College Football Picks: Week 1

Last Season: 86-34

Football’s back. And for that reason, it’s time for me to play spoiler to what’s going to happen week-by-week. I’m going to try and do this every week, but given my schedule, this might not always be possible, but again, I’ll do my best. So enough chit chat, let’s get to picks.

Texas Spring Game

#23 Texas (-13.5) vs Maryland

I think Texas is a little overrated again this year, as they seem to be every year by the preseason AP polls, but I do think they’ll come out with the victory against Maryland. However head coach Tom Herman might have some issues coming his way in the future, as he may have also known about the domestic abuse of a former Ohio State assistant while he was there. Who knows what the future holds?

Projected Score: Texas 38, Maryland 31

Ole Miss vs Texas Tech (-2.5)

Ole Miss got ravaged by the sanctions and aside from tackle Greg Little and receiver AJ Brown, all the talent recruited in the Hugh Freeze era is pretty much gone. Texas Tech will likely be a pushover defensively once again but you can pretty much throw anybody at quarterback there and they’ll throw for 5000 yards. This year, it’s a toss-up as to who will earn the job between JUCO transfer McLane Carter and Jett Duffey, but Texas Tech’s offense had the same success with Nic Shimonek (undrafted) as they did with Pat Mahomes (10th overall pick) so whomever it is, I’m sure they’ll be fine. Texas Tech wins.

Projected Score: Texas Tech 55 Ole Miss 38

#6 Auburn (-2) vs #9 Washington

This is going to be a slugfest. Auburn returns a lot of talent from a top-10 team last year so they’ll be in contention for the SEC crown again this year. Washington is the favorite to come out of the Pac 12 so this could be a potential CFP preview. I think Auburn comes away with this one, though. I think they have more weapons both offensively and defensively and I think this is the year that Jarrett Stidham takes the next step.

Projected Score: Auburn 31 Washington 27

West Virginia v Kansas State

#17 West Virginia (-9.5) vs Tennessee

Will Grier is in the conversation to be the top quarterback taken in the 2019 NFL Draft but I think he’s got a little too much of a gunslinger mentality for me to trust him just yet. But I think he shows plenty of flashes as he takes apart the Volunteer defense.

Projected Score: West Virginia 35 Tennessee 24

North Carolina vs California (-7)

I never know what to expect out of North Carolina on a year-to-year basis. Some years, they’re competing for an ACC title. Others they’re struggling to win 3 games. I think this one leans towards the latter, unfortunately for Tar Heel fans, as they don’t have a quarterback like Mitch Trubisky or the defensive talent to compensate for that. Cal wins and I think they do it handily.

California 42 North Carolina 21

Cincinnati vs UCLA (-15)

The Chip Kelly era at UCLA begins and former Michigan quarterback Wilton Speight will get the start. Not sure how Speight fits Kelly’s system, but Nick Foles had success in it with the Eagles and he has even less mobility than Speight does so I’m sure they’ll find a way to make it work. I think there will be some growing pains, though, and I think I’m going to pick this game as my upset. Cincinnati is always a tricky team and can sneak up on you if you aren’t careful. Cincinnati edges UCLA as Kelly drops his debut.

Projected Score: Cincinnati 31 UCLA 30

Outback Bowl -  Michigan v South Carolina

#14 Michigan vs #12 Notre Dame (-1)

The rivalry is back on and it looks to be a defensive slugfest. Michigan has about as loaded a defense as there is in the country while there is some uncertainty on offense. Former Ole Miss quarterback Shea Patterson is getting the start and while he has shown flashes, he hasn’t quite materialized like everyone expected when he was a 5-star recruit. As for Notre Dame, there’s a little bit of uncertainty at quarterback. Brandon Wimbush showed a lot of ability but was inconsistent at times while Ian Book looked really sharp in relief. It’ll be interesting to see what Brian Kelly rolls out there Saturday night. But I think Michigan’s defense makes more plays and they win a low-scoring affair.

Projected Score: Michigan 20 Notre Dame 17

Louisville vs #1 Alabama (-24)

Alabama has another high profile game to open their season against Louisville and I’m going to be perfectly honest, that line seems a little generous. ‘Bama is as loaded as ever and Louisville lost Lamar Jackson to the NFL, who was the team the last few years. There is some uncertainty at quarterback for the Crimson Tide as Jalen Hurts and Tua Tagovailoa both are vying for the spot, but I think Bama wins the game handily with a steady dose of defense and the ground game with Damien Harris and Najee Harris (no relation).

Projected Score: Alabama 51 Louisville 17

BYU vs Arizona (-11.5)

Arizona quarterback Khalil Tate is one of the most exciting players in the country and he’ll have a full season as the starter under his belt to cement himself as the most dynamic player in the country. I think he runs all over the BYU defense and Arizona wins handily.

Projected Score: Arizona 48 BYU 24

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#8 Miami (FL) (-3.5) vs #25 LSU

Miami had a breakout season last year thanks to the Turnover Chain but they finished pretty slowly, as they ended the season with losses to Pittsburgh, Clemson, and Wisconsin with the Turnover Chain getting destroyed and humiliated. I have a feeling that LSU is going to take this one in a low-scoring turnover-fest.

Projected Score: LSU 17 Miami (FL) 13

#20 Virginia Tech vs #19 Florida State (-7)

Last year could not have gone much worse for Florida State. They start the year ranked 4th, Deondre Francois goes down for the year in Week 1, they struggle to reach a bowl game, and Jimbo Fisher leaves for Texas A&M. On the other side, things could not have gone much better for Virginia Tech as Justin Jackson showed a lot of flashes as a true freshman quarterback. They will look to build on last year’s success as they try and take down the Seminoles and I think they do.

Projected Score: Virginia Tech 31 Florida State 24

BONUS GAME: Indiana (-10.5) vs Florida International

Only I care about this game but screw it, it’s my blog. FIU tends to play Indiana pretty tough for most of the game, as they nearly pulled off the upset each of the last two times they played (2015 and 16, 17 was cancelled due to hurricane). Peyton Ramsey has been named the starting quarterback and I think he’s an efficient passer, albeit limited in terms of skillset. Indiana will win, but it’ll be close.

Projected Score: Indiana 28 FIU 20

Are there any games I didn’t do that you want my thoughts on? Let me know what you think in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.

Julian Edelman Suspended 4 Games for PED’s

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Well shit. This caught me by surprise because quite frankly, Edelman seems like one of those guys who is more than willing to put in the hard work needed in order to get better. However until a statement is released, I am under the belief that he did so in an attempt to recover more quickly from injury, which is something that some performance enhancers can do. As you may remember, Edelman tore his ACL in Week 3 of the preseason against the Lions and missed the entire season. While I still believe that he should serve the suspension, it is more forgivable to use them to try and get healthy rather than gain an unfair physical advantage over the competition. I mean, Hell, I forgave Andy Pettitte when he was named on the Mitchell Report for using HGH twice to try and recover from an injury and he spent almost all of his career as a Yankee. I get the sense that perhaps Edelman’s recovery wasn’t moving along as quickly as he’d hoped and may have used PED’s in order to speed up the process to try and get back on the field to help his team.

But as a Patriots fan, I’m not fretting over the loss of Edelman. The team didn’t have Edelman for an entire season and still reached the Super Bowl in 2017. They can survive another four games. There have been plenty of losses on the offensive side of the ball for New England this offseason, such as Danny Amendola and Dion Lewis. But there have also been some additions that are more than capable of carrying the load in Edelman’s absence.

Here’s a list of guys the Patriots will have at wide receiver for training camp, which is of course subject to change depending on how cuts go.

Chris Hogan

Jordan Matthews

Malcolm Mitchell

Kenny Britt

Cordarrelle Patterson

Braxton Berrios

Phillip Dorsett

Cody Hollister

Riley McCarron

Matthew Slater

There are also running backs such as James White, Rex Burkhead, and Sony Michel who can pick up some of the slack as receiving threats for the Patriots as well as tight ends like Rob Gronkowski and Dwayne Allen. While there aren’t a ton of superstars in this group of receivers, there are a bunch of quality guys who are more than capable of being good contributors in Edelman’s absence. Hell, that’s why they drafted Braxton Berrios in the 6th round out of Miami (FL), isn’t it? He’s basically a carbon copy of Edelman. My point is that the Patriots are going to be fine without #11 for a few more games. To accentuate my point, here’s the first four games of the Patriots’ schedule:

Week 1: Home against the Houston Texans

Week 2: Away against the Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 3: Away against the Detroit Lions

Week 4: Home against the Miami Dolphins

Edelman will be eligible to return in Week 5 at home against the Indianapolis Colts in their Thursday night tilt. But in those four games that Edelman will be out for, only Jacksonville’s corners give me cause for concern for the Patriots’ offense. And the Patriots faced them in the AFC Title Game, again without Edelman, and still won. The Lions have a very good corner in Darius Slay but other than him, they don’t have a whole lot that keeps you up at night.

While yes, losing Edelman for four games does suck, it’s not the end of the world for the Patriots, far from it. They showed last year that they’re more than capable of winning without him. It just makes life easier to have him though.

Let me know what you think of Edelman’s suspension in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.