30 Clubs in 30 Days: Miami Marlins

I’ve decided against doing a whole Combine blog because to be totally honest, I didn’t end up watching as much of it as I usually do. School has been more of a pain in the ass at this time of year than it usually is. So I’m just going to briefly go position by position and list the player who most helped himself and most hurt himself.

Quarterback: 

Helped: Josh Allen-Wyoming

Hurt: Luke Falk-Washington State

Runninbgack:

Helped: Nick Chubb-Georgia

Hurt: Kamryn Pettway-Auburn

Honorable Mention: Saquon Barkley. Had best combine but was already #1 Overall Prospect

Wide Receiver:

Helped: Antonio Callaway: Florida

Hurt: Auden Tate-Florida State

Tight End:

Helped: Mike Gesicki-Penn State

Hurt: Ryan Izzo-Florida State

Offensive Line:

Helped: Brian O’Neill-Pittsburgh

Hurt: Orlando Brown-Oklahoma

Edge Rusher:

Helped: Lorenzo Carter-Georgia

Hurt: Dorance Armstrong Jr-Kansas

Defensive Line:

Helped: Breeland Speaks-Ole Miss

Hurt: Vita Vea-Washington

Linebacker:

Helped: Shaquem Griffin-Central Florida

Hurt: Chris Worley-Ohio State

Defensive Back:

Helped: Donte Jackson-LSU

Hurt: Jordan Thomas-Oklahoma

Alright, let’s get to the Marlins.

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2017 Results:

Record: 77-85, 20 games behind Washington Nationals, 10 games behind Colorado Rockies for 2nd Wild Card Spot

Notable Offseason Additions: 2B Starlin Castro, OF Cameron Maybin, OF Lewis Brinson, RP Jumbo Diaz, OF Scott Van Slyke, IF Christhian Adames, C Bryan Holaday, Magneuris Sierra

Notable Offseason Subtractions: RF Giancarlo Stanton, CF Christian Yelich, LF Marcell Ozuna, 2B Dee Gordon, C AJ Ellis, OF Ichiro Suzuki

Best Offensive Player: C JT Realmuto

Best Pitcher: Dan Straily

Depth Chart:

C-JT Realmuto, Tomas Telis

1B-Justin Bour, Gary Cooper

2B-Starlin Castro

3B-Martin Prado

SS-JT Riddle, Miguel Rojas

LF-Derek Dietrich

CF-Lewis Brinson

RF-Cameron Maybin, Magneuris Sierra

SP-Dan Straily, Wei-Yin Chen, Jose Urena, Adam Conley, Justin Nicolino

Bullpen-Brad Ziegler (CP), Kyle Barraclough, Junichi Tazawa, Drew Steckenrider, Nick Wittgren, Brian Ellington, Sandy Alcantara

Coaching Staff-

Manager-Don Mattingly (3rd season with Marlins)

Hitting Coach-Mike Pagliarulo

Pitching Coach-Juan Nieves

1st Base Coach-Perry Hill

3rd Base Coach-Fredi Gonzalez

Bench Coach-Tim Wallach

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Shield your eyes, children. Parents, be good parents and don’t let your kids watch the Marlins this season. Don Mattingly has been put in a no-win situation and I’m surprised Derek Jeter hasn’t already sent him packing, too (could be Yankees’ honor or something). But this is far and away the least talented roster in baseball. What was once one of the most promising young rosters in baseball got completely uprooted in a matter of months, as superstar caliber players like their entire outfield of Giancarlo Stanton, Christian Yelich, and Marcell Ozuna are all gone. I mean, my word, look at this lineup.

1. Starlin Castro-2B

2. Martin Prado-3B

3. JT Realmuto-C

4. Justin Bour-1B

5. Derek Dietrich-LF

6. Cameron Maybin-RF

7. Lewis Brinson-CF

8. JT Riddle/Miguel Rojas-SS

9. Pitcher’s Spot

Honestly if you kept their outfield from 2017, this lineup could be seen as imposing, that’s how good Stanton, Yelich, and Ozuna are. But without them, there are only a few guys that can be deemed “good” and they’re not happy. Starlin Castro hasn’t played a regular season game in Miami yet and he already wants out, Realmuto wants out, pretty much the only player worth a damn that hasn’t vocally expressed his displeasure with the situation in Miami is Justin Bour. A lot of these guys would probably be in the Minor Leagues on most other teams like Cameron Maybin or JT Riddle. Though I hate to knock Maybin because he threw me a baseball once, but the fact that he’s probably the best outfielder on the team right now is alarming. Lewis Brinson is talented but he’s only played 21 career games and has a career .106 batting average. That’s your everyday centerfielder right there. Now, being one of the top prospects in baseball, he’s expected to get significantly better, but he certainly doesn’t inspire hope at the moment.

during a game  at Marlins Park on September 29, 2017 in Miami, Florida.

Dear God, I didn’t think it was possible to have a starting rotation that makes me weep for the fans, but I think the Marlins may have pulled it off. Dan Straily, who would probably be the #4 or 5 starter for most other teams, is the ace of the Marlins. Last season he went 10-9 with a 4.26 ERA and a 4.58 FIP. His best season was 2016 with the Reds when he had an ERA of 3.76 but a FIP of 4.88. Wei-Yin Chen is one of the least impressive pitchers that I’ve seen live. I saw him pitch for the Orioles once and it was the one time where I ever watched a pitcher and thought to myself “I could totally take this guy yard.” His fastball just looked so flat and easy to see, I’m not shocked that the Indians tagged him for 3 home runs that day. Granted they were all solo shots and were the only runs he allowed that day, but still. Jose Urena has some talent to him, as he had a 3.82 ERA but a 5.20 FIP and a higher walk rate of 3.39 BB/9. There is basically nothing to be excited about by this staff.

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There’s really only one guy in this Marlins bullpen that I liked going into this blog and that’s their closer Brad Ziegler and I don’t even like him in that role. Ziegler is a submarine pitcher with a vicious sinker and that makes him one of the greatest pitchers ever at forcing ground balls. In fact, Ziegler has the second highest ground ball rate of all time after Dennis Springer. But Ziegler is best used when you need to get out of a jam, like runners on first and third, one out, and you have a one-run lead. Ziegler gets a ground ball at such a high frequency that you basically have a 2 out of 3 chance (his ground ball rate) of getting that double play you need. After him, though, the Marlins bullpen does have some decent pieces but nothing too spectacular. Drew Steckenrider is far from a household name but he quietly had a 2.34 ERA and struck out over 14 batters per 9 innings in 37 appearances. I had never heard of this guy prior to writing this but I’m suddenly intrigued by him. Kyle Barraclough was a guy I’d heard of in passing and he had an ERA of 3 and struck out over 10 batters per 9. Both guys had high walk rates, but they also have swing and miss stuff and they’re surprisingly an element of the Marlins that might be worth watching this year.

Overall, the Marlins are going to suck ass. Even in a weak division like the NL East, they’re far and away the worst of the bunch. Not only is there very little talent, but the talent that they actually do have doesn’t want to be there and have publicly expressed their desire to be traded. If the Marlins somehow don’t finish with the worst record in Major League Baseball, Don Mattingly or whomever finishes the season as manager should be a candidate for NL Manager of the Year.

Projected Record: 62-100, Last in all of Major League Baseball

That record’s a bit generous but I find it insulting to a group of guys to project they’ll lose more than 100 games, so that’s my max right there. That’s going to do it for this edition of 30 Clubs in 30 Days, join me tomorrow when I discuss the Milwaukee Brewers, who made some big moves to try and gain some ground on the Cubs in the NL Central after a surprising playoff run in 2017. Let me know what you think of the Marlins’ chances in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.

30 Clubs in 30 Days: Atlanta Braves

The big story outside of baseball for me today is the fact that Dallas Mavericks owner and Indiana alumnus Mark Cuban got fined $600K by the NBA for openly admitting that it was in the Mavericks’ best interest to tank this season. I mean, he’s right and bad teams tanking is not some unknown phenomena going around, it’s pretty well established at this point. But you can’t openly say that’s what your team is doing, especially considering the league sees tanking as a big issue and is trying to take steps to prevent it. That being said, the $600K fine is ENORMOUS overkill. Let’s take it easy, here, Adam Silver. I know Cuban wipes his ass with $600K, but you’re setting a pretty rough precedent here. Tanking really isn’t THAT bad for the league, I actually think it’s good for eventual parity, as it ensures the top college prospects aren’t going to the teams that are already absolutely loaded already. Speaking of tanking, we are in Day 3 of my 30 Clubs in 30 Days series and today we’re focusing on the Atlanta Braves. Let’s take a look at how the Braves are projected to do in 2018.

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2017 Results:

Record: 72-90, 3rd in NL East, 25 games behind Washington Nationals, 15 games behind Colorado Rockies for 2nd Wild Card Spot

Notable Offseason Additions: RP Peter Moylan, C Chris Stewart, RP Chase Whitley

Notable Offseason Subtractions: RP Jason Motte, RP Ian Krol, 1B Matt Adams, SP RA Dickey, 2B Jace Peterson, 3B Adonis Garcia, CP Jim Johnson

Best Position Player: 1B Freddie Freeman

Best Pitcher: Julio Teheran

Depth Chart

C-Tyler Flowers, Kurt Suzuki, Chris Stewart

1B-Freddie Freeman

2B-Ozzie Albies

3B-Johan Camargo, Rio Ruiz

SS-Dansby Swanson, Charlie Culberson

LF-Lane Adams, Preston Tucker

CF-Ender Inciarte

RF-Nick Markakis

SP-Julio Teheran, Mike Foltynewicz, Brandon McCarthy, Scott Kazmir, Sean Newcomb

Bullpen-Arodys Vizcaino (CP), Peter Moylan, Rex Brothers, Chase Whitley, Jose Ramirez, Sam Freeman, Dan Winkler

Coaching Staff

Manager-Brian Snitker (2nd Season with Braves)

Hitting Coach-Kevin Seitzer

Pitching Coach-Chuck Hernandez

1st Base Coach-Eric Young

3rd Base Coach-Ron Washington

Bench Coach-Walt Weiss

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I’m not going to sugarcoat things, it’s going to be a long season for the Braves. The thing I would look forward to the most if I’m a Braves fan is the later part of the season, August-Septemberish, when they start making their September call-ups because their farm system is absolutely loaded and it’d be exciting to see what kind of young talent the team has for the future. Dansby Swanson and Ozzie Albies were the first in this talented group to really get their first taste of action but the Braves also feature Ronald Acuna (MLB.com’s #2 prospect), Kyle Wright, Mike Soroka, Luiz Gohara, Kolby Allard, and Max Fried, all of whom could get their shot with the big club this season. Something worth noting, all those guys I just mentioned with the exception of Acuna are pitchers so perhaps the Braves may be in for a Mets-like rotation within the next couple of years. But offensively, Atlanta is going to struggle. Here’s how they’re projected to look to start the season.

1. Ender Inciarte-CF

2. Ozzie Albies-2B

3. Freddie Freeman-1B

4. Nick Markakis-RF

5. Tyler Flowers-C

6. Dansby Swanson-SS

7. Lane Adams-LF

8. Johan Camargo-3B

9. Pitcher’s Spot

Not good. Not good at all. One thing I pride myself in is knowing who everybody in baseball is. I’m sorry to report that going into this blog I had no idea who Lane Adams and Johan Camargo were. It’s bad that you have one guy I’ve never heard in your starting lineup but these guys have two. Plus they’ll be featuring Nick Markakis near the top of their order, who hasn’t been worth more than 2 WAR since 2014. The only positives are Ender Inciarte and Freddie Freeman. Granted, they are HUGE positives for this lineup, but not enough to get them out of the bottom third of the league in runs scored like they were last season. But these two guys really are the only offensive threats the Braves have right now. Inciarte is one of the most underrated centerfielders in baseball both defensively and offensively. Last season, Inciarte hit .304 with 11 home runs, 57 RBI, 22 stolen bags, a DRS of 5 in centerfield, and a WAR of 3.0. Meanwhile Freeman continued to put himself in the discussion for best first basemen in the game as he hit .307 with 28 home runs, 71 RBI, slugged .586, and was worth 4.5 WAR despite battling injuries all season. But if the Braves are going to head in the direction they need, Dansby Swanson has to take the next step forward. The former #1 overall pick that the Braves traded Shelby Miller to the DBacks to acquire (a trade that would an all-timer of a steal if he can develop) struggled in his first full season of action, hitting just .232 with 6 home runs and 51 RBI with -7 DRS and only had a WAR of 0.1 in 144 games played. Not good at all. He is a very talented player but another season like that could be really damaging for the Braves’ rebuilding process.

during a game  at Marlins Park on September 28, 2017 in Miami, Florida.

Pitching is not a strong suit for the Braves either. Julio Teheran is easily the most talented pitcher on the roster but he’s also the most inconsistent. His seasons seem to always be good-bad-good-bad. Last year he had a career-worst ERA of 4.49 a year after making the NL All Star team in 2016 and finishing with an ERA of 3.21. Teheran also had an ERA of 2.89 in 2014 but followed that up with an ERA of 4.04 in 2015. Based on that trend, it appears that 2018 will be a strong season for Teheran but the rest of the Braves staff leaves much to be desired. Mike Foltynewicz (pronounced FOLT-in-EV-ich) is very talented but he hasn’t been able to put that talent together for a full season. You’ve also got over-the-hill starters like Brandon McCarthy and Scott Kazmir who were basically the excess from the Dodgers’ pitching staff that they were trying to get rid of. Once upon a time both guys were quality starters (in Kazmir’s case, an ace), but nowadays they’re just drifting off towards the sunset.

There are some decent pieces in the Braves’ bullpen that I think could be assets for playoff-caliber teams. Arodys Vizcaino has some really dominant stuff and pitched well last season with a 2.83 ERA and struck out over 10 batters per 9 innings. Newly-signed Peter Moylan is an underrated middle relief guy who, despite being 39 years old, can still pitch well, as he had an ERA of 3.49 last year with the Royals. He’s one of those submarine pitchers, which I have noticed tends to add a couple of years to a pitcher’s career as long as they can remain productive. He could be a guy that can help the Braves out late in games. There’s also some young talent in that bullpen such as Jose Ramirez, Sam Freeman, and Dan Winkler who could quietly have strong seasons for the Braves’ ‘pen.

Overall, I don’t expect much out of the Braves this season, but I’m sure they’re well aware of that. But their plethora of prospects is so loaded that I don’t think they’re going to suck for a whole lot longer provided their coaches can properly develop them (Swanson’s 2018 season will be a big barometer for whether or not these guys are up to the challenge). The only thing that’s really going to keep them out of the cellar of the NL East this season is a healthy Freddie Freeman because he’s such a good hitter that he can take over games if you’re not careful. Unfortunately, there is absolutely zero protection around him right now so if he’s on a hot stretch, opposing pitchers have literally no incentive to pitch to him. This season is basically an opportunity for the organization to see what the younger guys can do and plan for the future.

Projected Finish: 71-91, 4th in the NL East

That’s going to do it for Day 3 of the 30 Clubs in 30 Days series. Join me tomorrow on my 22nd birthday where I will be previewing the Baltimore Orioles, who are kind of in no-man’s land at the moment, as the front office will have some HUGE decisions to make when July rolls around. Let me know what you think of the Braves’ chances this season in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.