have not missed a step from the team that won the Cotton Bowl last year, despite losing playmakers such as Corey Clement and TJ Watt. Wisconsin will take this one big, but the final score won’t reflect how well Northwestern actually plays in this game.

Projected Score: Wisconsin 48 Northwestern 21

Vanderbilt vs #21 Florida (-9)

So I was a little off last week in thinking Vanderbilt would beat the spread against Alabama (they lost 59-0). Note to self, don’t ever pick a team to beat the spread against a Nick Saban-coached team. I think Vanderbilt has the guys in place to bounce back, though. The Gators are still trying to figure out what exactly they have on offense. After scoring only 3 points on offense against Michigan (to go with 2 defensive scores), they needed a Hail Mary at the end of regulation to beat Tennessee and a blown coverage late helped them hold off Kentucky.

I still don’t think they totally have their quarterback situation figured out with either Feleipe Franks or Malik Zaire, and that could be a problem against a Vanderbilt defense who, until last week, had looked pretty solid this season. But Florida’s defense has been what’s held this team together and I think it continues to do so this week.

Projected Score: Florida 24 Vanderbilt 7

#7 Georgia (-8) vs Tennessee

Tennessee is a Florida Hail Mary away from possibly being 4-0 to start the season. Quinten Dormady has looked really good for the Vols in replacing Josh Dobbs, though a 17-13 scare against UMass should have Tennessee fans worried for when they take on a top-10 Georgia team. Georgia has looked like the second best team in the SEC this season by a wide margin. Jake Fromm continues to carry the load in Jacob Eason’s absence and the runningback tandem of Nick Chubb and Sony Michel gained a new member in their 31-3 demolition of Mississippi State: D’Andre Swift, who ran for 69 yards (nice) on 10 carries. Georgia’s defense has also been tremendous this season, as they limited potential Heisman candidate Nick Fitzgerald to only 83 passing yards and 2 interceptions last week. I think more of the same continues as UGA moves to 5-0.

Projected Score: Georgia 30 Tennessee 13

Indiana vs #4 Penn State (-18.5)

Indiana absolutely obliterated Georgia Southern last week 52-17 and this came despite the fact that star receiver Simmie Cobbs Jr was held to only 2 catches for 17 yards. Freshman runningback Morgan Ellison really emerged for the Hoosiers, rushing for 186 yards and the first 2 touchdowns of his career. Their competition gets MUCH stiffer this week, however, as they face a Penn State squad that is coming off a last second victory over Iowa and Heisman frontrunner Saquon Barkley has looked unstoppable this season. Indiana was one of the few teams in the country that was able to contain Barkley last season (58 yards on 33 carries) and they look to do more of the same this time around. Barkley looks like a different type of beast this season, however, and I think he puts on a far better performance against an overmatched Indiana squad.

Projected Score: Penn State 42 Indiana 24

Iowa vs Michigan State (-4)

Whoever came up with the line of Michigan State being favored in this game clearly did not watch college football last week. Both teams are coming off losses, but MSU got absolutely throttled last week by Notre Dame whereas Iowa took arguably the team-to-beat in the Big 10 to the final play of the game. Iowa has far more weapons on offense for quarterback Nathan Stanley to play with, such as Akrum Wadley and James Vandeberg while Michigan State has not shown that they’ve recovered a whole lot from the disaster that was last season. Gimme Iowa all day.

Projected Score: Iowa 38 Michigan State 10

#24 Mississippi State vs #13 Auburn (-8.5)

Mississippi State did a complete 180 last week. After whipping LSU through the streets in Week 3, they got demolished by Georgia in Week 4. While both teams are excellent, it still leaves Mississippi State full of question marks. Which team are we going to get when they take on another good SEC opponent in Auburn? Auburn’s offense was non-existent against Clemson (can you blame them?) and they still looked shaky against FCS foe Mercer. You had to be concerned if you were an Auburn fan about whether the hype over Jarrett Stidham was going to come to fruition. Then they dropped 51 on Missouri and seemingly restored the faith in their fanbase. The inconsistencies in the offense have me concerned about their chances against a stingy Mississippi State squad and I think the Bulldogs team that stomped LSU will return this week.

Projected Score: Mississippi State 31 Auburn 24

South Carolina vs Texas A&M (-8)

Texas A&M must have read my blog last week and used it as bulletin board material because they really showed up against Arkansas after I tore them to shreds and basically called for the firing of Kevin Sumlin. Offensively they looked very sharp in the OT win. Defense still has some work to do but last week had to be a breath of fresh air for this Aggies squad. South Carolina has had a rough few years since the departure of JaDeveon Clowney. They finally appeared to be trending in the right direction after a 2-0 start over NC State and Missouri. The passing attack of Jake Bentley to Deebo Samuel and Bryan Edwards had the team looking really sharp in those games. However they’ve hit a bit of a slump in their last two games, a loss to Kentucky and a 1-point victory over Louisiana Tech. I think this game will be a high scoring affair, but A&M will pull away late.

Projected Score: Texas A&M 49 South Carolina 35

#2 Clemson (-7) vs #12 Virginia Tech

Kelly Bryant has looked really good in replacing Deshaun Watson, a seemingly impossible task following Watson’s heroics in the National Championship. He’s led blowout victories over Kent State, Louisville, and Boston College (one of the top defenses in the nation) and has shown he can win the nail biters as well, with a 13-6 win over Auburn in Week 2. Virginia Tech is also breaking in a new quarterback in Josh Jackson, who you could argue has been even more impressive than Bryant. In fact, I think that the true freshman Jackson has been the most impressive quarterback in the ACC, if not the entire country. Yes, even more impressive than reigning Heisman winner Lamar Jackson. Josh Jackson has thrown for 1127 yards this year with 11 TDs and only 1 INT and has been instrumental in Virginia Tech’s 4-0 start. He faces his first true test in the Clemson defense, with the best DT duo in the nation in Christian Wilkins and Dexter Lawrence looking to be in his face all day. I think Jackson will finally struggle this week.

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Hokie Freshman QB Josh Jackson celebrates a Touchdown during a Week 1 win over #22 West Virginia (photo credit: Tech Sideline)

Projected Score: Clemson 38 Virginia Tech 17

Ole Miss vs #1 Alabama (-28)

So that’s the last time I ever pick a team to beat the spread against Alabama. I did just that in their game against Vanderbilt and Bama went on to win 59-0. The Tide face an Ole Miss squad that has given them lots of problems over the last few years, however with Hugh Freeze being about as interested in hookers as he is his own program, this won’t be the same Rebels squad. I think Bama not only covers this week, but does so with room to spare.

Projected Score: Alabama 52 Ole Miss 10

Colorado vs UCLA (-7.5)

Colorado struggled mightily against Washington last week and it won’t get any easier against UCLA. This game is going to be played at the Rose Bowl and the spotlight couldn’t be more appealing to UCLA quarterback Josh Rosen right now. Of the top 3 draft QBs entering the season (Rosen, USC’s Sam Darnold and Wyoming’s Josh Allen), Rosen has far and away looked the most impressive to me. Through 4 games, he already has over 1700 passing yards and 16 TDs. The rest of his team needs to step up, though. UCLA is 2-2 despite Rosen’s heroics and came dangerously close to being 1-3 if not for a comeback for the ages against Texas A&M in week 1.

UCLA is riding a 2 game losing streak against Memphis and Stanford and this game could go a long way toward deciding if UCLA really wants to compete for a Pac-12 title this year. I think Rosen continues to run roughshod over the NCAA and has a big performance in a Bruins victory

Projected Score: UCLA 48 Colorado 27

California vs Oregon (-15.5)

I picked Cal as my big upset last week over USC. And quite frankly, they could have done it had they not turned the ball over six freaking times. Despite their ball control issues, they only lost that game by 10. Offensively, Oregon has looked as good as any team in the country and are coming off a heart-breaking 37-35 loss against Arizona State. But prior to that, they’ve had scoring outputs of 77, 42, and 49. Those wins also include holding Josh Allen’s Wyoming squad to a measly 13 points. I think even if Cal is able to limit the turnovers, Oregon’s offense will be too much to keep up with as Royce Freeman runs all over the Golden Bears.

Projected Score: Oregon 55 Cal 35

Bonus Game: Miami (OH) vs #22 Notre Dame (-21)

This game is getting picked due to my relatively sizable Notre Dame following. Otherwise, based on the matchup, I wouldn’t bother. Brandon Wimbush has looked like a poor man’s Cam Newton over the last couple of games and that’s exactly what the Fighting Irish have needed. He won’t need to quite be THAT good against the Redhawks, as they’ve struggled against the likes of Marshall and Cincinnati. Notre Dame’s defense has been very stingy this year as well and shouldn’t have too big of a problem against Miami (OH) QB Gus Ragland, who has barely completed 50% of his passes on the year. This game will be over by halftime.

Projected Score: Notre Dame 59 Miami (OH) 14

Those are my picks for this week. If you have any other games you would like my thoughts on, or any questions in general, you can hit me up on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.

College Football Picks: Week 4

This is a segment I will be doing on a weekly basis until the end of the season. The analysis will be short and sweet. Think of it like ESPN’s College Gameday, but on a blog…but don’t actually because that sounds insanely boring and I’m trying to build an audience here.

On to the picks:

NC State vs #12 Florida State (-12.5)

Believe it or not this is FSU’s first game since losing to Alabama week 1 and losing their starting quarterback, Deondre Francois, for the season. Normally, I would put FSU on upset alert in this situation, especially considering NC State has some exciting playmakers, such as pass rusher Bradley Chubb. But the Seminoles have had 3 weeks to prepare for this game and Jimbo Fisher is a good enough coach to where I believe he will have true freshman QB James Blackman ready to go.

Projected Score: Florida State 35 NC State 19

Texas A&M vs Arkansas (-2.5)

TAMU coach Kevin Sumlin has been on the hot seat all year and it caught fire after the Aggies blew a 34-point lead against UCLA in the opening week. Suddenly 28-3 doesn’t look so bad, Falcons fans. They were also put to the test by Nicholls State, who nearly rallied to upset the Aggies, and they trailed Louisiana-Lafayette at halftime. If they struggled against low level competition such as these teams, then an SEC team such as Arkansas is going to go to town on them. Kevin Sumlin’s hot seat:

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Projected Score: Arkansas 28 Texas A&M 17

Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech (-9.5)

Oklahoma State just scored again. The Pitt defense was absolutely embarrassed by Mason Rudolph and the Oklahoma State Cowboys last week. This team lost a lot last season, including quarterback Nathan Peterman and runningback James Conner, a former ACC player of the year as well as a point of inspiration for the team after his bout with Hodgkin’s Lymphoma. Pitt was so bad last week that the university was offering free drinks to anyone who stayed the entirety of the game. The contents of those drinks are unknown, however. Georgia Tech barely lost to a good Tennessee team in week 1, electing to go for the win rather than a tie to send to another overtime and failing, then did their jobs and stomped all over Jacksonville State. For whatever reason, their wishbone triple option offense seems to work. Yellow Jackets big.

Projected Score: Georgia Tech 45 Pittsburgh 13

#1 Alabama (-18.5) vs Vanderbilt

Alabama is unquestionably the top team in the country facing a Vanderbilt team that traditionally is a bottom dweller in a loaded conference. However Vanderbilt has played very well to start this season, especially on defense, having only given up 1 total touchdown in their first 3 games, which includes a victory over then 18th-ranked Kansas State. This could be a dangerous game for Alabama. However, Nick Saban is the greatest coach in the history of college football and his guys will outlast the Commodores. I have Bama winning, but I think Vandy beats the spread.

Projected Score: Alabama 27 Vanderbilt 17

#5 USC (-17) vs California

I’m going to be frank: USC has NOT impressed me this season. For a team with as much preseason hype as they’ve gotten (Lee Corso picked them to win it all), they haven’t shown me much these first few weeks. They barely beat Western Michigan in a Week 1 game where I legitimately felt that they were dangerously close to losing. They did bounce back nicely and beat then #14 Stanford pretty convincingly, but they follow that up by escaping a Texas team that refuses to prove they’re still a legitimate football program. Cal, on the other hand, already has 2 non-conference Power-5 wins and has looked pretty solid offensively. Plus, this game is being played in Berkeley. I think Cal scores the upset.

Projected Score: California 42 USC 34

#16 TCU vs #6 Oklahoma State (-13.5)

This is going to be a fun game, I can feel it. Both offenses have shown they can light up a scoreboard with the best of them. OKST QB Mason Rudolph looks like a legit Heisman contender after he scorched Pitt for 497 yards and 5 TDs through the air. Did I mention his day was done midway through the third quarter? TCU’s Kenny “Trill” Hill (remember when he was supposed to be Manziel’s heir at TAMU?) was also really sharp in a 56-36 beatdown of SMU, throwing for 365 and 4 TDs. This one is going to be a defense-optional shootout that will last 5 hours but the plethora of offense will totally be worth it.

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Oklahoma State Quarterback Mason Rudolph has proven to be a legitimate candidate for the Heisman Trophy. (photo credit: Pistols Firing)

Projected Score: Oklahoma State 56 TCU 52

#8 Michigan (-10.5) vs Purdue

I’ll be the first to admit, I am SHOCKED at how well Purdue has played these first three games. This was a team that struck fear into the hearts of MAYBE a Mighty Might team these last few years, but no one else. Yet they take Louisville and reigning Heisman winner Lamar Jackson to the limit in Week 1, beat down on Ohio in week 2, and absolutely embarrass Missouri on their home turf in week 3. Whatever new head coach Jeff Brohm is doing over there is Big Ten Coach of the Year-level stuff, and this is coming from an IU student who would rather chug Everclear than think about a Purdue victory. Michigan, on the other hand, has looked sluggish offensively. Being mediocre against Florida is one thing, but looking slow against the likes of Air Force and Cincinnati? Unacceptable. The defense hasn’t missed a step from last year, however, despite losing 10 starters to the NFL. Michigan will still win this game, but it will be on the strength of their defense, not their offense.

Projected Score: Michigan 20 Purdue 14

#17 Mississippi State vs #11 Georgia (-4.5)

Holy shit, did Mississippi State put the beatdown on LSU or what? I’m not sure if I’ve ever been more impressed by a single effort than I was last week by Nick Fitzgerald and the Bulldogs. Fitzgerald has officially taken the torch from Dak Prescott as the new face of Mississippi State football and has a legitimate Heisman case. However, the other Bulldogs in the SEC will have something to say about that. Despite the loss of starting QB Jacob Eason for an unknown period of time, Georgia has looked very good to start this new season, which included a very physical victory over Notre Dame and a convincing win over an underrated Appalachian State squad. Jake Fromm has looked pretty sharp to start the young campaign and the best runningback duo in the nation in Nick Chubb and Sony Michel has given the Bulldogs a huge lift.

Projected Score: Georgia 24 Mississippi State 20

#4 Penn State (-12.5) vs Iowa

Penn State has not missed a beat after winning the Big Ten last season, though that’s to be expected considering how little they lost in the offseason. Saquon Barkley continues to cement his claim as the best runningback in the nation and Trace McSorley continues to prove that Christian Hackenberg’s struggles were his own, not James Franklin’s. The defense has also been impressive. They’ve shut out 2 out of their 3 opponents so far this season. Granted those shutouts came against Akron and Georgia State, but a shutout is a shutout. Even Alabama let up points to Chattanooga last year. Iowa is going to struggle to score and will struggle to stop this Penn State attack, despite the talent they have on both sides of the ball. Penn State will get some voters considering them for the number 1 ranking after this week’s game.

Projected Score: Penn State 49 Iowa 17

Notre Dame (-3) vs Michigan State

It is hard to tell what to make of either of these two teams. Both had disastrous campaigns last season and have gotten off to solid starts to begin this new year. Notre Dame has been inconsistent offensively, though that could be due in large part to Brandon Wimbush adjusting to being in the starting role. The defense has impressed, however, especially considering how poor they were last season. Michigan State’s 2016 season was an unmitigated disaster and despite being 2-0 to start this new season, they haven’t really impressed in those two wins over lower level competition. But 2 wins is 2 wins and the Spartan defense has also looked impressive to begin the year. But I think Notre Dame avenges the loss last year and gets themselves back on track.

Projected Score: Notre Dame 27 Michigan State 20

#7 Washington (-11.5) vs Colorado

A rematch of last year’s Pac 12 championship game, Washington will look for a repeat performance, where they throttled Colorado en route to a playoff spot. Colorado will look for revenge, but they simply don’t have the weapons to compete with Washington’s talent in all three phases of the game. Sefo Liufau overachieved for them last year and he’s now being stashed away by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (was totally rooting for him to make the team, he came off as very likable on Hard Knocks). Washington, despite losing record-breaking burner John Ross, still has too many weapons for Colorado to keep up with and will coast to another victory.

Projected Score: Washington 45 Colorado 20

Bonus Game: Georgia Southern vs Indiana (-24) 

This is more a bonus for me than anything as I’m the only person in the world who would really give a damn about watching this game. I’ll be enjoying this one from the comforts of the IU student section. IU looked really good in the first 2 and a half quarters against Ohio State and rebounded nicely against Virginia the following week. Due to Hurricane Irma cancelling their tilt with Florida International, IU has had a week to prepare for the triple option of Georgia Southern and their staunch defense should have no problem containing the winless Eagles.

Projected Score: Indiana 38 Georgia Southern 14

Those are my picks. Probably will have made an absolute fool of myself with a few of them but that’s the fun in picking games. Unless you’re using this blog for insights on who to bet on. In which case, you’re getting REALLY desperate and should probably go seek out help if you’re using a barely established blog written by some kid who isn’t making any money off of it…yet.