Every Team’s Biggest Draft Steal of the 21st Century

Yesterday I listed each team’s biggest miss in the Draft. Today we’re going to be a little more positive. We’re going to take a look at the biggest steal for each team since 2000. Some ground rules for this. First off, the steal cannot come in the first two rounds, so Brett Favre and Drew Brees going in the second round will not qualify. The 2017 draft class will once again be excluded because even though guys like Kareem Hunt and Alvin Kamara shined as rookies despite being later picks, we don’t know if they were just flashes in the pan yet. Later rounders will also carry more weight when I consider this, so a steal in the 7th will be worth much more than a steal in the 3rd. Also, their candidacy as a steal applies only for the team that drafted them. So even if Favre were eligible as a steal, he was drafted by the Falcons and traded after his rookie year. I will also be including some players who were taken before the steal in question that were much less successful in their careers to hype up the steal.

Cleveland Browns-Ahtyba Rubin-DL-Iowa State (190th Overall in 2008)

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Not a flashy name by any means, but Rubin has quietly been one of the best interior defensive linemen for some time. He’s a space eater and made life for Browns linebackers much easier.

Players picked ahead of him: Glenn Dorsey-LSU, Sedrick Ellis-USC, Kentwan Balmer-North Carolina, Trevor Laws-Notre Dame, Andre Fluellen-Florida State, Marcus Harrison-Arkansas, Dre Moore-Maryland, DeMario Presley-North Carolina State, Jason Shirley-Fresno State, Carlton Powell-Virginia Tech

New York Giants-Justin Tuck-EDGE-Notre Dame (74th Overall in 2005)

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I still get nightmares over Justin Tuck’s performance in Super Bowl XLII. He absolutely battered the Patriots offensive line in that game and, quite frankly, I think Eli Manning won Super Bowl MVP for that game due to quarterback bias. Tuck was the biggest reason the Giants pulled off the biggest upset in recent memory and he parlayed that success into an excellent NFL career.

Players picked ahead of him: Erasmus James-Wisconsin, Matt Roth-Iowa, Dan Cody-Oklahoma

New York Jets-Demario Davis-LB-Arkansas State (77th Overall in 2012)

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During training camp of his rookie year, Davis was compared to Ray Lewis by his own head coach, Rex Ryan. Pretty high praise for a rookie third rounder out of tiny Arkansas State. Davis hasn’t quite been Ray Lewis, but he’s been one of the best linebackers in the game since he entered it in 2012.

Players picked ahead of him: Nobody ahead of him really sucked, 2012 was a REALLY good year for linebackers.

Houston Texans-Eric Winston-OT-Miami (FL) (66th Overall in 2006)

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This was almost Glover Quin, but I had to go with Winston for two reasons. Number 1, he’s been one of the best right tackles in the game seemingly from the get-go. Number 2, he’s so well-respected around the league that he’s the player’s representative in the Players Association. He’s one of the main guys that negotiates new deals with the NFL. Hard to argue with that.

Players picked ahead of him: Winston Justice-USC, Daryn Colledge-Boise State, Marcus McNeill-Auburn

Denver Broncos-Malik Jackson-DL-Tennessee (137th Overall in 2012)

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There were a lot of options for this spot, such as Brandon Marshall (the wide receiver) and Elvis Dumervil, but I’m going with Jackson just because he went much later than the other two. Jackson has been a dominant force on the interior defensive line for both the Broncos and the Jaguars.

Players picked ahead of him: Kendall Reyes-UConn, Jerel Worthy-Michigan State, Devon Still-Penn State, Mike Martin-Michigan, John Hughes-Cincinnati, Alameda Ta’amu-Washington

Indianapolis Colts-TY Hilton-WR-FIU (92nd Overall in 2012)

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This could’ve been Pierre Garcon or Antoine Bethea, but Hilton hit the ground running as a rookie and he’s been the Colts’ best offensive player and one of the top receivers in the league. In fact, I would argue that he’s the Colts’ best player, period.

Players picked ahead of him: Justin Blackmon-Oklahoma State, Jonathan Baldwin-Pittsburgh, AJ Jenkins-Illinois, Stephen Hill-Georgia Tech, Ryan Broyles-Oklahoma, DeVier Posey-Ohio State

Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Kwon Alexander-LB-LSU (124th Overall in 2015)

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Alexander is one of the most underrated linebackers in the game and he’s formed a deadly 1-2 punch with Lavonte David in Tampa’s linebacking group.

Players picked ahead of him: Stephone Anthony-Clemson, Paul Dawson-TCU, Ramik Wilson-Georgia

Chicago Bears-Jordan Howard-RB-Indiana (150th Overall in 2016)

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This might be a little bit of a bias because we’re both IU guys, but Howard IS the Chicago Bears right now. The entire offense has revolved around him since he took over the starting job as a rookie, when he finished 2nd in the NFL in rushing yards.

Players picked ahead of him: Tyler Ervin-San Jose State, Kenneth Dixon-Louisiana Tech, Paul Perkins-UCLA

San Francisco 49ers-Frank Gore-RB-Miami (FL) (65th Overall in 2005)

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I really wanted to pick NaVorro Bowman or Delanie Walker, mainly because Gore is the earliest pick in this steals list (he was the first pick of the 3rd round). But Gore is the all-time leading rusher for one of the most storied franchises in NFL history. That’s going to win out. Plus, most of Walker’s success came with the Titans.

Players picked ahead of him: Ronnie Brown-Auburn, Cedric Benson-Texas, Cadillac Williams-Auburn, JJ Arrington-California, Eric Shelton-Louisville

Oakland Raiders-Jared Veldheer-OT-Hillsdale (69th Overall in 2010)

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Veldheer went to Hillsdale, a college I’ve never heard of, yet was still a third round pick. Not only that, but he’s been one of the best tackles in the game. There weren’t a ton of options for the Raiders, whose draft track record this millennium has been pretty poor. But Veldheer was definitely a steal.

Players picked ahead of him: Vlad Ducasse-UMass, Charles Brown-USC

Miami Dolphins-Lamar Miller-RB-Miami (FL) (97th Overall in 2012)

of the game at Sun Life Stadium on January 3, 2016 in Miami Gardens, Florida.

This was almost Jay Ajayi, however Ajayi got traded midway through last season to the Eagles after ineffectiveness and attitude, so Miller’s going to get the nod. He was able to turn his success with the Dolphins into a big contract with the Texans. This also could’ve been Olivier Vernon, but I thought Vernon’s best year came with the Giants this past season and he was kind of irrelevant for most of his Dolphins career.

Players picked ahead of him: Trent Richardson-Alabama, David Wilson-Virginia Tech, Isaiah Pead-Cincinnati, LaMichael James-Oregon

Buffalo Bills-Kyle Williams-DL-LSU (134th Overall in 2006)

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Williams has been one of the best defensive tackles and personalities in the game and it says a lot about a guy when he was a 5th round pick in 2006 and he’s still with the team that drafted him. Williams finally made it to the postseason for the first time in his career last season and watching it unfold was a joy.

Players picked ahead of him: Brodrick Bunkley-Florida State, John McCargo-North Carolina State, Claude Wroten-LSU, Dusty Dvoracek-Oklahoma, Gabe Watson-Michigan, Orien Harris-Miami (FL)

Washington Redskins-Kirk Cousins-QB-Michigan State (102nd Overall in 2012)

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Cousins never got the respect he deserved from the Redskins organization. He wasn’t even the first quarterback Washington took in that year’s draft (he went 100 picks after RG3) and they refused to give him the extension he wanted despite his being the best quarterback they’d had in some time. Cousins just got a huge deal with the Vikings, though so we’ll have to see how that goes.

Players picked ahead of him: Brandon Weeden-Oklahoma State, Brock Osweiler-Arizona State

Green Bay Packers-Mike Daniels-DL-Iowa (132nd Overall in 2012)

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Daniels has been the enforcer on the Packers defense and has wreaked havoc on opposing offensive lines for years.

Players picked ahead of him: See Malik Jackson (Daniels was the DL taken right before Jackson)

Arizona Cardinals-Tyrann Mathieu-S-LSU (69th Overall in 2013)

XXX at University of Phoenix Stadium on November 26, 2017 in Glendale, Arizona.

This was ALMOST David Johnson, who might be my favorite runningback in the NFL. However Mathieu gets the nod because Johnson had one season of dominance before getting hurt last season while Mathieu had been doing it for 5 years. He just signed with the Texans, though. The Cardinals are going to miss him.

Players picked ahead of him: Matt Elam-Florida

Baltimore Ravens-Marshall Yanda-OG-Iowa (86th Overall in 2007)

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Yanda was drafted as a tackle but upon moving to guard, he flourished. Yanda is arguably the best guard in the NFL and has been for quite some time.

Players picked ahead of him: Arron Sears-Tennessee, Justin Blalock-Texas

Los Angeles Chargers-Keenan Allen-WR-California (76th Overall in 2013)

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This very easily could’ve been Darren Sproles, but I think Sproles’ best years came with the Saints. As for Allen, he’s been terrific when healthy for the Chargers. Last season he got to prove it and one could argue he’s the Chargers’ best player.

Players picked ahead of him: Cordarrelle Patterson-Tennessee, Justin Hunter-Tennessee, Aaron Dobson-Marshall

Seattle Seahawks-Richard Sherman-CB-Stanford (154th Overall in 2011)

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There are a LOT of candidates for this spot, such as Russell Wilson and Kam Chancellor, but Sherman’s getting the nod here. Sherman has been arguably the game’s best corner and he’s become the prototype for big-bodied corners in today’s game.

Players picked ahead of him: Ras-I Dowling-Virginia, Brandon Harris-Miami (FL), DeMarcus Van Dyke-Miami (FL), Johnny Patrick-Louisville, Curtis Marsh-Utah State, Chimdi Chekwa-Ohio State, Jalil Brown-Colorado, Roc Carmichael-Virginia Tech, Robert Sands-West Virginia, Brandon Burton-Southern Utah, Rod Issac-Middle Tennessee State

Dallas Cowboys-Jason Witten-TE-Tennessee (69th Overall in 2003)

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Another guy that went 69th overall. I swear I’m not doing this on purpose. But Witten is the Cowboys’ all-time leading receiver despite being a tight end and he’s still going strong 15 years later. A first ballot Hall of Famer if ever there was one.

Players picked ahead of him: Bennie Joppru-Michigan, LJ Smith-Rutgers, Teyo Johnson-Stanford

Detroit Lions-Cliff Avril-EDGE-Purdue (92nd Overall in 2008)

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This one might be a bit of a stretch because Avril’s best years are probably as a Seahawk, but he was playing very well with the Lions even before getting picked up by Seattle. This easily could’ve been DeAndre Levy as well but Avril was more consistent than Levy was.

Players picked ahead of him: Vernon Gholston-Ohio State, Derrick Harvey-Florida, Lawrence Jackson-USC, Phillip Merling-Clemson, Quentin Groves-Auburn, Chris Ellis-Virginia Tech

Kansas City Chiefs-Jamaal Charles-RB-Texas (73rd Overall in 2008)

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Tyreek Hill was also considered here, but Charles wins out. Owner of the best career yards-per-carry of all time, Charles has been the most electrifying runningback in the game despite having been a third round pick.

Players picked ahead of him: Felix Jones-Arkansas, Kevin Smith-Central Florida

Cincinnati Bengals-Geno Atkins-DL-Georgia (120th Overall in 2010)

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Atkins has been one of the most dominant interior defenders since he came into the league despite being considered undersized coming out of college. Despite the fact he just turned 30, he’s shown no signs of slowing down.

Players picked ahead of him: Brian Price-UCLA, Torell Troup-Central Florida, Terrence Cody-Alabama, D’Anthony Smith-Louisiana Tech

Los Angeles Rams-Richie Incognito-OG-Oregon (81st Overall in 2005)

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Despite some apparent attitude concerns, Incognito has been one of the best guards in the league. He just retired a couple weeks ago. Incognito was a driving force on the offensive lines of the Rams, Dolphins, and Bills. This might’ve been a stretch because Incognito’s best years were probably in Buffalo, but there weren’t a ton of options to choose from for the Rams.

Players picked ahead of him: Marcus Johnson-Ole Miss

Carolina Panthers-Steve Smith-WR-Utah (74th Overall in 2001)

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Josh Norman and Charles Johnson were considered here, but Steve Smith was the face of the Panthers when he was there. Smith was able to show that his diminutive stature didn’t matter, as his leaping ability more than made up for it. He was also one of the game’s best trash talkers and he will surely be inducted into the Hall of Fame when he’s eligible.

Players picked ahead of him: David Terrell-Michigan, Koren Robinson-North Carolina State, Freddie Mitchell-UCLA, Quincy Morgan-Kansas State, Robert Ferguson-Texas A&M

Tennessee Titans-Jurrell Casey-DL-USC (77th Overall in 2011)

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People are just now starting to appreciate just how good Casey is and has been for the Titans. He’s one of the best interior defensive linemen in the game and he wreaks tons of havoc in opposing backfields.

Players picked ahead of him: Phil Taylor-Baylor, Jarvis Jenkins-Clemson, Marvin Austin-North Carolina, Terrell McClain-South Florida

Atlanta Falcons-Devonta Freeman-RB-Florida State (103rd Overall in 2014)

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Freeman broke out in his second season with the Falcons and is one of the quickest backs in the game. He and fellow draft steal Tevin Coleman form arguably the deadliest runningback 1-2 punch in the NFL. Freeman’s getting the nod over Coleman because Freeman went a round later and typically gets more touches.

Players picked ahead of him: Bishop Sankey-Washington, Tre Mason-Auburn

New Orleans Saints-Marques Colston-WR-Hofstra (252nd Overall in 2006)

at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on November 1, 2015 in New Orleans, Louisiana.

The Saints’ all-time leading receiver was drafted 4th-to-last out of a school that doesn’t even have football anymore. Had Colston played one more season, he likely would’ve joined the exclusive 10,000 yards club (he’s 241 yards away).

Players picked ahead of him: Too many to list. 28 receivers were picked before him, only about 3 or 4 of them ended up being really good.

Pittsburgh Steelers-Antonio Brown-WR-Central Michigan (195th Overall in 2010)

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What more can you say about Antonio Brown? Not a lot of people realize that the best wide receiver in the game today was drafted around the same spot as Tom Brady, just ten years later. 194 players went before a guy who makes extraordinary catches like it’s nothing.

Players picked ahead of him: Arrelious Benn-Illinois, Damian Williams-USC, Jordan Shipley-Texas, Armanti Edwards-Appalachian State, Taylor Price-Ohio, Mardy Gilyard-Cincinnati, Marcus Easley-UConn, Jacoby Ford-Clemson, David Reed-Utah, Kerry Meier-Kansas, Carlton Mitchell-South Florida, Dezmon Briscoe-Kansas

Jacksonville Jaguars-Telvin Smith-LB-Florida State (144th Overall in 2014)

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Smith has been one of the league’s very best for a while now even though he didn’t start getting the recognition he deserved until the Jaguars broke out in 2017. Smith is a sideline-to-sideline tackler and is amongst the most athletic linebackers in the game.

Players picked ahead of him: Carl Bradford-Arizona State, Khairi Fortt-California, Prince Shembo-Notre Dame

Minnesota Vikings-Everson Griffen-EDGE-USC (100th Overall in 2010)

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It took Griffen a couple of years to really get going, but now that he has he’s become the best pass rusher on arguably the league’s best defense. Stefon Diggs was also considered but I feel that Griffen is more valuable to the Vikings right now than Diggs is.

Players picked ahead of him: Alex Carrington-Arkansas State, Daniel Te’o-Nesheim-Washington

New England Patriots-Tom Brady-QB-Michigan (199th Overall in 2000)

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Biggest draft steal of all time. I’m not going to insult your intelligence by trying to defend this pick any further than that.

Players picked ahead of him: Giovanni Carmazzi-Hofstra, Chris Redman-Louisville, Tee Martin-Tennessee, Spurgon Wynn-Texas State

Philadelphia Eagles-Trent Cole-EDGE-Cincinnati (146th Overall in 2005)

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Cole was the premiere pass rusher for the Eagles for nearly a decade and for a while was the most dangerous player they had. Brian Westbrook was also considered here, but Cole’s lengthy run near the top of the pass-rushing charts gets him over the top.

Players picked ahead of him: everyone ahead of Justin Tuck as well as Vincent Burns-Kentucky, Chauncey Davis-Florida State, David McMillan-Kansas

I hope this blog was your friendly reminder that just because a guy was picked late doesn’t mean he doesn’t matter. Often times these are the guys that change franchises. So don’t sleep on Day 3 of the NFL Draft. You never know when your team picks a Tom Brady. Let me know what you think of these draft steals in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.

Each Team’s Biggest Draft Bust in the 21st Century

We rave about these prospects as “can’t miss” or “once in a lifetime” type players come Draft season. But every year, without fail, somebody taken in the first round fails to live up to expectations. I’m going to take a look at each team’s biggest blunder since 2000 to remind everyone to humble themselves when it comes to getting excited about your team’s first round pick. Some things to take note of when it comes to my rules for this list: First rounders only, the 2017 draft class is excluded since we really don’t know shit about them yet (Hell, Jared Goff was looking like a colossal bust after his first season. Look what happened there), and we are only considering a player’s success with the team that drafted them. So for example, Cedric Benson is a bust candidate even though he had a successful stint with the Bengals. He was drafted by the Bears, where he was awful. Draft position also matters here. The first overall pick’s bust status is going to weigh more than the 32nd overall pick’s status, even if the 32nd pick was a way worse player. I’ll also be noting some players that played the same position as the bust in question that were taken later who had much more successful careers to add salt to the wound.

Cleveland Browns-Courtney Brown-EDGE-Penn State (1st Overall in 2000)

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The first pick of the millennium, Brown was a freak of nature athlete and, to be fair to the Browns, judging by the body of work at Penn State and his physical traits, it’s really hard to blame them for taking Brown. He was basically Myles Garrett before Myles Garrett. While Garrett looks like a budding star if he can stay healthy, Brown notched just 17 sacks in his 5 years with the Browns, never eclipsing 4.5 in a season. There were definitely worse players the Browns have taken (probably the most misses in the NFL since their revival in 1999), but Brown was the only one that went first overall.

Who they could’ve had: John Abraham-South Carolina, Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila-San Diego State

New York Giants-Ereck Flowers-OT-Miami (FL) (9th Overall in 2015)

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Flowers’ huge frame made him enticing to the Giants, however he’s been one of the worst tackles in the game, as he was rushed into the starting role before he was ready and it showed. Every Giants fan I know consistently calls for his head and it doesn’t help him that the Giants just signed Nate Solder to a huge contract.

Who they could’ve had: Andrus Peat-Stanford, DJ Humphries-Florida

New York Jets-Vernon Gholston-EDGE-Ohio State (6th Overall in 2008)

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Gholston was a genetic freak but that didn’t translate whatsoever to the NFL, as he recorded as many sacks as I did in the NFL: Zero (I had 2 sacks in high school but I guess that doesn’t count). Anytime I see a rookie get their first NFL sack, I think to myself “better pick than Gholston.”

Who they could’ve had: Calais Campbell-Miami (FL), William Hayes-Winston-Salem State, Erik Walden-Middle Tennessee State, Cliff Avril-Purdue

Houston Texans-Travis Johnson-DL-Florida State (16th Overall in 2005)

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A lot of people will want to say David Carr for this pick, but to be fair to the guy, he played behind what was statistically the worst offensive line of all time. Carr got sacked an NFL record 76 times as a rookie and that destroyed his confidence and he never recovered. Travis Johnson was an okay player for the Texans, but he wasn’t worth the 16th overall pick. He was out of the league by 2011. There really aren’t that many busts in the Texans’ short history (since 2002).

Who they could’ve had: Jonathan Babineaux-Iowa

Denver Broncos-Paxton Lynch-QB-Memphis (26th Overall in 2016)

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You know it’s bad when you can’t beat out the 7th rounder your team took the year before for the starting job. We knew Lynch would need time to develop, but even now that he has an opportunity, the Broncos are already looking to move on. He’s only made 4 starts in his NFL career and has thrown just 4 TD’s.

Who they could’ve had: Jacoby Brissett-North Carolina State, Dak Prescott-Mississippi State

Indianapolis Colts-Bjoern Werner-EDGE-Florida State (24th Overall in 2013)

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Werner was this big European guy that everybody was foaming at the mouth over with his potential. However he lasted just 3 NFL seasons and recorded just 6.5 sacks in only 16 starts before getting cut by the Colts. He was not picked up elsewhere.

Who they could’ve had: Alex Okafor-Texas, William Gholston-Michigan State

Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Mark Barron-S-Alabama (7th Overall in 2012)

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Barron was a nightmare in coverage with the Buccaneers and lasted just 2 and a half seasons in Tampa before being shipped to the Rams. Since joining the Rams, though, they moved him to linebacker and he has been decent in his new role. At bare minimum he starts for one of the deadliest defenses in the league.

Who they could’ve had: Harrison Smith-Notre Dame, Coty Sensabaugh-Clemson, Robert Blanton-Notre Dame, George Iloka-Boise State

Chicago Bears-Kevin White-WR-West Virginia (7th Overall in 2015)

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I hate calling guys who can’t stay healthy “busts” because it’s not always their fault, but White has played just 5 games since being the 7th overall pick in 2015. It’s just one serious injury after another with this guy. It’s hard to overlook.

Who they could’ve had: DeVante Parker-Louisville, Nelson Agholor-USC, Devin Funchess-Michigan, Tyler Lockett-Kansas State, Jamison Crowder-Duke, Stefon Diggs-Maryland

San Francisco 49ers-AJ Jenkins-WR-Illinois (30th Overall in 2012)

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I was scratching my head when the 49ers made this pick (I had Jenkins as a 4th rounder) and he did nothing to dispel my confusions. Jenkins lasted just 1 year with the 49ers before being traded to the Chiefs. He was out of the league by 2015 with just 17 catches and 223 career receiving yards to his name.

Who they could’ve had: Alshon Jeffery-South Carolina, Mohamed Sanu-Rutgers, TY Hilton-FIU, Travis Benjamin-Miami (FL), Marvin Jones-California, Rishard Matthews-Nevada

Oakland Raiders-Jamarcus Russell-QB-LSU (1st Overall in 2007)

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Russell was a can’t miss quarterback prospect. Then he held out almost his entire rookie season because he wanted a bigger contract, went 7-18 as a starter, ballooned to 300 pounds, and was out of the league by 2010. He’s considered one of the biggest draft busts of all time, certainly the biggest of this millennium.

Who they could’ve had: Drew Stanton-Michigan State, Trent Edwards-Stanford (2007 was a REALLY bad year to pick a quarterback)

Miami Dolphins-Dion Jordan-EDGE-Oregon (3rd Overall in 2013)

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Issues with drugs caused Jordan to miss two entire seasons due to suspension. He only played 2 years with the Dolphins and has 1 career start. Currently a member of the Seahawks, he registered 4 sacks in 5 games last season so perhaps he’s turning a corner. But after the Dolphins traded up 9 spots to get him, they have to be fuming with the results they got.

Who they could’ve had: Ziggy Ansah-BYU, see Bjoern Werner’s section

Buffalo Bills-Aaron Maybin-EDGE-Penn State (11th Overall in 2009)

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Maybin had 6 career sacks and they were all for the division rival Jets in 2011. Maybin lasted just 2 years in Buffalo and was out of the league by 2013.

Who they could’ve had: Brian Orakpo-Texas, Clay Matthews-USC, Connor Barwin-Cincinnati, Paul Kruger-Utah, Michael Johnson-Georgia Tech

Washington Redskins-Rod Gardner-WR-Clemson (15th Overall in 2001)

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This was almost Patrick Ramsey, but Ramsey was taken 32nd in 2002 while Gardner went 15th in 2001 so Gardner edges him out. Gardner got off to a decent start, posting a 1000 yard season his second year, but he never eclipsed 700 again and was out of the league by 2007.

Who they could’ve had: Santana Moss-Miami (FL), Reggie Wayne-Miami (FL), Chad Johnson-Oregon State, Chris Chambers-Wisconsin, Steve Smith-Utah, TJ Houshmandzadeh-Oregon State

Green Bay Packers-Jamal Reynolds-EDGE-Florida State (10th Overall in 2001)

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Reynolds played just 3 seasons and had a grand total of 3 sacks in his career. Really can’t say much about his career because there was hardly anything to speak of. Really bad look for the tenth pick in the draft.

Who they could’ve had: Kyle Vanden Bosch-Nebraska, Aaron Schobel-TCU, Derrick Burgess-Ole Miss, Reggie Hayward-Iowa State,

Arizona Cardinals-Matt Leinart-QB-USC (10th Overall in 2006)

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It was hard to choose between Leinart and Jonathan Cooper (when you miss on a guard at #7 overall, you know you messed up). But the Cardinals have been scared to take a quarterback in the first round ever since the former Heisman Trophy winner, so he’s going to get the nod.

Who they could’ve had: Jay Cutler-Vanderbilt, Kellen Clemens-Oregon, Tarvaris Jackson-Alabama State, Charlie Whitehurst-Clemson

Baltimore Ravens-Breshad Perriman-WR-Central Florida (26th Overall in 2015)

at Nissan Stadium on November 5, 2017 in Nashville, Tennessee.

Similar situation with Perriman as Kevin White with the Bears. He has a lot of talent and is very fast for his size, but health has been a major issue. Perriman’s only made 4 starts and has just 43 catches in his two years of actually playing (2016 and 2017, he missed his rookie year).

Who they could’ve had: see Kevin White

Los Angeles Chargers-Larry English-EDGE-Northern Illinois (16th Overall in 2009)

at Qualcomm Stadium on August 8, 2013 in San Diego, California.

12 career sacks in 7 NFL seasons will not get the job done. English never had more than 3 sacks in a season and never started more than 5 games.

Who they could’ve had: see Aaron Maybin

Seattle Seahawks-Aaron Curry-LB-Wake Forest (4th Overall in 2009)

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Curry was considered the safest prospect in the class, however he just couldn’t figure things out in the NFL. He has since become a college coach at Charlotte.

Who they could’ve had: Brian Cushing-USC, James Laurinaitis-Ohio State, Rey Maualuga-USC, DeAndre Levy-Wisconsin

Dallas Cowboys-Bobby Carpenter-LB-Ohio State (18th Overall in 2006)

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A solid special teamer, but you don’t take a special teamer in the first round. Carpenter never made more than 3 starts in a season.

Who they could’ve had: DeMeco Ryans-Alabama, D’Qwell Jackson-Maryland, Stephen Tulloch-North Carolina State

Detroit Lions-Charles Rogers-WR-Michigan State (2nd Overall in 2003)

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Arguably the biggest wide receiver bust of all time, Rogers lasted just 3 seasons in the NFL and had a grand total of 440 yards in 15 games played.

Who they could’ve had: Andre Johnson-Miami (FL), Anquan Boldin-Florida State, Nate Burleson-Nevada, Brandon Lloyd-Illinois

Kansas City Chiefs-Glenn Dorsey-DL-LSU (5th Overall in 2008)

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Not gonna’ lie, I liked Dorsey so much in college that I bought his Chiefs jersey before his first NFL game. But he never amounted to anything with the Chiefs. He became a pretty good nose tackle with the 49ers, though.

Who they could’ve had: Pat Sims-Auburn, Red Bryant-Texas A&M, Ahtyba Rubin-Iowa State

Cincinnati Bengals-Peter Warrick-WR-Florida State (4th Overall in 2000)

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Warrick never managed more than 819 yards in a season, which wouldn’t be awful if he weren’t the 4th overall pick. Had he been a 4th rounder, we’d be considering him a steal. However, that production just won’t cut it for the value.

Who they could’ve had: Plaxico Burress-Michigan State, Laveraneus Coles-Florida State, Darrell Jackson-Florida

Los Angeles Rams-Jason Smith-OT-Baylor (2nd Overall in 2009)

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This very easily could’ve been Greg Robinson, as the credentials (tackle that was the 2nd overall pick) are basically identical. But Smith’s going to get the nod on the basis that he got beat out by the tackle the Rams took in the second round of the same draft (Indiana’s Rodger Saffold, who is still with the team to this day as a guard).

Who they could’ve had: Andre Smith-Alabama, Eugene Monroe-Virginia, Michael Oher-Ole Miss, Sebastian Vollmer-Houston

Carolina Panthers-Jeff Otah-OT-Pittsburgh (19th Overall in 2008)

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Very few busts for the Panthers, giving Otah the nod. Otah was decent when healthy, however he played just 29 games in his 4-year career and was out of the league by 2012.

Who they could’ve had: Duane Brown-Virginia Tech, King Dunlap-Auburn, Geoff Schwartz-Oregon

Tennessee Titans-Jake Locker-QB-Washington (8th Overall in 2011)

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Locker got off to a promising start, as he was pretty good in his first game, but he never got better. It’s also worth mentioning that all 7 guys picked ahead of him made the Pro Bowl in what was an absolutely stacked 2011 class. Locker retired after 4 seasons.

Who they could’ve had: Andy Dalton-TCU, Colin Kaepernick-Nevada, Tyrod Taylor-Virginia Tech

Atlanta Falcons-Jamaal Anderson-EDGE-Arkansas (8th Overall in 2007)

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Anderson registered just 7.5 career sacks, never more than 3 in a season, and was out of the league by 2013.

Who they could’ve had: Anthony Spencer-Purdue, Lamarr Woodley-Michigan, Charles Johnson-Georgia, Brian Robison-Texas

New Orleans Saints-Johnathan Sullivan-DL-Georgia (6th Overall in 2003)

2003 New Orleans Saints Headshots

All Images Copyright Michael C. Hebert

Sullivan played just 4 years in the NFL, 3 with the Saints, started 12 games as a rookie but 4 the rest of his career. He was out of the league by 2007.

Who they could’ve had: Kevin Williams-Oklahoma State

Pittsburgh Steelers-Jarvis Jones-EDGE-Georgia (19th Overall in 2013)

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6 career sacks for a guy who at one point in the draft process was being slated as the #1 overall pick. He’s currently a member of the Arizona Cardinals but hasn’t played a snap for them.

Who they could’ve had: see Dion Jordan

Jacksonville Jaguars-Luke Joeckel-OT-Texas A&M (2nd Overall in 2013)

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There were a lot of guys that were really deserving but Joeckel is going to win out because he was taken 2nd overall. Joeckel has been a turnstyle on the offensive line and is currently a member of the Seattle Seahawks, starting 11 games at guard for arguably the NFL’s worst offensive line.

Who they could’ve had: Lane Johnson-Oklahoma, Justin Pugh-Syracuse, Terron Armstead-Arkansas-Pine Bluff, David Bakhtiari-Colorado, Ricky Wagner-Wisconsin

Minnesota Vikings-Troy Williamson-WR-South Carolina (7th Overall in 2005)

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Williamson was an absolute freak at the Combine, but those skills never translated to the NFL. He never had more than 455 yards in a season and was out of the league by 2010.

Who they could’ve had: Roddy White-UAB, Vincent Jackson-Northern Colorado

New England Patriots-Dominique Easley-DL-Florida (29th Overall in 2014)

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Easley’s tenure in New England lasted just 2 seasons before he was traded to the Rams after numerous injuries and what many considered to be a “cancerous” personality in the locker room. It didn’t help that he only started 3 games for the Patriots.

Who they could’ve had: Timmy Jernigan-Florida State, Beau Allen-Wisconsin

Philadelphia Eagles-Danny Watkins-OG-Baylor (23rd Overall in 2011)

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Watkins played just 2 seasons with the Eagles before he retired to become a firefighter. Never made a huge impact when he was on the field either.

Who they could’ve had: Clint Boling-Georgia, Daniel Kilgore-Appalachian State

There are going to be busts in every draft, however there are also steals, guys who slip through the cracks and outperform their draft slot. Tomorrow I’m going to do something similar and pick out each team’s best draft steal since 2000. Let me know what you think of these draft busts in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.

2018 NFL Draft Positional Rankings

With the 2018 NFL Draft just a couple weeks away, I thought I’d do things a little different. The week of the Draft (more specifically, April 26) I will have my final Mock Draft published. The week before, I’ll have my final Big Board. This week, as you can see because you’re reading it, we’ve got my positional rankings. These rankings are based on my personal feelings about each prospect. I haven’t gotten to watch film on all of them so there are a bunch that will be there based on reports I’ve read and other rankings I’ve seen. These rankings also won’t be reflective about where I think they’ll go in the Draft, as team fits and needs will play a factor in that. However, they will somewhat reflect my Big Board. So without further ado, let’s get to the positional rankings.

Quarterback

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1. Josh Rosen-UCLA

2. Sam Darnold-USC

3. Baker Mayfield-Oklahoma

4. Josh Allen-Wyoming

5. Mason Rudolph-Oklahoma State

6. Lamar Jackson-Louisville

7. Luke Falk-Washington State

8. Mike White-Western Kentucky

9. Kyle Lauletta-Richmond

10. Logan Woodside-Toledo

Runningback

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1. Saquon Barkley-Penn State

2. Derrius Guice-LSU

3. Ronald Jones II-USC

4. Sony Michel-Georgia

5. Nick Chubb-Georgia

6. Rashaad Penny-San Diego State

7. Nyheim Hines-North Carolina State

8. Bo Scarbrough-Alabama

9. Royce Freeman-Oregon

10. Kerryon Johnson-Auburn

Wide Receiver

at Bryant-Denny Stadium on September 16, 2017 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.

1. Calvin Ridley-Alabama

2. Christian Kirk-Texas A&M

3. DJ Moore-Maryland

4. Courtland Sutton-SMU

5. DJ Chark-LSU

6. Anthony Miller-Memphis

7. James Washington-Oklahoma State

8. Tre’Quan Smith-Central Florida

9. Jaleel Scott-New Mexico State

10. Dante Pettis-Washington

Tight End

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1. Dallas Goedert-South Dakota State

2. Mike Gesicki-Penn State

3. Hayden Hurst-South Carolina

4. Ian Thomas-Indiana

5. Mark Andrews-Oklahoma

6. Troy Fumagalli-Wisconsin

7. Durham Smythe-Notre Dame

8. Dalton Schultz-Stanford

9. Jaylen Samuels-North Carolina State

10. Tyler Conklin-Central Michigan

Offensive Tackle

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1. Connor Williams-Texas

2. Mike McGlinchey-Notre Dame

3. Kolton Miller-UCLA

4. Brian O’Neill-Pittsburgh

5. Tyrell Crosby-Oregon

6. Jamarco Jones-Ohio State

7. Geron Christian-Louisville

8. Martinas Rankin-Mississippi State

9. Orlando Brown-Oklahoma

10. Chukwuma Okorafor-Western Michigan

Offensive Guard

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1. Quenton Nelson-Notre Dame

2. Isaiah Wynn-Georgia

3. Will Hernandez-UTEP

4. Braden Smith-Auburn

5. Wyatt Teller-Virginia Tech

6. Tyrone Crowder-Clemson

7. Sean Welsh-Iowa

8. Taylor Hearn-Clemson

9. Colby Gossett-Appalachian State

10. Sam Jones-Arizona State

Center

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1. James Daniels-Iowa

2. Billy Price-Ohio State

3. Frank Ragnow-Arkansas

4. Bradley Bozeman-Alabama

5. Mason Cole-Michigan

6. Will Clapp-LSU

7. Austin Corbett-Nevada

8. Brian Allen-Michigan State

9. Scott Quessenberry-UCLA

10. Coleman Shelton-Washington

Edge Rusher

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1. Bradley Chubb-North Carolina State

2. Marcus Davenport-UTSA

3. Harold Landry-Boston College

4. Sam Hubbard-Ohio State

5. Uchenna Nwosu-USC

6. Lorenzo Carter-Georgia

7. Josh Sweat-Florida State

8. Arden Key-LSU

9. Dorance Armstrong Jr-Kansas

10. Ogbonnia Okoronkwo-Oklahoma

Defensive Line

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1. Da’Ron Payne-Alabama

2. Vita Vea-Washington

3. Maurice Hurst-Michigan

4. Taven Bryan-Florida

5. Harrison Phillips-Stanford

6. Rasheem Green-USC

7. BJ Hill-North Carolina State

8. Tim Settle-Virginia Tech

9. Derrick Nnadi-Florida State

10. Will Geary-Kansas State

Linebacker

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1. Tremaine Edmunds-Virginia Tech

2. Roquan Smith-Georgia

3. Rashaan Evans-Alabama

4. Leighton Vander Esch-Boise State

5. Malik Jefferson-Texas

6. Shaquem Griffin-Central Florida

7. Josey Jewell-Iowa

8. Jerome Baker-Ohio State

9. Tegray Scales-Indiana

10. Micah Kiser-Virginia

Cornerback

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1. Denzel Ward-Ohio State

2. Josh Jackson-Iowa

3. Isaiah Oliver-Colorado

4. Jaire Alexander-Louisville

5. Mike Hughes-Central Florida

6. Carlton Davis-Auburn

7. Donte Jackson-LSU

8. Duke Dawson-Florida

9. MJ Stewart-North Carolina

10. Anthony Averett-Alabama

Safety

Alabama at Vanderbilt

1. Minkah Fitzpatrick-Alabama

2. Derwin James-Florida State

3. Justin Reid-Stanford

4. Ronnie Harrison-Alabama

5. Deshon Elliott-Texas

6. Jessie Bates III-Wake Forest

7. Jordan Whitehead-Pittsburgh

8. Quin Blanding-Virginia

9. Terrell Edmunds-Virginia Tech

10. Marcus Allen-Penn State

Those are my positional rankings for the 2018 NFL Draft class. Let me know what you think of them in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.

College Football Bowl Picks

Regular Season Record: 86-34       Conference Title Record: 8-0        Army-Navy: 0-1

This is going to get interesting. Bowl season is totally unpredictable but I’m going to do my damndest to try. I nailed the conference championship games but the task is a little more daunting this time around, as I’ve got about 40 games to do. For that reason, I’m going to keep this intro short. Let’s get to it.

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl: Troy (-6) vs North Texas

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Troy is best remembered this season for beating LSU at their Homecoming but they really were a lot better than just that. These guys won the Sun Belt Conference this year and while that’s probably the least impressive conference in all of college football, it still says a lot about the success you’ve had this season. They face a tough offense in North Texas, led by quarterback Mason Fine, who could eclipse 4000 yards passing on the season in this game, which would be the first time in school history that has happened. He’s already CRUSHED the previous school record set back in 1994. I’m going with Troy in this one. They’ve shown they’re capable of winning the big game, North Texas hasn’t (their only win that can be deemed as quality is Army).

Projected Score: Troy 31 North Texas 27

Autonation Cure Bowl: Western Kentucky (-4.5) vs Georgia State

Despite losing former head coach Jeff Brohm to Purdue before the start of the season, Western Kentucky hasn’t lost much of a step in terms of the passing game. Hilltoppers quarterback Mike White should eclipse 4000 yards on the season barring an unbelievable performance from the Georgia State defense, which has been pretty inconsistent this season. They shut out Charlotte for their first win of the season but that came a week after losing to Penn State 56-0. Now yes, it’s Penn State, but that’s still not a good look to have a score like that on your resume. They also only barely beat god-awful Georgia Southern 21-17 towards the end of the season. I’ve got Western Kentucky big in this.

Projected Score: Western Kentucky 41 Georgia State 17

Las Vegas Bowl: #25 Boise State vs Oregon (-6.5)

I find the Las Vegas Bowl often has some pretty good matchups and this year is no exception. Boise State is the first ranked team to play their bowl game this year and they’re playing an Oregon team that’s just a couple years removed from appearing in the National Championship game. Now granted, a LOT has changed for the Ducks in that time, but there are still some players from that team on the current roster. However, not on the roster is head coach Willie Taggart, who was hired away by Florida State. His interim will be Mario Cristobal, who does have some head coaching experience, as he was the head man at FIU from 2007-2012. I don’t think it will help a whole lot, though, I think Boise State is going to come away with this one.

Projected Score: Boise State 28 Oregon 24

Gildan New Mexico Bowl: Marshall vs Colorado State (-5.5)

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If you do manage to catch this game, look out for Colorado State receiver Michael Gallup. He’s among the best there is in the country and doesn’t get a lot of exposure due to the fact he plays for Colorado State. 94 catches for 1345 yards and 7 TDs on the year for the senior from Monroe, GA. I don’t care what your level of competition was, that’s impressive. They face a Marshall team that is ice cold right now, losing 4 of their last 5 games, though 3 of those 4 games were decided by 5 or fewer points and the one that wasn’t was decided by 11. I’m giving the edge to Colorado State, I just think they have too many weapons on offense for Marshall to keep up with.

Projected Score: Colorado State 35 Marshall 28

Raycom Media Camellia Bowl: Middle Tennessee State vs Arkansas State (-4)

What’s Camellia? I’ve never heard that word in my life, but my autocorrect seems to think it’s fine. Seems like an odd thing to name your bowl game, but I’m sure Middle Tennessee State and Arkansas State aren’t complaining, as MTSU had to win their final game of the season to become bowl eligible while Arkansas State had their game against Miami (FL) cancelled due to Hurricane Irma and were put at a slight disadvantage in having to reach the required 6 wins in 11 games. Well they got 7 and will try and carry that season-long success into back-to-back bowl wins. I think they’ll do it, too. They’ve had a lot of success throwing the ball this season and I think MTSU will have some problems defending the plethora of receivers they have.

Projected Score: Arkansas State 38 Middle Tennessee State 27

Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl: Akron vs Florida Atlantic (-18.5)

I’m not going to get too deep into this one. Akron is a team that kind of lucked into a bowl appearance while Florida Atlantic has one of the best rushing attacks in the nation. I think they’re going to stampeded the Zips. This is one of the few bowl lines that is in double digits and there’s a reason for that, Lane Kiffin’s ground attack is too dominant.

Projected Score: Florida Atlantic 45 Akron 14

DXL Frisco Bowl: Louisiana Tech vs SMU (-5.5)

Louisiana Tech is a pretty average team and that’s going to be a problem when you face an offense as potent as SMU’s. Not only can quarterback Ben Hicks sling it, but he’s got two of the best receivers in the nation in Trey Quinn and potential first round draft pick Courtland Sutton. The Mustangs are going to score a ton of points as they also have an effective ground game, as Xavier Jones is over 1000 yards rushing on the season. I’ve actually got SMU in a blowout.

Projected Score: SMU 52 Louisiana Tech 24

Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl: Temple (-7) vs Florida International

Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl. What a name for a bowl game. I’d argue it’s an even better name than the now-defunct Beef ‘O’ Brady’s Bowl. This game will also be played at my least favorite baseball stadium in Tropicana Field, so that’s about as perfect a combination of complete crap as you could ask for. Classic random-ass bowl games. Oh and there’s a football game that’s going to be played between Temple and Florida International. Temple has very little going for them offensively and defensively they’re not much better. Looking at their overall stats, I’m amazed they made it to 6-6. I think Florida International is going to come away with this one relatively handily.

Projected Score: Florida International 34 Temple 21

Bahamas Bowl: UAB vs Ohio (-8)

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What a journey it’s been for UAB. A few years back they got their football program cut despite going 6-6, which resulted in an exodus from many top players, including Jordan Howard to my Indiana Hoosiers, who as you may know is currently tearing it up in the NFL with the Chicago Bears. There was enough backlash from the UAB faithful that the school brought the program back. Now, in their first year back after a 2-year hiatus, the Blazers are bowl eligible for only the second time in school history. This is probably going to wind up being my favorite storyline of the college football season when the Blazers lift that Bahamas Bowl trophy in their victory over Ohio. Also UAB’s logo is a fire-breathing dragon and that’s awesome. Can’t not subconsciously root for them.

Projected Score: UAB 27 Ohio 21

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Central Michigan vs Wyoming (pick ’em)

This is going to be a battle between two talented quarterbacks. Central Michigan quarterback Shane Morris showed all the talent in the world at Michigan but just couldn’t put it together before transferring to the Chippewas while Wyoming features potential top-10 draft pick Josh Allen. Despite being as talented as he is, Allen didn’t really have that great of a season. That can be due in part to a lack of real talent around him and in part due to the fact that Wyoming didn’t throw it a whole lot. But it is also most likely due to the fact that Allen has been playing on a bum shoulder for much of the season, which of course is a pretty big deal for a quarterback. I’m still looking for that one big performance that tells me that Allen is going to be a successful NFL QB but I just don’t know if that’s going to be in the cards. That shoulder injury is going to hurt Wyoming’s chances.

Projected Score: Central Michigan 31 Wyoming 24

Birmingham Bowl: Texas Tech vs South Florida (-2)

This could be the highest-scoring game of the bowl season. We all know how much Texas Tech likes to throw the ball, it’s been pretty well-documented, but USF’s Quinten Flowers is one of the most dynamic players in the country and has the ability to score on anybody at any time. Add in the fact that the Red Raiders can’t defend for shit and you’ve got the makings of a 5-hour game that ends with both teams over 50 points. I think that’s what we’re going to get and I’ve got South Florida taking home the trophy.

Projected Score: South Florida 55 Texas Tech 52

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl: San Diego State vs Army (no line)

If Army’s going to have any shot at this game, they need to keep Rashaad Penny off the field. Penny is a monster with the ball in his hands and Army will need to dominate the time of possession if they’re going to stop him. If any team can do it, though, it’s the men at West Point. Their offense is built around the ground game and controlling the tempo. I think they’ll have some success early, but I think they will struggle to contain Penny and the Aztecs will pull away late.

Projected Score: San Diego State 31 Army 20

Dollar General Bowl: Appalachian State vs Toledo (-8)

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Toledo is among the best mid-major teams in all of college football. Quarterback Logan Woodside is one of the more underrated passers in the game today and while the Appalachian State Mountaineers have a pretty good defense, they’re going to struggle to contain all of Toledo’s weapons. Appalachian State won a share of the Sun Belt title with Troy and it was on the strength of an effective ground game. They’re going to struggle to keep up with Toledo, though.

Projected Score: Toledo 35 Appalachian State 30

Hawaii Bowl: Fresno State vs Houston (-2)

I don’t know why this game is a Christmas Eve tradition, but it is. Usually it’s kind of a shitty matchup but this year it pits two of the best mid-major teams in the country. Fresno State nearly won the Mountain West a year after going 1-11 and Houston has continued to play well despite losing Tom Herman to (arguably) greener pastures in Texas. It’s going to be a defensive battle as Fresno State has one of the toughest defenses in the nation while Houston features perhaps the nation’s best overall defensive player in defensive tackle Ed Oliver. I’m going to give the edge to Houston in this one, as it’s more of a gut feeling than anything at this point.

Projected Score: Houston 17 Fresno State 10

Zaxby’s Heart of Dallas Bowl: Utah (-5) vs West Virginia

Utah started out the season so nicely but then face-planted so hard. They started the year 4-0 but finished the season losing 6 of their last 8 and had to win the season finale over Colorado in order to even be bowl eligible. Normally, I would say they’re screwed for their game, but West Virginia isn’t sure if they will have quarterback Will Grier, who is nursing a broken finger on his throwing hand. Had it been his left hand, you could probably wrap it up with another finger and have him go out there, but not when it’s on your right hand where it will directly affect how you throw. But to be honest, his replacement, Chris Chugunov (what a name) didn’t play that badly against Oklahoma in his start. Was he particularly good? No, but he kept West Virginia reasonably in the game. They still ended up losing by 28, but that’s because Oklahoma scored 59 points. Leading your team to 31 points against the second best team in the country isn’t half bad. That’s why I’m going with the Mountaineers in this game, with or without Grier.

Projected Score: West Virginia 38 Utah 24

Quick Lane Bowl: Duke (-3.5) vs Northern Illinois

Duke’s offensive line is going to have their hands full with Northern Illinois. The Huskies have arguably the best pass rusher in the nation in Sutton Smith, who led all of college football with 14 sacks to go along with 28 tackles for loss. Duke started the year 4-0 before losing 6 straight and had to win their last two in order to become bowl eligible, but they were able to pull it off, beating two pretty good teams in Georgia Tech and Wake Forest. But I think Duke is going to struggle to protect quarterback Daniel Jones in this one. They were 80th in the nation in sacks allowed and they go up against the team that led the nation in sacks. I’ve got Northern Illinois taking this one.

Projected Score: Northern Illinois 20 Duke 17

Cactus Bowl: Kansas State (-3) vs UCLA

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Kansas State is going to struggle to throw the football in this one. They used three different quarterbacks this year and none of them were particularly successful. Despite this, they have one of the better defenses in the Big 12, which is saying nothing.  This team is going to get eaten alive by Josh Rosen, though. They simply can’t keep up with him on offense and I think this is going to be the game that solidifies him as the number 1 pick in the Draft.

Projected Score: UCLA 42 Kansas State 24

Walk On’s Independence Bowl: Southern Miss vs Florida State (-15)

Normally, I would wonder how in the Hell this matchup is even legal. But losing Deondre Francois in Week 1 derailed Florida State’s season so hard, Jimbo Fisher skipped town for Texas A&M. They’ve still managed to become bowl eligible, though and will look to try and pick up the win against Southern Miss. Southern Miss has one of the best rushing attacks in the country, led by Ito Smith and his 1300 yards on the ground. The defense has also been solid this year, as they’ve pitched two shutouts. But I’m going with Florida State here, but I don’t think it will be nearly as big a blowout as the line might suggest.

Projected Score: Florida State 27 Southern Miss 24

New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Iowa (-3) vs Boston College

This is the one bowl I’ve ever attended, when Indiana played Duke and Indiana lost in OT after a Griffin Oakes field goal was incorrectly called no good. It traditionally has some pretty good games in their Big Ten-ACC matchup. Iowa has perhaps one of the most damaging victories all season in that their 31-point win over Ohio State most certainly knocked the Big Ten out of the playoff picture. Boston College, meanwhile, has been one of the more up-and-down teams I’ve seen in a while. One week they’ll absolutely DESTROY Florida State and then the next they’ll lose to NC State (not a knock against the Wolfpack, but BC’s offense in particular can’t seem to find a consistent rhythm). I’m going with Boston College for this one, as aside from that one performance against the Buckeyes, Iowa hasn’t been that impressive this year.

Projected Score: Boston College 24 Iowa 20

Foster Farms Bowl: Arizona (-3.5) vs Purdue

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So as you may have read, Arizona quarterback Khalil Tate is my favorite to win the Heisman next season because of the dominant stretches he displayed. However he does need to improve as a passer if he’s going to reach those heights. Purdue is a pretty solid run defense, especially with Ja’Whaun Bentley at linebacker. Tate might need to whip out that passing ability if Arizona is going to keep pace, but I think they will. Tate is such a talented runner that I think overall he’s going to overpower Purdue and Arizona will get the win.

Projected Score: Arizona 28 Purdue 21

Academy Sports+Outdoors Texas Bowl: Texas vs Missouri (-1)

Both teams were quietly pretty solid this season mainly because it was below their traditional standards, but definitely better than the last couple years. Texas showed some promise under Tom Herman but it may be a couple of years before they return to the Longhorns of old. Missouri’s Drew Lock had a fantastic season throwing the football, as he led the nation in passing touchdowns this season. I’m going to give the edge to Texas in this one. It’s a toss up but the game is being played in Houston, where the Longhorns will essentially have a home field advantage, which is big in college sports.

Projected Score: Texas 30 Missouri 27

Military Bowl: Virginia vs Navy (no line)

Virginia actually had a pretty good season this year. After going 2-10 in Bronco Mendenhall’s first season at the helm, the Cavaliers turned it around nicely and find themselves in a bowl game. Also, quarterback Kurt Benkert is getting some looks from the NFL as a result of his successful season. They face a Navy team that lost a heart breaker to Army in the snow and I just don’t know if they have what it takes to take down this surprisingly talented Virginia squad. I’ve got the other Cavs in this one.

Projected Score: Virginia 24 Navy 14

Camping World Bowl: #22 Virginia Tech vs #19 Oklahoma State (-6.5)

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This is too good a matchup to be relegated to the likes of the Camping World Bowl, but at least in most cases by the time the game actually kicks off, you kind of forget which bowl you’re playing in. The number 3 scoring offense in Oklahoma State vs the number 5 scoring defense in Virginia Tech. Something’s gotta give. I think I’m going to give the edge to Oklahoma State here. Yes, I know, a matchup of this type usually ends up favoring the defense, but the Cowboys have far too many weapons that the Hokies have to compete with.

Projected Score: Oklahoma State 35 Virginia Tech 30

Valero Alamo Bowl: #13 Stanford vs #15 TCU (-2.5)

This is going to be a really close game as both teams have the ability to be really explosive on offense while also featuring some of the best defenses in their respective conferences. Heisman runner-up Bryce Love leads the Cardinal to face TCU and their duo of talented defensive ends in Ben Banogu and Mat Boesen. While I do think Love is going to have a big game for the Cardinal, I don’t think it will be enough to compete with the TCU offense. Kenny Hill’s been having a tremendous season for the Horned Frogs and I think he leads them to an Alamo Bowl victory over Stanford.

Projected Score: TCU 28 Stanford 23

San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl: #18 Washington State (-2.5) vs #16 Michigan State

Like the Oklahoma State-Virginia Tech matchup, this game features one of the top offenses in the country in Washington State vs one of the top defenses in Michigan State. The Cougars are the second best passing offense in the nation, trailing only the aforementioned Oklahoma State while the Spartans allowed under 200 passing yards per game this season. It’s going to be a tough matchup but I think Washington State is going to come out on top. Michigan State has been too careless with the football offensively, as they’ve fumbled it more than any team in the country that doesn’t run a run-only offense, which I think the Cougars will find ways to capitalize on.

Projected Score: Washington State 31 Michigan State 24

Belk Bowl: Wake Forest (-3) vs Texas A&M

Wake Forest was quietly a pretty good team this season, as they went 7-5 this season, including wins over a Lamar Jackson-led Louisville team and a late-season win over then-#19 NC State. They take on a Texas A&M team that is getting a major face lift, as they fired Kevin Sumlin only to turn around and hire Jimbo Fisher away from the Florida State Seminoles. Fisher, however, will not be leading the Aggies in this game, as that task will fall on Jeff Banks. I’m actually going to go with the Demon Deacons in this game. There’s too much turmoil going on with the Aggies in this game and I think it could become a distraction, which is the last thing you want when you face a pesky team like this.

Projected Score: Wake Forest 24 Texas A&M 21

Hyundai Sun Bowl: #24 NC State (-6.5) vs Arizona State

Like Texas A&M, Arizona State also hired a new head coach in Herm Edwards, who has previously coached in the NFL with the Jets and Chiefs. It’s an odd situation because despite firing the incumbent Todd Graham, Graham will still be coaching this game for the Sun Devils. This could go one of two ways: Graham could be salty and sabotage this game for his former employer, or he could try and go out with a bang and give his best performance. I don’t think it’ll matter a whole lot what he ends up doing because I think NC State’s Bradley Chubb is going to give a similar performance to what we saw Solomon Thomas give for Stanford in their bowl game last year: a performance that will solidify him in the Top-5 pick discussion. I’ve got the Wolfpack in this game.

Projected Score: NC State 27 Arizona State 20

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl: Kentucky vs #21 Northwestern (-8.5)

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Kentucky is quietly a pretty good team this year as they went 7-5, including wins over South Carolina, Missouri, and Tennessee. Mark Stoops has done a Hell of a job with his team this year, but I think they’re going to run into some problems against Northwestern. The Wildcats had one of the best seasons in school history, as they went 9-3, including winning each of their last 7 games, including an OT win over Michigan State. Northwestern plays some really sound and fundamental football and I think they’re going to frustrate this Kentucky offense that is predicated on being able to run the football. I’ve got Northwestern in this game.

Projected Score: Northwestern 23 Kentucky 13

Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl: New Mexico State vs Utah State (-3)

The battle of the Aggies, this game might slip under the radar a bit because it’s not a matchup of household names. Which is a shame, because when they’re on, they can be two of the most exciting offenses in college football. New Mexico State’s Tyler Rogers ranked among the best passers in the game with his 3825 passing yards this season while Utah State preferred a more balanced attack that spreads the ball around to various different options. I’m going to go with New Mexico State for this game. Utah State’s defense has had its struggles this season and I think Rogers is going to have a field day.

Projected Score: New Mexico State 38 Utah State 27

Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic: #8 USC vs #5 Ohio State (-7)

So in an 8-team playoff format, this would be the 4 vs 5 matchup and dammit if I’m not pumped for it. Getting a chance to watch Ohio State live twice this season, I was able to see firsthand just how much better this team got over the course of the season. Their defense, which struggled to contain Indiana’s Richard Lagow and Simmie Cobbs, were lights out in the Big Ten championship, absolutely shutting down Heisman hopeful Jonathan Taylor. Their defense will put potential top pick Sam Darnold to the test, as this will be by far the toughest defense he faces all year. How he performs in this game will go a long way in determining whether he really is the top quarterback everybody projected him to be. I think he will have his struggles, though I don’t think it will necessarily be because of him. I think USC’s offensive line will struggle to protect him against the monster of a front that Ohio State has and they will wreak havoc on the Trojans.

Projected Score: Ohio State 30 USC 20

TaxSlayer Bowl: Louisville (-6) vs #23 Mississippi State

Lamar Jackson may have finished third in the Heisman voting this year, but I would argue that he actually played better in 2017 than he did in his banner 2016 season. Louisville wasn’t quite as good as they were last year and that’s really what hurt Jackson’s Heisman chances. They face a Mississippi State team that can be very dangerous, as they came the closest to beating Alabama before Auburn was able to pull it off in the Iron Bowl. But I think they will struggle to contain Lamar Jackson. Limiting Jalen Hurts is one thing, but Jackson is so much better a passer that it’s going to be too much for the Bulldogs to keep track of.

Projected Score: Louisville 38 Mississippi State 30

Autozona Liberty Bowl: Iowa State vs #20 Memphis (-3)

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Memphis’ Riley Ferguson can sling it with the best of them, as he showed in Memphis’ early-season win over Josh Rosen’s UCLA Bruins, where Ferguson was able to outduel the potential top draft pick. He’s also got a lot of weapons on offense that will cause Iowa State a lot of problems, however if anybody is up to the task, it’s the Cyclones. Iowa State is the only team to beat Oklahoma this season and they also were able to hand TCU their first loss of the season. Both teams ended up playing in the Big 12 title game, so Iowa State does a great job of playing up to their competition. However I think the combination of Ferguson and receiver Anthony Miller is going to be too much for Iowa State to handle and I think Memphis will come away with this one.

Projected Score: Memphis 42 Iowa State 38

Playstation Fiesta Bowl: #11 Washington vs #9 Penn State (-3)

This is a matchup made in heaven. Two teams that boast not only talented offenses, but talented defenses as well. They each had a couple of rough goes, Penn State likely would have played for the Big Ten Title game had JT Barrett not pulled off a miraculous comeback to knock off the then-second-ranked Nittany Lions. Then they lost to Michigan State after a 3-and-a-half-hour storm delay midway through the contest that likely threw off their groove. Washington also had a couple of ugly defeats, as they were upset by Arizona State midway through the season, then a loss to Stanford that effectively eliminated them from Pac 12 title contention. Both teams will be looking for a bit of redemption for their once promising seasons and I think this will go down to the wire. I’m going to go with Penn State to get the win, though. I think their offense is too explosive for Washington to keep up with for four quarters.

Projected Score: Penn State 31 Washington 28

Capital One Orange Bowl: #6 Wisconsin (-6.5) vs #10 Miami (FL)

The Turnover Chain is dead. Clemson buried it.

The Hurricanes are suddenly ice cold as they’ve delivered back-to-back duds to close out their schedule. They lost in embarrassing fashion to Pittsburgh, then got obliterated by Clemson in the ACC Championship game with a playoff berth on the line. Then Dabo Swinney’s bunch destroyed what had been the emblem of the Hurricanes’ season in the Turnover Chain and Miami fans can’t be feeling much lower right now. They take on a Wisconsin team that may have been exposed a little bit in their loss to Ohio State. While the Badgers did manage to keep the game close, it was mainly because Ohio State shot themselves in the foot on multiple occasions. That being said, I think this defense is going to cause a lot of problems for Malik Rosier and company and Wisconsin will come away with the victory.

Projected Score: Wisconsin 24 Miami (FL) 10

Outback Bowl: Michigan (-8.5) vs South Carolina

These two teams have met in the Outback Bowl before.

However South Carolina doesn’t have anybody who evenly remotely resembles JaDeveon Clowney this year. Michigan has had their struggles at the quarterback position this year but if they can get the ground game working, then I think they will be okay. Defensively they’re so good they can practically take over games. I’ve got the Wolverines winning this one.

Projected Score: Michigan 21 South Carolina 17

Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl: #12 UCF vs #7 Auburn (-10)

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Why Auburn is ranked 7th despite being a 3-loss team is beyond me, but it doesn’t really matter anymore as long as they aren’t in the playoff. They looked good to start the SEC Championship game, marching down the field and scoring a touchdown on their first possession. Then Georgia unraveled them and scored 28 unanswered. They face the lone unbeaten team in college football in UCF. Despite being hired by Nebraska, UCF head coach Scott Frost will coach the Knights in this game to close out the season, which I wish more coaches would do. It is for that reason that I think UCF will compete with Auburn, even give them a scare for most of the game, but I think the Tigers will outlast them. Eventually, talent often wins out, though if any team were to be on upset alert for this bowl season, I’d say it’s Auburn.

Projected Score: Auburn 20 UCF 17

Citrus Bowl presented by Overton’s: #14 Notre Dame vs #17 LSU (-2.5)

These are two teams that like to run the ball and play physical defense and on paper are pretty evenly matched. LSU has recovered really well after their homecoming debacle against Troy, as they’ve won 6 of 7 games since that loss, their one defeat being Alabama. The Fighting Irish, on the other hand, ended the season rather meekly, losing 2 of their last 3 after having been in the playoff hunt for much of the season. Granted, those two losses were Miami and Stanford, but both teams ended up getting beaten in their conference title games, Miami pretty soundly while Stanford kept it close. Notre Dame is capable of beating up on good teams, though, and I think the difference is going to be quarterback play. I trust Notre Dame’s Brandon Wimbush more than I do LSU’s Danny Etling and for that reason, I’m picking the Irish.

Projected Score: Notre Dame 31 LSU 27

Rose Bowl: #3 Georgia vs #2 Oklahoma (-1)

The first of the two playoff games, this will be Baker Mayfield’s first game after winning the Heisman Trophy. It will also be an opportunity for him to increase his draft stock even further, as he goes up against a really tough Georgia defense. If he can have a big game, then I think NFL teams will be far more intrigued by the possibility of drafting him high. As for Georgia, they look to break the 3-seed curse, as the team in that slot has yet to win a playoff game (Florida State, Michigan State, and Ohio State have all failed to get the job done). It’s going to be an uphill battle for them, as they will have to ask Jake Fromm to outduel the Heisman-winning Mayfield. It won’t be impossible, as Oklahoma will likely be without stud runningback Rodney Anderson as he faces domestic assault charges, but I don’t see that happening, and I’m picking the Sooners reaching the National Championship for the first time since the 2008 season, when Sam Bradford was outplayed by Tim Tebow.

Projected Score: Oklahoma 31 Georgia 26

All State Sugar Bowl: #4 Alabama (-2) vs #1 Clemson

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Part 3 of this CFP rivalry, though it’s the first matchup in this series that won’t be taking place with the National Championship on the line. Alabama will be very thankful it’s not Deshaun Watson under center for Clemson, as he absolutely lit them up in each of the previous matchups. Kelly Bryant will be tasked with taking on the Crimson Tide defense. He’s not Watson, but he has proven capable of winning big games, as he led Clemson to wins over the likes of Auburn, Virginia Tech, and a blowout of Miami for the ACC title. Offensively, Alabama will have to compete with the most efficient defense in the country in Clemson, as their defensive front that includes the likes of Christian Wilkins, Dexter Lawrence, and Clellin Ferrell will make it tough to move the ball. Having seen eachother each of the last few years, I think both Nick Saban and Dabo Swinney will have made the adjustments they will need to come away with the victory. In the end, I think Clemson will come away as the winner of this best-of-3 series and will take on Oklahoma for the National Championship.

Projected Score: Clemson 34 Alabama 31

*Exhales.* Finally, I’ve made all the picks and it only took me 5530 words, more than doubling my previous high word count (which I think was an NFL picks segment). I’m going to wait to do the National Championship game until the night before, as I don’t want to predict a matchup that hasn’t been set up yet. But based on what I’ve predicted, I think that Clemson will beat Oklahoma to win back-to-back championships. I just think they’re more well-rounded than Oklahoma is and I think the Sooners’ deficiencies on defense will come back to haunt them in this one. Agree with my picks? Disagree? Let me know in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10 and contribute to my Patreon.

College Football Picks: Week 8

Last Week: 8-4                    Season Record: 35-13

So I took a few more chances last week than usual. I had two big upset picks, Indiana over Michigan and Georgia Tech over Miami (FL). Indiana took Michigan to OT but lost 27-20 and Georgia Tech was about to upset the U until Darrell Langham made a terrific catch on 4th down to keep Miami alive in time to make a game-winning field goal to win 25-24. I came close, but that doesn’t make my record look any better. My other losses were Auburn against LSU and Navy against Memphis, though both games were 1 score games. So I came THIS close to being 12-0 last week. My point is my picks for college football are really good and you should definitely listen to what I say. So with that, let’s get picking. Spoilers ahead.

#10 Oklahoma State (-7) vs Texas

The Cowboys have been really solid this season, especially on offense where Mason Rudolph and James Washington have been unstoppable. Their one loss was against an unbeaten TCU team in which they put up their lowest scoring output of the season. That would be 31 points. There is a ton of fire power on this offense that goes into Austin to take on the Longhorns who have to be feeling pretty good about themselves after taking Oklahoma to the limit. They’ve played well against good teams this season as they also looked good in a loss to USC. They aren’t quite back just yet but they will make this game with OK State interesting. I have the Cowboys winning.

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James Washington is second in the nation in receiving at 882 yards. (photo credit: Tulsa World)

Projected Score: Oklahoma State 45 Texas 35

Louisville vs Florida State (-6.5)

So looking at this game on the schedule in preseason, I’m sure a lot of fans circled this on their calendar as must-see TV. Here we are in Week 8 and these two teams have NOT had things go well this season. I talked in my Heisman blog, which you can read here,  about Louisville’s struggles this season so I won’t talk your ear off about that here, but Florida State has just imploded without Deondre Francois. Derwin James continues to be an animal but the rest of this Seminoles team has just kind of phoned it in this season and the underclassmen are looking towards next year. They’re favored in this game, but I like Louisville’s chances in this one. Lamar Jackson is still killing it this year and while he does struggle with turnovers, I think he puts up enough points where it doesn’t bite the Cardinals too hard.

Projected Score: Louisville 38 Florida State 28

Boston College vs Virginia (-5.5)

Traditionally these two teams are in the cellar of the ACC, but they’re both having some solid seasons. Boston College is coming off a BIG win at Louisville on the strength of AJ Dillon’s 270 yard performance on the ground, as well as this VICIOUS stiff arm.

Virginia is 5-1 on the year, their one loss being to Big Ten opponent Indiana in Week 2. The Cavaliers admittedly have had a pretty easy schedule to start the year, Indiana and Boise State being their best opponents until the end of the year, but they are getting the job done. Defensively they’ve been very solid. The most points they’ve allowed all year is 34 against Indiana and they are consistently between 10 and 21 points allowed each game. Boston College isn’t consistent enough an offense to do to Virginia what they did to Louisville and I think Virginia wins this game and becomes bowl eligible for the first time since 2011.

Projected Score: Virginia 21 Boston College 14

Arizona State vs Utah (-10)

Arizona State has been playing spoiler all season. They competed to the end with Texas Tech and Oregon and beat a good Stanford team and are coming off a huge upset over a top-5 Washington squad. Utah has been a similar type of team this season in that they make good opponents nervous. Their two losses are by a combined 4 points to Stanford and USC. So basically this is a game between two trap game teams. Both have been overall pretty inconsistent and this game is a pretty big toss up. I think Utah wins and that’s mainly on the strength that I trust them a little bit more because they are a play or two away from being 6-0.

Projected Score: Utah 30 Arizona State 24

Indiana vs #18 Michigan State

Indiana is coming off a near upset of the Michigan Wolverines and now they head to East Lansing to face a Michigan State team that actually did manage to beat Michigan in the Big House. The Hoosiers defense was really impressive aside from the fact they couldn’t stop Karan Higdon last week but they face a Michigan State offense that may be without runningback LJ Scott, who was arrested a couple nights ago for driving with a suspended license. It is unknown what his availability will be for this game. But both defenses are really tough and physical and I think this is going to be a dogfight. However I think Michigan State outlasts Indiana at the very end and gets some revenge for their loss last season.

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Simmie Cobbs Jr has been a problem for opposing defenses this season (photo credit: The Herald Bulletin)

Projected Score: Michigan State: 21 Indiana 17

#9 Oklahoma (-14.5) vs Kansas State

Kansas State is struggling right now. Their one win over a Power 5 team is Baylor and they’re winless right now. They’ve lost two in a row to a solid Texas team and an excellent TCU team. They’re home against Oklahoma, who has looked a little shaky the last couple of weeks. They lost to Iowa State and got taken to the brink against Texas. That one I’m not so sure would’ve been too different regardless of what happened the week prior against Iowa State, when Texas and Oklahoma play you can use any cliche imaginable and it’ll fit. But I think this is where Oklahoma re-enters the CFP discussion, as they put the smackdown to Kansas State.

Projected Score: Oklahoma 49 Kansas State 21

Kentucky vs Mississippi State (-13)

Kentucky is surprisingly 5-1 on the season, their one loss coming against the Florida Gators, but a botched coverage late in the game is what’s keeping them from being 6-0. They’ve had a weak schedule thus far but they played really well in their win against a pretty good South Carolina team, however they have let lesser teams like Eastern Michigan and Southern Miss keep it close, which would have me nervous about their ability to go into Starkville and get a win against Mississippi State. Mississippi State has been the bane of my existence when it comes to picking. I felt like they’d be competitive against Georgia and I thought they would beat Auburn in back to back weeks a few games ago. They got blown to kingdom come by both teams. Yet those came after thrashing a pretty good LSU team. They’re coming off a smacking of BYU and I think Nick Fitzgerald has them keeping up momentum against Kentucky, however Kentucky will beat the spread, as they’ve kept it close against good teams this season.

Projected Score: Mississippi State 27 Kentucky 23

Oregon vs UCLA (-6.5)

I’ve tried to pick Oregon to get big wins for the last couple weeks now and they’ve let me down each time. Royce Freeman is having a big season for the Ducks, with 797 yards on 133 carries with 10 TDs but they’ve been without quarterback Justin Herbert with a broken collarbone and freshman Braxton Burmeister has just simply not been good. He’s completed 52% of his passes with 172 yards with 1 TD and 4 interceptions and that won’t be enough to outscore Josh Rosen’s UCLA Bruins. Rosen has been terrific this season and although UCLA’s record hasn’t been where I’m sure Bruins fans want it to be, you have to feel really good about their chances this week.

Projected Score: UCLA 42 Oregon 17

#24 LSU (-7) vs Ole Miss

I have no idea what to make of this LSU team. They lose to Troy on homecoming then follow that up with back-to-back wins over ranked teams, Florida and a top-10 Auburn team. So really I haven’t the slightest clue of what to expect with Ed Orgeron’s team. Ole Miss got embarrassed about as badly as a team can get embarrassed against Alabama a few weeks ago (66-3) and it took until last week to show some life, beating Vanderbilt 57-35. Ole Miss doesn’t seem to show up when they face big time teams and I think they will struggle against a physical LSU defense. Whether LSU is able to put up big time points is another question entirely. I think LSU wins it but Ole Miss may make them nervous.

Projected Score: LSU 24 Ole Miss 21

#19 Michigan vs #2 Penn State (-9.5)

Michigan barely escaped Indiana last week after losing to Michigan State the week prior, which explains why they dropped from #8 to #19 in two weeks. The defense is EXTREMELY impressive, in fact Indiana was the first team all season to score 20 points on the Wolverine defense. They face a tough challenge in Penn State, but I think they will struggle to score against Michigan. Saquon Barkley has been held under 100 rushing yards each of the last two weeks and they go up against the toughest defense they’ll face all year, as Michigan has yet to ALLOW a hundred yard rusher this season. Michigan will also struggle to score, however, as the offense has no passing game with John O’Korn under center and they were struggling with a healthy Wilton Speight. I think Penn State wins a low scoring affair and Michigan’s tumble down the rankings will continue.

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Donovan Peoples-Jones has been one of the most impressive freshmen in the country this season (photo credit: The Michigan Daily)

Projected Score: Penn State 20 Michigan 13

#11 USC vs #13 Notre Dame (-3.5)

This is going to be a fun game. Both teams are vying for a playoff berth for the first time in either school’s history and the loser will likely be effectively eliminated from contention. There’s a lot on the line, needless to say. Sam Darnold has been inconsistent for USC but he’s always found a way to win with the exception of the Washington State game, however if he wasn’t strip-sacked on that final drive, who knows what a guy of his caliber could’ve done. Notre Dame’s one loss was against the current #3 team in the nation in Georgia and it was a narrow loss early in the season. The defense is significantly better than it was last season and while Brandon Wimbush has had some struggles, he has more than proven he is capable of leading this team on a big run. This game is a toss up but I trust Notre Dame a little bit more to get the job done as they’ve been a bit more consistent than the Trojans.

Projected Score: Notre Dame 28 USC 24

Colorado vs #15 Washington State (-10)

Yikes, doesn’t get much uglier than Wazzu’s performance against Cal. Though to be fair, nobody could’ve beaten the Golden Bears the way they played in that game and something looked really wrong with Luke Falk health-wise. Falk has had some injuries but Washington State doesn’t disclose injuries to the media in-game and we haven’t gotten a whole lot out of the Cougars’ locker room following up last week’s performance. If he’s okay, I’d consider Washington State a lock against Colorado. The Buffaloes have struggled mightily in conference play, their one win being last week against the lowly Oregon State Beavers. If he’s not okay, then I think it will be close, but I still think Washington State gets the win.

Projected Score: Washington State 41 Colorado 21

Those are my picks for this week. I noticed a lot of good teams are on bye this week, such as Georgia, Clemson, and Ohio State, so that makes the matchups a little more toss-uppy this week. If there are any other games you want my opinion on, let me know in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.

 

College Football Picks: Week 7

Last Week: 9-3                       Season Record: 27-9

So my misses last week were Michigan, Oregon, and Florida. The Oregon pick was more of my upset pick, my Michigan pick I honestly didn’t feel great about because of how non-existent the offense has been and the Florida pick was mainly because they couldn’t hit a damn extra point. So I like to think I’m 12-0 every week. That being said, last week was the season average for me so I’m going to try and beat that this week. And one of these days, I will accurately predict a score and when I do, I will never shut up about it for as long as I live. Without further ado, let’s get picking.

#17 Michigan (-8) vs Indiana

Michigan is coming off a heartbreaking loss to in-state rival Michigan State that came down to the final play of the game. Indiana shut out FCS opponent Charleston Southern 27-0 and didn’t let up a single completed pass. It’s Indiana’s homecoming game this Saturday and you can bet the Hoosiers are going to bring it. New quarterback Peyton Ramsey will get his first real chance at a major college defense, as he torched Charleston Southern for 321 yards on a rainy afternoon. Michigan has struggled to move the ball this year and it’s been their defense that has kept them in games. I’m actually going to make a bold call here, I think Indiana is going to win this. Last time a 17th ranked team came into Bloomington was Michigan State last year and Indiana won in OT 24-21. I think the field is going to be stormed by the fans, just as it was against the Spartans last year.

Projected Score: Indiana 28 Michigan 24

#6 TCU (-6.5) vs Kansas State

TCU has looked like the best team in the Big 12 this year and that was reaffirmed after Oklahoma lost a stunner to Iowa State last week (thank God I didn’t do that game for my picks!). Kenny Hill has been a star for the Horned Frogs as they look to enter the playoff mix for the first time in school history. Kansas State spent some time this year ranked but they haven’t beaten anyone good. Their victories are against Central Arkansas, Charlotte, and a winless Baylor team while their losses have come against Vanderbilt and Texas. TCU is going to be the first big test for Bill Snyder’s Wildcats team but I don’t think they will keep it super close. TCU wins this one.

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Kenny Hill has done it all for TCU this season (photo credit: Sporting News)

Projected Score: TCU 42 Kansas State 20

#24 Texas Tech vs West Virginia

Texas Tech doesn’t seem to have missed a step in replacing Pat Mahomes. Nic Shimonek has kept this offense moving at a prolific rate, which includes an impressive performance in a close loss to what is on paper a far superior Oklahoma State team. They dropped 65 on Kansas last week and find themselves in the rankings for the first time this season. West Virginia has quietly been just as impressive as Texas Tech. They’re actually scoring over 40 points a game and their only losses this year have been by identical scores of 31-24 against TCU and Virginia Tech, two highly ranked teams. This is going to be a close game, as Will Grier has looked very comfortable in this Mountaineers’ attack. I think West Virginia wins it and may find themselves back in the rankings next week.

Projected Score: West Virginia 45 Texas Tech 41

South Carolina vs Tennessee (-3)

South Carolina is coming off a blowout win over Arkansas 48-22 and have looked pretty solid this season. Jake Bentley has been the best passer the team has had since Connor Shaw and defensively they’ve quietly been one of the better teams in the country, allowing only 21 points per game on the season, 4th best in the SEC. Tennessee has been a frustrating team. Ever since an impressive win over a good Georgia Tech team, these guys have just looked lost and it culminated by getting embarrassed on their home field by Georgia 41-0 a couple of weeks ago. This will be their first game since that thrashing and while I definitely think they will play better (can’t do much worse), I think South Carolina leaves Knoxville with a W.

Projected Score: South Carolina 38 Tennessee 27

#10 Auburn (-7.5) vs LSU

LSU may have saved their season in their victory over Florida last week, after having been embarrassed by Troy the week prior. They just haven’t been able to get a passing game going with Danny Etling and come to think of it, LSU hasn’t really had a good passing QB since Zach Mettenberger and even he had his hiccups. It puts a lot of pressure on running back Derrius Guice, who is a tremendous talent but only has 364 yards on the season through 6 games. It won’t get any easier against an Auburn team that has been throttling the SEC this year. They’ve crushed Missouri and both Mississippi schools in their last three games and their only loss on the season was against the team that currently sits at #2 in the country, Clemson (thought they are most certainly falling after losing to Syracuse last night), and they only lost that game 14-6. I think Auburn is going to win this one and they’re going to win it big. People will once again question whether Ed Orgeron is the man for the job at LSU.

Projected Score: Auburn 35 LSU 10

Georgia Tech vs #11 Miami (FL) (-6.5)

This is a makeup game from the hurricanes that hit South Florida. Georgia Tech has actually been the #1 yards against defense in the nation this season as well as having the nation’s second best rushing attack on offense. Their only loss was Tennessee on opening night and that was because they went for 2 to win it instead of kicking the extra point to send the game to another OT. Their last game was a 33-7 beatdown of North Carolina as they come into Miami to square off with the Hurricanes, who are coming off a thrilling last second victory over Florida State. I think this is a trap game for Miami and the Yellow Jackets will sneak a win out of this one.

Projected Score: Georgia Tech 30 Miami (FL) 21

#12 Oklahoma (-9) vs Texas

Ah, the Red River Rivalry. This is probably the biggest rivalry game in college football that isn’t played on the regular season’s final week. It hasn’t quite been the same since Colt McCoy left Texas but that hasn’t stopped the Longhorns from competing in these games. They catch Oklahoma at the perfect time because they are reeling right now, having lost to Iowa State last week. Baker Mayfield was terrific despite the loss, throwing for 306 yards on 24-33 passing. The Sooners defense just couldn’t stop the Cyclones. Texas was able to beat Iowa State a couple of weeks ago 17-7 and are coming off a 40-34 victory over Kansas State while also playing USC really tough a few weeks back. I don’t think Texas is quite back just yet under Tom Herman, but they will compete with Oklahoma, though a win will elude them.

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Baker Mayfield has been one of the most exciting QBs in college football since arriving in Norman (photo credit: The Ringer)

Projected Score: Oklahoma 45 Texas 38

#25 Navy vs Memphis (-3.5)

Navy is once again a quietly good team despite running possibly the single most boring offense in college football. It’s efficient, though, as it has Navy 5-0 to start the year. Zach Abey leads the way for the Midshipmen as he ranks among the leaders in the NCAA with 870 rushing yards on the season. They face off against a really good Memphis team and a quarterback in Riley Ferguson that managed to outduel Josh Rosen earlier this year. Memphis is 4-1, their only loss being a bad defeat to a good UCF team 40-13, however they rebounded nicely last week against UConn, dropping 70 points on the Huskies. This will be an interesting game, but I think Navy will win it for two reasons: number 1, you don’t pick against the Midshipmen. Number 2, I think Navy will control the clock all game and Memphis won’t have enough opportunities to give Ferguson a chance to make plays.

Projected Score: Navy 24 Memphis 14

Texas A&M vs Florida (-3)

Both teams are coming off heartbreaking losses against SEC blue bloods. Texas A&M was the first team all season to give Alabama a challenge as they lost 27-19 while Florida was a missed extra point away from taking LSU into OT. A&M has looked really good since I bashed them in my first ever picks segment and they look to carry that momentum into Gainesville where the Gators offensively just seem to always take one step forward then go two steps back. Just when I think Feleipe Franks is going to have a big day and prove himself as a passer, he goes and lays an egg, throwing for only 108 yards against the Tigers. I think the Aggies will win this but it will be a tight, low-scoring affair.

Projected Score: Texas A&M 17 Florida 10

Utah vs #13 USC (-13)

I predicted last week that the Utes would get blown out by Stanford as their 4 victories on the year have been pretty unimpressive. They kept it a LOT closer than I anticipated, losing the game on a late field goal, but I was really impressed by their defense. USC is coming off the stunning loss against Washington State and have had a couple extra days to prepare for Utah. While Sam Darnold hasn’t put together the Heisman campaign people were expecting of him coming into the season, he has still been pretty solid and a lot of his problems have to do with factors out of his control, whether that be a missed block by a lineman or a pass that goes through a receiver’s hands. I think Darnold will throw a pick or two in this game, but I have USC prevailing nonetheless.

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Despite heavy interception numbers, Sam Darnold is still projected to be a high pick in next year’s NFL Draft (photo credit: Sports Illustrated)

Projected Score: USC 28 Utah 17

#21 Michigan State (-4.5) vs Minnesota

The Spartans defensively have looked really good all season, though some really bad late penalties against Michigan nearly doomed them. They managed to hold on and win in the Big House 14-10 but they will need to keep that up against another good defense in Minnesota. The Golden Gophers lost to Purdue last time out and will be looking to get back on track against the Spartans. It’s expected to rain with a temperature in the 50’s in Minnesota so prepare for a classic Big Ten defensive slugfest. I have Michigan State winning in a low-scoring game.

Projected Score: Michigan State 13 Minnesota 7

Oregon vs #23 Stanford (10)

My upset pick of Oregon over Washington State did NOT go well last week, as the Cougars trounced the Ducks 33-10. It doesn’t get any easier for Oregon this week as they face Bryce Love and the Stanford Cardinal. Love leads the nation in rushing at 1240 yards. At the rate he’s going, he will be approaching Barry Sanders’ single season record of 2628 set back in 1988 during Stanford’s bowl game. Last week was his lowest rushing output of the season at 152 yards on 20 carries. Now that’s saying something when that’s your worst performance. It came right after his best game against Arizona State where he ran for 301 on 25 carries. The guy has been insane this year and is a leading candidate for the Hesiman Trophy. I have Stanford winning on Love’s back.

Projected Score: Stanford 35 Oregon 24

Those are my picks for Week 7. There isn’t a single matchup between ranked teams this week so that kind of hurt the overall matchups but I think we’ll still get plenty of excitement come noon on Saturday. Let me know if you want any other games talked about in the comments below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.

College Football Picks: Week 6

Last Week: 10-2                    Season Record: 18-6

Good week last time out, though I should also mention that both of my losses came when I picked the team that wasn’t favored (Mississippi State and Iowa). Turns out I may not have given Michigan State enough credit. I also damn near picked the exact score of the Clemson-VA Tech game (the score was 31-17, I said it would be 38-17). Anyway, enough tooting my own horn, on to the picks.

Wake Forest vs #2 Clemson (-21.5)

Wake Forest took Florida State to the brink last week. It took a beautiful touchdown throw by James Blackman for the Seminoles to escape the Demon Deacons. It is also worth noting that Wake had SEVENTEEN tackles for loss last week. That’s just incredible. Clemson has looked untouchable to start the season, which is amazing to me given how much talent they lost last season. I’m going to go with Clemson on this one. I don’t know if they cover that massive spread, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they do. Wake Forest doesn’t have enough offense to keep up.

Projected Score: Clemson 45 Wake Forest 17

#4 Penn State (-13.5) vs Northwestern

Northwestern hung in tight with a really good Wisconsin team and they actually led at the half. Penn State’s a different beast altogether, however. Despite the fact that Indiana once again limited Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards (56 yards on 20 carries), Barkley was able to find other ways to have a huge impact on the game, as he returned a kick to the house, threw a touchdown pass, and had 51 receiving yards. Trace McSorley and Dasean Hamilton also had big games for the Nittany Lions against the Hoosiers, which shows that Penn State is more than just their Heisman frontrunner. They’ll win this one relatively handily.

NCAA Football: Illinois at Penn State

Saquon Barkley has been the Heisman frontrunner as we approach the season’s halfway point (photo credit: Big Ten Network)

Projected Score: Penn State 48 Northwestern 27

#5 Georgia (-17.5) vs Vanderbilt 

After getting absolutely slaughtered by Alabama in Week 4, Vanderbilt had a nice bounceback performance against the #21 Florida Gators, hanging with them until the very end.  Georgia, on the other hand, perhaps turned in the performance of the year, going into Knoxville and abusing Tennessee 41-0 despite Jake Fromm’s very mediocre passing performance (7-15 for 84 yards with a TD and a pick). Georgia’s defense has also been wildly impressive, as displayed by the shutout of a previously-ranked Tennessee squad. Roquan Smith has been flying to the ball and has Georgia primed for a big win over Vanderbilt to further entrench themselves as the second-best team in the SEC.

Projected Score: Georgia 38 Vanderbilt 17

#23 West Virginia vs #8 TCU (-13)

Will Grier has been excellent for the Mountaineers to start the season, throwing for over 1300 yards and 13 TDS in the team’s first four games. Their one loss on the season was against a very good Virginia Tech squad that hung in tough with Clemson. TCU seems to have completely bounced back from a wildly underwhelming 2016 season as Kenny Hill has been a machine at quarterback. TCU has impressive double-digit wins over Oklahoma State and Arkansas and will look to do it again against West Virginia. They will, but West Virginia will make it a lot closer than the rest of the FBS has.

Projected Score: TCU 31 West Virginia 21

#13 Miami (FL) (-3) vs Florida State

Florida State has looked COMPLETELY lost without Deondre Francois. They did finally manage to get into the win column against Wake Forest, but it took a last minute TD pass by James Blackman to do it. They go up against a Miami squad that is coming off a beatdown of Duke in a revenge game from that lateral game a couple of years back. Malik Rozier has been very efficient for the U, completing nearly two-thirds of his passes and only tossing 2 INTs on the year. But the big star of this game is going to be Hurricanes runningback Mark Walton, who is averaging nearly 10 yards per carry on the season. Miami wins big.

Projected Score: Miami (FL) 49 Florida State 20

#22 Notre Dame (-15.5) vs North Carolina

Josh Adams was a monster against an overmatched Miami (OH) team, rushing for 159 yards on just 8 carries. He won’t be quite that good against a lackluster North Carolina defense that has allowed 30.6 points per game this season. The UNC offense has also been wildly inconsistent as they were only able to muster 7 points against Georgia Tech last week yet dropped 30 on a very good Louisville squad and 53 in their win over Old Dominion. Notre Dame’s defense will be the toughest they face yet and UNC won’t be too big an issue for the Fighting Irish.

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Josh Adams has had some of the more impressive rushing performances on the season (photo credit: One Foot Down)

Projected Score: Notre Dame 38 North Carolina 14

LSU vs #21 Florida (-2.5)

Ouch. Does it get any worse than losing to Troy for LSU? Actually, it does.

Troy spoils LSU’s homecoming and it doesn’t get any easier as they take on a Florida Gators team that seems to be starting to figure out their offense. Despite losing Luke del Rio for the season, Feleipe Franks looked like he had a fire lit under him after losing his starting job and played well in relief against Vanderbilt. For LSU, after absolutely dominating BYU in Week 1 (BYU’s offense never crossed midfield, and LSU was without star pass rusher Arden Key), the Tigers have looked lost, getting blown out by Mississippi State, narrowly beating an underwhelming Syracuse team, and culminating with an embarrassing loss to Troy. Their struggles will continue, as Florida takes this one in the Swamp.

Projected Score: Florida 30 LSU 10

Minnesota vs Purdue (-4)

Minnesota had been stuffing their non-conference schedule, allowing a grand total of 24 points in their 3-game slate. Then they take on conference foe Maryland and let up 31 points in a 31-24 loss. They look to right the ship (or “Row the Boat,” as head coach PJ Fleck likes to say) against a Purdue team that seems to have new life. They’ve trounced Ohio and Missouri for their two wins and competed from start to finish in their two losses to Louisville and Michigan. Jeff Brohm has been working wonders for the Boilermakers and I think this game ends up being a defensive slugfest, with Purdue pulling away late.

Projected Score: Purdue 20 Minnesota 17

#1 Alabama (-26.5) vs Texas A&M

The Aggies came very close to starting the season 1-3 yet find themselves 4-1 through their first five. They’ve been tested all year and aside from a Week 1 choke job for the ages, they’ve passed them all. Their greatest test will come against a juggernaut in Alabama that has just been unfair to start conference play. Against SEC opponents, they beat Vanderbilt 59-0 and Ole Miss 66-3. Alabama is so far ahead of everyone else it’s not even worth watching their games. Alabama wins a snooze-fest.

Projected Score: Alabama 52 Texas A&M 10

Michigan State vs #7 Michigan (-10.5)

The last time these two teams were at the big house was that famous botched punt that MSU took to the house for the victory. The Spartans were awful last season yet they were still competitive against an excellent Wolverines squad. Michigan will be starting John O’Korn at quarterback this week in place of the injured Wilton Speight as Michigan will look to shake their offensive woes on the season. I think Michigan wins, but it’s a low-scoring affair.

Projected Score: Michigan 21 Michigan State 17

#11 Washington State (-3) vs Oregon 

This is going to be a fun game if you love offense. Washington State pulled off the shocking upset over then-#5 USC last week and Luke Falk has put himself into the thick of the Heisman race. Oregon is coming off a big win over California and are an Arizona State late field goal away from being 5-0 on the season. This is going to be a shootout in Eugene and I think Oregon is going to take this one, but Luke Falk will still put up big numbers and stay in the Heisman race.

Projected Score: Oregon 49 Washington State 45

Stanford (-4) vs #20 Utah 

I never thought I would say this, but Stanford has been able to replace the seemingly irreplaceable Christian McCaffrey. Bryce Love has been an absolute MONSTER for the Cardinal through their first 5 games, already over 1000 yards rushing on the season and Stanford hasn’t even played half their games yet. Love is averaging 11.1 yards per carry and one could make a strong argument that he ought to be the Heisman frontrunner at this stage in the year. Utah will have the unenviable task in trying to stop him. Utah is 4-0 on the season but it’s an unimpressive 4-0 for me. Their wins come against North Dakota, BYU, San Jose State, and Arizona and only the San Jose State game was a truly convincing victory for me. I think Stanford knocks off the 20th ranked Utes and I think they do it big.

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Bryce Love has done the unthinkable this season: replace Christian McCaffrey (photo credit: Rule of Tree)

Projected Score: Stanford 55 Utah 20

Those are my picks this week. I didn’t do Indiana’s game because they’re facing FCS opponent Charleston Southern and I can’t in good conscious do an FBS-FCS game unless it involves North Dakota State (who always seems to beat FBS teams) or Washington State (who always seems to lose to FCS teams). It just wouldn’t be very sporting of me. So if you have any other games you want me to do, let me know in the comments section or hit me up on Facebook and Twitter @jimwyman10.

College Football Picks: Week 5

Last Week: 8-4                       Season Record: 8-4

Let’s get picking.

Northwestern vs #10 Wisconsin (-15)

Northwestern is a team I think can be sneaky good in the Big Ten. They’ve had plenty of stability over the last few years with Clayton Thorson and Justin Jackson leading the charge. Pat Fitzgerald has led one of the better runs in program history over the last few years and they’ve gotten off to a solid start to this season as well. However they run into a Wisconsin team that ran roughshod over their non-conference schedule, albeit a relatively weak one, and seems to have not missed a step from the team that won the Cotton Bowl last year, despite losing playmakers such as Corey Clement and TJ Watt. Wisconsin will take this one big, but the final score won’t reflect how well Northwestern actually plays in this game.

Projected Score: Wisconsin 48 Northwestern 21

Vanderbilt vs #21 Florida (-9)

So I was a little off last week in thinking Vanderbilt would beat the spread against Alabama (they lost 59-0). Note to self, don’t ever pick a team to beat the spread against a Nick Saban-coached team. I think Vanderbilt has the guys in place to bounce back, though. The Gators are still trying to figure out what exactly they have on offense. After scoring only 3 points on offense against Michigan (to go with 2 defensive scores), they needed a Hail Mary at the end of regulation to beat Tennessee and a blown coverage late helped them hold off Kentucky.

I still don’t think they totally have their quarterback situation figured out with either Feleipe Franks or Malik Zaire, and that could be a problem against a Vanderbilt defense who, until last week, had looked pretty solid this season. But Florida’s defense has been what’s held this team together and I think it continues to do so this week.

Projected Score: Florida 24 Vanderbilt 7

#7 Georgia (-8) vs Tennessee

Tennessee is a Florida Hail Mary away from possibly being 4-0 to start the season. Quinten Dormady has looked really good for the Vols in replacing Josh Dobbs, though a 17-13 scare against UMass should have Tennessee fans worried for when they take on a top-10 Georgia team. Georgia has looked like the second best team in the SEC this season by a wide margin. Jake Fromm continues to carry the load in Jacob Eason’s absence and the runningback tandem of Nick Chubb and Sony Michel gained a new member in their 31-3 demolition of Mississippi State: D’Andre Swift, who ran for 69 yards (nice) on 10 carries. Georgia’s defense has also been tremendous this season, as they limited potential Heisman candidate Nick Fitzgerald to only 83 passing yards and 2 interceptions last week. I think more of the same continues as UGA moves to 5-0.

Projected Score: Georgia 30 Tennessee 13

Indiana vs #4 Penn State (-18.5)

Indiana absolutely obliterated Georgia Southern last week 52-17 and this came despite the fact that star receiver Simmie Cobbs Jr was held to only 2 catches for 17 yards. Freshman runningback Morgan Ellison really emerged for the Hoosiers, rushing for 186 yards and the first 2 touchdowns of his career. Their competition gets MUCH stiffer this week, however, as they face a Penn State squad that is coming off a last second victory over Iowa and Heisman frontrunner Saquon Barkley has looked unstoppable this season. Indiana was one of the few teams in the country that was able to contain Barkley last season (58 yards on 33 carries) and they look to do more of the same this time around. Barkley looks like a different type of beast this season, however, and I think he puts on a far better performance against an overmatched Indiana squad.

Projected Score: Penn State 42 Indiana 24

Iowa vs Michigan State (-4)

Whoever came up with the line of Michigan State being favored in this game clearly did not watch college football last week. Both teams are coming off losses, but MSU got absolutely throttled last week by Notre Dame whereas Iowa took arguably the team-to-beat in the Big 10 to the final play of the game. Iowa has far more weapons on offense for quarterback Nathan Stanley to play with, such as Akrum Wadley and James Vandeberg while Michigan State has not shown that they’ve recovered a whole lot from the disaster that was last season. Gimme Iowa all day.

Projected Score: Iowa 38 Michigan State 10

#24 Mississippi State vs #13 Auburn (-8.5)

Mississippi State did a complete 180 last week. After whipping LSU through the streets in Week 3, they got demolished by Georgia in Week 4. While both teams are excellent, it still leaves Mississippi State full of question marks. Which team are we going to get when they take on another good SEC opponent in Auburn? Auburn’s offense was non-existent against Clemson (can you blame them?) and they still looked shaky against FCS foe Mercer. You had to be concerned if you were an Auburn fan about whether the hype over Jarrett Stidham was going to come to fruition. Then they dropped 51 on Missouri and seemingly restored the faith in their fanbase. The inconsistencies in the offense have me concerned about their chances against a stingy Mississippi State squad and I think the Bulldogs team that stomped LSU will return this week.

Projected Score: Mississippi State 31 Auburn 24

South Carolina vs Texas A&M (-8)

Texas A&M must have read my blog last week and used it as bulletin board material because they really showed up against Arkansas after I tore them to shreds and basically called for the firing of Kevin Sumlin. Offensively they looked very sharp in the OT win. Defense still has some work to do but last week had to be a breath of fresh air for this Aggies squad. South Carolina has had a rough few years since the departure of JaDeveon Clowney. They finally appeared to be trending in the right direction after a 2-0 start over NC State and Missouri. The passing attack of Jake Bentley to Deebo Samuel and Bryan Edwards had the team looking really sharp in those games. However they’ve hit a bit of a slump in their last two games, a loss to Kentucky and a 1-point victory over Louisiana Tech. I think this game will be a high scoring affair, but A&M will pull away late.

Projected Score: Texas A&M 49 South Carolina 35

#2 Clemson (-7) vs #12 Virginia Tech

Kelly Bryant has looked really good in replacing Deshaun Watson, a seemingly impossible task following Watson’s heroics in the National Championship. He’s led blowout victories over Kent State, Louisville, and Boston College (one of the top defenses in the nation) and has shown he can win the nail biters as well, with a 13-6 win over Auburn in Week 2. Virginia Tech is also breaking in a new quarterback in Josh Jackson, who you could argue has been even more impressive than Bryant. In fact, I think that the true freshman Jackson has been the most impressive quarterback in the ACC, if not the entire country. Yes, even more impressive than reigning Heisman winner Lamar Jackson. Josh Jackson has thrown for 1127 yards this year with 11 TDs and only 1 INT and has been instrumental in Virginia Tech’s 4-0 start. He faces his first true test in the Clemson defense, with the best DT duo in the nation in Christian Wilkins and Dexter Lawrence looking to be in his face all day. I think Jackson will finally struggle this week.

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Hokie Freshman QB Josh Jackson celebrates a Touchdown during a Week 1 win over #22 West Virginia (photo credit: Tech Sideline)

Projected Score: Clemson 38 Virginia Tech 17

Ole Miss vs #1 Alabama (-28)

So that’s the last time I ever pick a team to beat the spread against Alabama. I did just that in their game against Vanderbilt and Bama went on to win 59-0. The Tide face an Ole Miss squad that has given them lots of problems over the last few years, however with Hugh Freeze being about as interested in hookers as he is his own program, this won’t be the same Rebels squad. I think Bama not only covers this week, but does so with room to spare.

Projected Score: Alabama 52 Ole Miss 10

Colorado vs UCLA (-7.5)

Colorado struggled mightily against Washington last week and it won’t get any easier against UCLA. This game is going to be played at the Rose Bowl and the spotlight couldn’t be more appealing to UCLA quarterback Josh Rosen right now. Of the top 3 draft QBs entering the season (Rosen, USC’s Sam Darnold and Wyoming’s Josh Allen), Rosen has far and away looked the most impressive to me. Through 4 games, he already has over 1700 passing yards and 16 TDs. The rest of his team needs to step up, though. UCLA is 2-2 despite Rosen’s heroics and came dangerously close to being 1-3 if not for a comeback for the ages against Texas A&M in week 1.

UCLA is riding a 2 game losing streak against Memphis and Stanford and this game could go a long way toward deciding if UCLA really wants to compete for a Pac-12 title this year. I think Rosen continues to run roughshod over the NCAA and has a big performance in a Bruins victory

Projected Score: UCLA 48 Colorado 27

California vs Oregon (-15.5)

I picked Cal as my big upset last week over USC. And quite frankly, they could have done it had they not turned the ball over six freaking times. Despite their ball control issues, they only lost that game by 10. Offensively, Oregon has looked as good as any team in the country and are coming off a heart-breaking 37-35 loss against Arizona State. But prior to that, they’ve had scoring outputs of 77, 42, and 49. Those wins also include holding Josh Allen’s Wyoming squad to a measly 13 points. I think even if Cal is able to limit the turnovers, Oregon’s offense will be too much to keep up with as Royce Freeman runs all over the Golden Bears.

Projected Score: Oregon 55 Cal 35

Bonus Game: Miami (OH) vs #22 Notre Dame (-21)

This game is getting picked due to my relatively sizable Notre Dame following. Otherwise, based on the matchup, I wouldn’t bother. Brandon Wimbush has looked like a poor man’s Cam Newton over the last couple of games and that’s exactly what the Fighting Irish have needed. He won’t need to quite be THAT good against the Redhawks, as they’ve struggled against the likes of Marshall and Cincinnati. Notre Dame’s defense has been very stingy this year as well and shouldn’t have too big of a problem against Miami (OH) QB Gus Ragland, who has barely completed 50% of his passes on the year. This game will be over by halftime.

Projected Score: Notre Dame 59 Miami (OH) 14

Those are my picks for this week. If you have any other games you would like my thoughts on, or any questions in general, you can hit me up on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.