Post Super Bowl 2018 NFL Mock Draft

It took me about 24 hours but I managed to get over the Patriots’ Super Bowl loss and overall I find that I’m more happy for the Eagles fans than I am sad about the Patriots. I mean, what other fan base celebrates their team winning a football game by eating horse shit? Go google it for yourself, I’m not linking it here. But as much as I’d love to blog about any sport other than football right now, there really isn’t anything going on that isn’t football-related to blog about. So I’m going to try and quell my sadness by doing a post-Super Bowl Mock Draft because I love doing those for some reason and it’s a good time to do it since the draft order is now set (with the exception of the 9th and 10th picks, which will require a coin toss but I don’t think they’re going to steal eachother’s picks so I don’t think that particular order matters too much). I did a mock draft earlier this year, which I’ll link here, which is now suddenly out of date because two players (Clemson defensive linemen Clellin Ferrell and Christian Wilkins) announced they’re returning to school. Clemson’s going to be loaded next year because they have basically everybody except Deon Cain returning. But without further ado, let’s get to the mock.

1. Cleveland Browns-Sam Darnold-QB-USC


This doesn’t reflect how I’d rank the quarterbacks, I think UCLA’s Josh Rosen is better than Darnold. However the main thing is that Darnold isn’t on record as saying he doesn’t want to be a Brown like Rosen is. Granted, there was that time when he had to deny saying he’d return to school if the Browns had the number 1 pick, but again, we don’t have definitive proof he said it. That being said, I’ve said in the past that Darnold should’ve returned to school. I’m retracting that statement after watching the Ohio State bowl game. Not because Darnold played particularly well, his numbers weren’t that great and USC could only score 7 points. But the talent around him is holding him back. Ohio State was able to abuse him by rushing three. While the Browns are far from the most talented team (them going 0-16 being one indicator), they have a pretty good offensive line which can go a long ways towards helping a quarterback’s development, just look at Dak Prescott. So I don’t think it’d be the worst idea in the world for the Browns to take a chance on Darnold. I mean, they can’t really do much worse, can they?

2. New York Giants-Saquon Barkley-RB-Penn State


The Giants’ biggest need is on the offensive line, however I wouldn’t take any of the offensive linemen in this class at this stage. They could also use corners and linebackers, but again, I’m iffy about taking one this high. That leaves runningback. Orleans Darkwa is currently the best runningback on the roster and that’s just not going to take the pressure off the passing game. Saquon Barkley may be the most complete runningback I’ve ever seen and imagine what guys like ODell Beckham can do when the defense also has to focus on the guy in the backfield and vice versa. I think Barkley could help transform the Giants’ offense into a juggernaut.

3. Indianapolis Colts-Bradley Chubb-EDGE-North Carolina State


Like the Giants, I think Indy’s biggest need is on the offensive line, as they gave up the most sacks this season. However, the same thing applies to them as the Giants, as I think it’d be more useful to hit other needs here than reach for an offensive lineman. So I’m going to go with edge defender Bradley Chubb. Chubb terrorized ACC offensive lines all season to the tune of 10 sacks and 23 tackles for loss, which was his second consecutive season with 10 sacks and 20+ TFLs. I don’t think the Colts have ever had a good defense in the history of their franchise but adding a great edge rusher like Chubb can mask a lot of deficiencies.

4. Cleveland Browns (from Houston Texans)-Minkah Fitzpatrick-S-Alabama


This is the second pick in the top 4 for the Browns after their trade with the Texans in last year’s draft. After getting their potential quarterback of the future, they can look to just take the best player available and for me that’s Minkah Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick is a guy you can pretty much line up anywhere on your defense and despite how skinny he looks, he’s no slouch as a tackler to go along with his skills in coverage. I think he could be a valuable asset to a Browns defense that really underachieved last season.

5. Denver Broncos-Josh Rosen-QB-UCLA


This is assuming the Broncos don’t land Kirk Cousins. If they don’t, they’ll be thrilled to see Josh Rosen land in their laps like this. Quarterback has been what’s held the Broncos back from being relevant since Peyton Manning retired. Rosen is my favorite quarterback in the draft because on the field I don’t see anything wrong with his game. Scouts think he’s a dick, that’s really his only flaw but he seems to have the backing of his teammates so I’m totally fine with his attitude. However people also said similar things about Ryan Leaf and we all know how that turned out.

6. New York Jets-Baker Mayfield-QB-Oklahoma


Like the Broncos, this is assuming the Jets don’t land Cousins. But Baker Mayfield could provide some excitement in this Jets offense that we haven’t seen since the early years of Rex Ryan’s tenure. There’s very little talent on the Jets offense right now so Mayfield might be better served to sit behind Josh McCown for a year to develop with what they have rather than get thrown into the fire right away, but based on what I saw at Oklahoma, Mayfield has the ability to elevate the play of his teammates.

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Marcus Davenport-EDGE-UTSA


I saw the name of a defensive end from UTSA on some big boards and I thought to myself “what the Hell?” Their mascot is the Roadrunners for god’s sake. Naturally I wanted to see what all the fuss was about so I turned on a couple games for him and holy shit. This kid is a freak. He absolutely abused every offensive lineman he went up against. Now granted, the talent he faced was atrocious, but he beat the shit out of them like you’d expect a top talent to do. He got off to a slow start at the Senior Bowl, but he finished strong which is encouraging for me. The Buccaneers NEED pass rushers in the worst way possible and getting a guy like Davenport would be huge for the growth of this defense.

8. Chicago Bears-Calvin Ridley-WR-Alabama

at Bryant-Denny Stadium on November 18, 2017 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.

I’m a huge fan of Calvin Ridley except he has one major flaw that I learned about after I scouted him: he’s 24 years old. That actually hurts a lot more than you might think because that puts him about 2-3 years behind the other players in this class. However I think his overall talent is going to win out over how long he’s actually able to play and I think the Bears will reap the benefits because this guy does pretty much everything well. Mitchell Trubisky showed some flashes as a rookie but he didn’t perform as well as he could have because he didn’t have anyone to throw to.

9. San Francisco 49ers-Connor Williams-OT-Texas


A healthy Connor Williams probably lands in the top 5, maybe even to the Giants at #2. However some people have him falling out of the first round altogether in light of his knee injury during this past season. It’s possible he may not even play his rookie year, or at the very least be limited, which is why he may fall. But I think the long-term value will be worth it as the 49ers need some more help to protect Jimmy Garoppolo. Joe Staley isn’t getting any younger and the rest of the offensive line is pretty much garbage.

10. Oakland Raiders-Rashaan Evans-LB-Alabama


Rashaan Evans has dealt with injuries in the past but I think he’s the most complete linebacker in this class. He’s not quite as good as his former teammate Reuben Foster, who was excellent as a rookie with the 49ers, but I think he compares more to CJ Mosley of the Ravens while Foster compared more to Dont’a Hightower of the Patriots. Both guys are the leaders of their defenses and I think Evans has that capability, which is something the Raiders need badly because their linebacking core is easily the weakest in the NFL.

11. Miami Dolphins-Roquan Smith-LB-Georgia


The Miami Dolphins really need a middle linebacker. Lawrence Timmons just hasn’t panned out after being signed away from the Steelers. There are a lot of solid pieces on the Dolphins defense but they need that one centerpiece that holds everything together. Enter Roquan Smith. While Smith is a bit undersized for a middle linebacker and I think he could stand to get stronger, there’s no denying his instincts and high football IQ. Plus when he does square players up, he can really lay the lumber. He’s just pushed off the ball a little too often for my tastes.

12. Cincinnati Bengals-Quenton Nelson-OG-Notre Dame


The Bengals desperately need help all over their offensive line. Usually a left tackle would be ideal but the only tackle worth taking at this stage currently available is Mike McGlinchey and he profiles better as a right tackle. Either hit left tackle in free agency or give Cedric Ogbuehi another year to improve. But I think if you can get a stud elsewhere, then do it. Quenton Nelson is probably a top-5 talent, but the low value of guards causes him to drop here and the Bengals will reap the benefits for the next ten years if they make this pick. Nelson does everything well.

13. Washington Redskins-Denzel Ward-CB-Ohio State


Denzel Ward is the cream of the crop for this solid cornerback class and I think he could potentially go as high as fifth overall depending on how his workouts go. But the Redskins suddenly have a need at corner either opposite Josh Norman or in the slot after they traded Kendall Fuller to the Chiefs as part of the Alex Smith trade. I think Ward is talented and athletic enough to play both on the outside and in the slot so he can be plugged in wherever Jay Gruden wants him.

14. Green Bay Packers-Derwin James-S-Florida State


Morgan Burnett is set to hit free agency this offseason and I don’t anticipate the Packers resigning him due to his age (29) and the fact that he’s been trending downward these last couple of years. The secondary for Green Bay is overall pretty weak and Derwin James can be a huge upgrade. He’s an enforcer against the run and does really well in coverage. Injuries are a concern, though, but as long as he checks out medically, I don’t see any reason for the Packers to pass on him.

15. Arizona Cardinals-Josh Allen-QB-Wyoming


There’s a lot to be excited about with Josh Allen and there’s equally as much to be concerned about. He’s got all the physical tools you can ask for but his accuracy is inconsistent and he played against lesser competition. However based on the weapons that he’d have at his disposal, namely Larry Fitzgerald and a healthy David Johnson, I think Josh Allen may have a smoother transition than people think. It will just depend on how well he gels with first year head coach Steve Wilks.

16. Baltimore Ravens-Christian Kirk-WR-Texas A&M


The Ravens need receivers. Mike Wallace is really only good for deep balls and Breshad Perriman hasn’t been on the field enough to be productive. Enter Christian Kirk, a guy who can really do it all. The Ravens have shown in the past that they can get creative with some of their offensive schemes with the likes of Danny Woodhead and they can use Kirk in a similar manner. He can also have an impact in the return game as well. I won’t go into too much depth with the receivers in general, as I already scouted the ones I like.

17. Los Angeles Chargers-Mike McGlinchey-OT-Notre Dame


The Chargers shored up the interior of their offensive line in last year’s draft by taking Forrest Lamp (who missed the entire year due to injury but was my #1 offensive lineman last year) and Dan Feeney (who became the starting left guard midway through the season and played well. I also sat next to him in my Issues in Intercollegiate Athletics class, no big deal). Now they need to shore up the tackles and they’re very fortunate that McGlinchey falls into their laps in this scenario. McGlinchey wasn’t great this past season but he’s still arguably the best tackle in an overall weak class. He profiles better on the right side, which works just fine for the Chargers as they were sending out Joseph Barksdale in that spot all year.

18. Seattle Seahawks-Derrius Guice-RB-LSU


In this scenario, the Seahawks are probably pissed that McGlinchey was taken right ahead of them. I don’t project trades in my mocks, otherwise I think Seattle will try and sneak ahead of the Chargers to try and snag the Notre Dame product. However I’m sure they’ll be more than happy with Derrius Guice, as right now their best runningback is Mike Davis, which hardly strikes fear in the hearts of opposing defenses. Seattle hasn’t had much of a run game since Marshawn Lynch left and Guice could be the guy to revive it.

19. Dallas Cowboys-Courtland Sutton-WR-SMU


While Courtland Sutton does scare me in terms of his inconsistencies, he’s too talented to drop much lower than this. The Cowboys need more receivers as Dez Bryant’s injury issues have started to take their toll on his productivity while Terrance Williams is just okay. Cole Beasley and Ryan Switzer are nice options in the slot but with Bryant not being healthy, they really miss that major threat that keeps defensive coordinators up at night. Sutton has that potential.

20. Detroit Lions-Tremaine Edmunds-EDGE/LB-Virginia Tech


Edmunds is an interesting player because he played middle linebacker at Virginia Tech last year despite the fact that he’s about 6’5 250 pounds, which is the prototypical size for a 3-4 outside linebacker. He shows great athleticism which makes me think he could excel as an edge rusher in new head coach Matt Patricia’s defense. But I suspect Patricia will use Edmunds the same way he used Jamie Collins a few years ago, as a big and athletic linebacker that can play pretty much anywhere on the field.

21. Buffalo Bills-Da’Ron Payne-DL-Alabama


After trading Marcell Dareus at the trade deadline to the Jaguars and with Kyle Williams being 35 by the start of the 2018 season, the Bills will have a need at DT. Payne played very well on the biggest stages in the CFP and I think he could be a huge asset to this Bills defense as the team looks to improve on their first playoff run in the 21st century. Payne has the ability to take over games if he gets in a groove and that kind of game wrecker can free up their edge rushers like Jerry Hughes and Lorenzo Alexander to wreak even more havoc.

22. Buffalo Bills (from Kansas City Chiefs)-Mason Rudolph-QB-Oklahoma State


Tyrod Taylor is going to be a free agent after the 2018 season and it’s been pretty apparent that the Bills won’t bring him back beyond that so one has to imagine they’ll look for a quarterback that they can develop and mold to be their franchise savior. Mason Rudolph has a lot of arm talent but there’s going to be a steep learning curve as he transitions from the air raid scheme at Oklahoma State into a more traditional NFL offense.

23. Los Angeles Rams-Josh Jackson-CB-Iowa


Josh Jackson led the nation with 8 interceptions last season including 3 against Ohio State. He showcased excellent coverage skills and was a real playmaker for the Hawkeyes. The Rams may lose Trumaine Johnson in free agency and even if they do retain him, they’ll need someone to line up opposite him. Jackson can fill that role and make a potentially deadly defense even tougher.

24. Carolina Panthers-DJ Moore-WR-Maryland


I think this would be a bit of a reach, but I trust Moore a little more than I trust Carolina’s other real option, Oklahoma tackle Orlando Brown. After Devin Funchess there really isn’t much in the Carolina receiving core for Cam Newton to throw to and while that hasn’t stopped him before (he won an MVP and led the Panthers to a Super Bowl appearance with Ted Ginn as his top receiver), it’d make life a whole lot easier with more help.

25. Tennessee Titans-Harold Landry-EDGE-Boston College


Harold Landry has been slipping a bit due to concerns over his ankle and his inconsistency against the run. However the Titans probably won’t care as much about that last bit as others might because they already have plenty of run stuffers but they’re set to be in big trouble in the pass rushing department, as Derrick Morgan and Brian Orakpo are approaching free agency. Landry is one of the fastest defensive ends I’ve seen and he can blow up plays like no other when he times the snap right.

26. Atlanta Falcons-Vita Vea-DL-Washington


Vita Vea is a crazy athlete for his size (340 pounds) and I suspect he’s going to blow up the NFL Scouting Combine in a couple weeks. We’re not sure what the Falcons are going to do in regards to Dontari Poe and after him there really isn’t any defensive tackle depth so if Vea is still available at this stage, then they ought to swoop right in and snatch him up. My only beef with Vea is that his get-off isn’t great, which could be a huge detriment if not improved upon.

27. New Orleans Saints-Ronnie Harrison-S-Alabama

at Jordan Hare Stadium on November 25, 2017 in Auburn, Alabama.

This is a slight reach at this stage but the Saints need safety help and the next best safety on my board is Harrison. They may also look at a linebacker like Malik Jefferson, but I think a safety that is capable of playing in the box like Harrison could be more valuable, especially given his coverage skills. He’s more of a thumper, but he has better coverage skills than most linebackers and really it was coverage skills that ended the Saints’ season.

28. Pittsburgh Steelers-Malik Jefferson-LB-Texas


We don’t know if Ryan Shazier will be able to play football again after his spinal injury, though good news is he’s regained feeling in his legs. The Steelers will need to find his replacement, though because even if he does return, it may not be for much longer given the severity of his injury. Jefferson isn’t anything special, however he does all the little things right and he makes the smart plays that you look for and won’t be the guy that goes for the big flashy play. He’s the type of guy the Steelers need right now.

29. Jacksonville Jaguars-Will Hernandez-OG-UTEP


The Jaguars’ biggest need is at quarterback but I think they’re going to stick it out with Blake Bortles for one more year. My next highest-rated quarterback is Lamar Jackson and I think that’d be a huge reach for the Jaguars, especially considering Jackson may not fit their offensive system very well. Hernandez is a heck of a guard and can not only help keep Bortles upright and keep pressure off of him, but he could also create more holes for Leonard Fournette to improve on his 4.0 YPC.

30. Minnesota Vikings-Taven Bryan-DL-Florida


Defensive Tackle is a weak spot for the Vikings with Linval Joseph’s age and Sharrif Floyd’s injury history. Taven Bryan is a great physical specimen that’s pretty raw at this stage but with enough seasoning under Mike Zimmer’s tutelage he could become the next Cameron Heyward.

31. New England Patriots-Isaiah Oliver-CB-Colorado


If you saw what I saw in the Super Bowl, then you’ll agree that A. Malcolm Butler is not returning to the Patriots and B. They need corners to replace him. Luckily for New England, this is a solid class for corners and I think Isaiah Oliver is a guy that can step in and contribute from Day 1. He’s got good size (6’1 190 pounds) and he does really well locking down receivers. I really think he can be a quality starter in this league, which is really all the Patriots will be looking for.

32. Philadelphia Eagles-Carlton Davis-CB-Auburn


The Eagles’ secondary got absolutely destroyed by Patriots receivers and that was without Brandin Cooks for most of the game. Tom Brady threw for 505 yards and quite frankly, if Brandon Graham doesn’t poke that ball out, I don’t think they stop Brady driving down the field and winning the game. Like I mentioned with the Patriots’ pick, the Eagles are fortunate that this year is a good year for corners and they’re going to get one of the more athletic ones in Carlton Davis, who is about the size of Oliver but he’s also been clocked at running as fast as 4.33, which is insane and means he can keep up with anybody while not sacrificing on size. He may rise up this board once I get around to really scouting the corners.

That’s going to do it for my second mock draft, let me know what you think in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.

2018 NFL Mock Draft #1

As promised, the series finale of my NFL postseason series, here is my first NFL Mock Draft. Now a lot is expected to change between now and April. Some of these guys I select to be drafted may even return to school and not even be in the Draft. The top 20 picks are pretty much set in stone (I think there’s a tie breaker between the Raiders and 49ers for the 9th and 10th picks that has yet to be decided). Also, for picks 21-32, since those aren’t solidified yet, I’m going to order them based on their current playoff seeding, but keep in mind that those slots are more than likely going to change based on how the playoffs work out. I will also not being projecting trades, though I may mention if a trade is a possibility. I’m going to provide explanations for each pick, so here goes nothing.

1. Cleveland Browns-Josh Rosen-QB-UCLA


This could be a bit controversial because Rosen has gone on the record stating that he does not want to play for the Browns and that he would rather fall down the draft board a little bit and play for the right team. We could see wind up seeing a similar situation to what happened in 1983 with John Elway and the Colts or 2004 with Eli Manning and the Chargers if Rosen gets taken by the Browns. Knowing this, perhaps the Browns could continue to build draft capital and trade this pick to a QB-needy team desperate for one of the top 2 arms. In fact, I think the Broncos at 5 could try and move up and send the Browns an absolute haul. With their newly acquired pick, the Browns could take a chance on someone like Josh Allen or Baker Mayfield with the 4th or 5th pick. But for now, as it is, I think Rosen is the top pick, though I wouldn’t be surprised come April if it’s another team making that pick.

2. New York Giants-Sam Darnold-QB-USC


A lot of people have hopped on the “Sam Darnold is Overrated Bandwagon” after getting his ass kicked by Ohio State in the Cotton Bowl. I am not one of them. While I have been critical of his delivery and propensity for turnovers, I think Darnold will be fine given more talent around him. I don’t think returning to school to develop would have been the best idea because there really isn’t much of a supporting cast at USC right now to help him grow like there would be in the NFL. Especially a team like the Giants, where he’d have a healthy ODell Beckham and a continuously developing Evan Engram to throw to. I think Darnold made the right decision by declaring for the Draft. Granted the Giants will also need to solve their offensive line problems, but this isn’t the class to do it. I think free agency would be a better bet.

3. Indianapolis Colts-Connor Williams-OT-Texas


This might be a bit of a reach because Connor Williams is merely the best of a weak tackle class, however the need for the Colts is so great that it trumps overall value. Williams is talented, sure, but he missed most of the year with a knee injury, which is something that has haunted the Colts the last few years. But Indianapolis NEEDS offensive line help. They gave up the most sacks in the NFL last year and have been a big reason why Andrew Luck has yet to reach his potential and missed the entire 2017 season due to injury. I wouldn’t be surprised if they trade down to settle for a similar talent in Mike McGlinchey and build draft capital, much like I think the Browns could.

4. Cleveland Browns (from Houston Texans)-Saquon Barkley-RB-Penn State


The Browns need playmakers. Period. Aside from Josh Gordon, there is nobody on their offense that opposing defenses really need to worry about. Isaiah Crowell isn’t a bad runningback, but he’s not the difference-maker the Browns need to get them over the top. Saquon Barkley could be that back. I think wide receiver is a bigger need, as Josh Gordon needs a battery-mate to take some of the pressure off and Corey Coleman can’t seem to stay healthy, but I think the Browns would be better off waiting until the second round for a guy like DJ Moore or Simmie Cobbs. Barkley reminds me a bit of Ray Rice in that he’s not the biggest guy, but he packs so much punch and can be so quick in his cuts that it really doesn’t matter. Plus he hasn’t openly stated that he doesn’t want to play for the Browns, so that’s a positive.

5. Denver Broncos-Josh Allen-QB-Wyoming


This could be a fallback option if the Broncos can’t strike a deal for the top 2 picks and are forced to remain at number 5. While I don’t think Josh Allen is a finished product by any means, I do think he has all the potential in the world. Whether the Broncos are going to be able to develop that talent remains to be seen. I think they’ve gotten the most out of Trevor Siemian but Paxton Lynch has been a major disappointment and we’ve all seen what Brock Osweiler can do in a starting role, so quarterback is really what’s holding this team back from returning to contention. But don’t be surprised if the Broncos also go for a free agent acquisition or some kind of trade (Kirk Cousins, perhaps?).

6. New York Jets-Bradley Chubb-EDGE-North Carolina State


The Jets’ approach to the Draft has typically been “best player available.” Chubb isn’t my best available player at this stage, but that’s mainly because my highest ranked player from my initial big board, Minkah Fitzpatrick, is a safety; a position that the Jets have a plethora of young talent at. However, I’m of the belief that a team can never have too many pass rushers and the Jets could use a guy like Bradley Chubb to wreak havoc on offensive lines. They have a ton of holes on offense, but aside from the guys I have already being taken, there is nobody worth this draft slot on that side of the ball. I think they’ll start addressing the offense in round 2.

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Minkah Fitzpatrick-S-Alabama


Minkah Fitzpatrick is the top player on my big board, yet I have him going 7th to the Buccaneers. That’s just the way the Draft shakes out sometimes. The Buccaneers ranked last in yards allowed in 2017 and can use an upgrade pretty much anywhere on the field. I could also see this pick being Boston College pass rusher Harold Landry, however I think Fitzpatrick’s versatility will earn him the Bucs’ preference. He can play both corner and safety and I’ve seen him play up on the line of scrimmage at times (and seen him cause problems in the backfield to boot!). Fitzpatrick could add a much-needed boost to this Bucs defense that’s a long ways away from the days of Warren Sapp, Derrick Brooks, and John Lynch.

8. Chicago Bears-Harold Landry-EDGE-Boston College


Harold Landry is one of the quickest and fastest defensive linemen I’ve ever seen, which is something the Bears need more of. Leonard Floyd is a nice player, but aside from him there isn’t much of a pass rush to speak of. Chicago’s secondary played reasonably well in 2017 but an improved pass rush could help them out immensely. Enter Landry, who led the nation in sacks in 2016 and actually managed to show improvement in 2017. I think he could be a big lift for the Bears defense.

9. Oakland Raiders-Arden Key-EDGE-LSU


Arden Key’s a little raw, but he is oozing with talent. He kind of reminds me of Aldon Smith given his skinnier frame and elite athleticism. I watched some highlights on him and he has a tendency to disappear from games at times, but I think the right coach can get the most out of him. Enter Jon Gruden, who appears to be the next Raiders head coach. Gruden is a guy who has a history of firing up his team and getting the most out of his guys. Plus, Key will have Khalil Mack and Bruce Irvin to learn from as this Raiders defense looks to improve on a very unimpressive 2017 season.

10. San Francisco 49ers-Mike McGlinchey-OT-Notre Dame


Watching Jimmy Garoppolo play well with the 49ers is like watching my son succeed. That’s why is pains me when I see him get drilled by pass rushers while trying to get rid of the ball as quickly as possible. He needs a better offensive line so that he can go through his reads more easily. A lot of scouts think McGlinchey would be better at right tackle as opposed to left, where he played in college, and that’s probably where the biggest hole on the 49ers offensive line is. At least, when I watch Garoppolo highlights it is. McGlinchey can step in day one and protect Garoppolo for at least the next 10 years.

11. Miami Dolphins-Derwin James-S-Florida State


Derwin James showed a lot of promise as a freshman before getting injured and missing most of his sophomore season, then having a disappointing junior season in 2017. However that talent would emerge in flashes and I think given the right circumstances, he can reignite the spark that had scouts so excited for him when he was a freshman. James is a similar type of player to Jamal Adams of the Jets, who went 6th overall last year, in that he’s a traditional all-around safety in the mold of Brian Dawkins who can not only cover well, but bring the boom. The Dolphins need a guy like this roaming the secondary, as they really lack an enforcer away from the defensive line.

12. Cincinnati Bengals-Quenton Nelson-OG-Notre Dame


Quenton Nelson is probably the safest pick in this year’s class, as he consistently goes up against top competition on the defensive line and puts up great performances. Plus, I find that top-end guards tend to transition to the NFL really well. The Bengals need someone like that badly. After the departure of Kevin Zeitler, Cincinnati’s offensive line was a mess and was a big part of the team’s struggles offensively. Nelson won’t fix their problems by himself, but he could become this team’s version of Zack Martin.

13. Washington Redskins-Courtland Sutton-WR-SMU


This one was kind of tough because Calvin Ridley is also a very viable option here and I’m not 100% sold on Courtland Sutton’s ability to transfer from playing at SMU to the pros. I think he has the highest ceiling of any of the receivers in this class, as he reminds me a lot of Alshon Jeffery, but I also think he has the lowest floor, as he never really had to face any top-caliber corners. The Redskins need more receivers. Josh Doctson is still figuring out how to play in this league and Jamison Crowder can’t be your top guy if you hope to compete in the NFC East. If Sutton can have the type of impact I think he’s capable of, the Redskins will be right back in the hunt for a division crown.

14. Green Bay Packers-Derrius Guice-RB-LSU


Overall I thought Derrius Guice was kind of a disappointment in 2017. As Leonard Fournette’s backup for the first couple years of his college career, Guice showed to practically be his counterpart’s equal, as he would torch defenses on days that Fournette couldn’t go. Perhaps it was for a similar reason to Todd Gurley in 2016 as to why Guice didn’t have the breakout year I hoped for, as he was his team’s only real option on offense, allowing defenses to stack the box to stop him. Nonetheless, he still finished with over 1000 yards rushing on the season and could provide a huge boost to a running game in Green Bay that has had its struggles since Eddy Lacy’s rookie year.

15. Arizona Cardinals-Baker Mayfield-QB-Oklahoma


With the retirements of head coach Bruce Arians and quarterback Carson Palmer, the Cardinals may be in a state of panic, as they appear to be in limbo. They need a new quarterback and they need him now because the ACL-less Drew Stanton and Blaine Gabbert aren’t going to cut it for the long haul. Baker Mayfield is a guy I think has an extremely high ceiling but an extremely low floor. We saw a bit of both in Oklahoma’s Rose Bowl defeat against Georgia. When Mayfield was on, like in the first half and fourth quarter, the vaunted Bulldogs defense stood no chance at stopping him. When he was off, like he was in the third quarter, he played like how I would in that spot. There’s plenty of talent on offense in Arizona and I think this could be a great spot for Mayfield to land depending on who the Cardinals’ brass decides on for their next head coach.

16. Baltimore Ravens-Calvin Ridley-WR-Alabama


Calvin Ridley is a lot of peoples’ favorite receiver in the 2017 class, and he might even be mine, too. However he doesn’t do a whole lot that really stands out to me. He’s got good hands, good route running skills, and he’s reasonably quick. But there isn’t really anything that just makes you say “wow!” However, a team in need of a good receiver like the Ravens probably won’t care too much about “wow” factor as long as he can move the sticks. Ridley has kind of been kept under wraps since Jalen Hurts became the starting quarterback and Alabama became a more run-heavy offense (they’ve always been run-heavy, but under Hurts it feels like it’s gone up a notch). With a guy with an arm like Joe Flacco, I think Ridley can unlock his full potential.

17. Los Angeles Chargers-Rashaan Evans-ILB-Alabama


Rashaan Evans has battled injuries throughout the year but when he’s healthy, he’s one of the best linebackers that have come out in a while. He’s not as polished as Reuben Foster was coming out last year, but he does a lot of things similarly to the young 49ers stud. For a team that missed out on the playoffs, the Chargers surprisingly don’t have that many holes. Ideally, I think they’d like to get someone opposite Keenan Allen, but I’d give Mike Williams a chance to get healthy before pulling the trigger on another guy this early. I think the Chargers can afford to go with the best on the board and for me, that’s Evans.

18. Seattle Seahawks-Denzel Ward-CB-Ohio State


Denzel Ward is a guy I’ve gone back and forth on. He didn’t impress me in the season opener against Indiana, but he was lights out against Wisconsin. Granted, he was on Simmie Cobbs much of the night against Indiana and Wisconsin doesn’t have anybody near that caliber, but still, holding any opponent to zero catches when targeting you is something special, which is what Ward did on the Big Ten’s biggest stage. Offensive line is still the biggest need for the Seahawks, but I don’t see any quick fixes in this class worth spending a high pick on so I think solidifying their secondary should be a priority. Shaq Griffin looks like he could be a solid player, but after him and Richard Sherman, there isn’t a whole lot in terms of long-term ability. The Seahawks’ secondary was super inconsistent after Sherman and Chancellor went down for the season and adding a guy like Ward could make Pete Carroll a little more comfortable with their depth.

19. Dallas Cowboys-Maurice Hurst-DT-Michigan


Maurice Hurst is a guy I want to highlight on future scouting segments so I won’t go into TOO much detail about why I like him so much, but just know now that he’s probably the best defensive tackle in the nation in my opinion and I think he could really help the Cowboys, who once again dip into the Michigan well after taking two Wolverines defenders with early picks in last year’s Draft (Taco Charlton and Jourdan Lewis). Dallas could be losing DeMarcus Lawrence to free agency and they’ll need other guys to pick up the slack in case Taco Charlton doesn’t develop the way they hope. This pick could be Clemson’s Clellin Ferrell if they aren’t confident in him, however.

20. Detroit Lions-Ronald Jones II-RB-USC


The Lions have no ground game whatsoever. Ameer Abdullah has struggled in the feature back role and I think he’s better suited as a change of pace guy. Theo Riddick is purely a pass catching option. They really lack that one guy that can carry the load. Ronald Jones II can do that and then some. He kind of reminds me of a bigger Alvin Kamara with his skills not only as a runner, but as a receiver running routes. Watch his performance against Texas early in the season to see what I mean. He could be the feature back the Lions haven’t had since Barry Sanders.

21. Buffalo Bills-Lamar Jackson-QB-Louisville


I’m not in love with Lamar Jackson as a passer, I’d be a lot more intrigued by his potential if he were to convert to wide receiver, where I think is where teams can best utilize his abilities for the long term. However the former Heisman trophy winner does bring a lot to the table in terms of athleticism and he did improve his passing game from 2016-17, so it’s not unreasonable to think he can continue to grow in an NFL system. The Buffalo Bills clearly don’t envision Tyrod Taylor as their future, hence why he was randomly benched for Nathan Peterman midseason. Jackson plays a similar type of game to Taylor so they won’t have to adjust their playbook too much to accommodate his skillset like they might have to with a less mobile quarterback like Mason Rudolph. Plus the Bills already have a guy like LeSean McCoy at runningback, who could form a DEADLY read-option combination with Jackson.

22. Atlanta Falcons-Da’Ron Payne-DL-Alabama


Da’Ron Payne was the star of Alabama’s Sugar Bowl semifinal win over Clemson, as he had an interception AND a touchdown reception as a 310-pound defensive tackle. That’s the big man’s dream right there. Payne is also an excellent run stuffer, which could be very useful for a team like the Falcons, who currently employ Grady Jarrett and had to release Ra’Shede Hageman amidst domestic violence charges. Jarrett is set to become a free agent after the 2018 season, so establishing a running mate or potential heir would be beneficial in clogging the middle of the defense for the foreseeable future.

23. Tennessee Titans-Clellin Ferrell-EDGE-Clemson


The Titans are fairly old on the pass rushing front, as both Brian Orakpo and Derrick Morgan are hovering around the age of 30 (Orakpo is 31, Morgan is 28). Both are also set to become free agents after 2018, heightening the need for an heir. Ferrell isn’t a finished product, but he’s super athletic and can really benefit from learning from the veteran pass rushers.

24. Carolina Panthers-Orlando Brown-OT-Oklahoma


The Panthers have always been in need of offensive linemen, though in 2017 they weren’t too bad, though Cam Newton was sacked 35 times, tied for 9th in the league. You’d like to bring that number below 30 if you can help it and if you’re going to grab an impact tackle in this Draft, you have to pull the trigger right now because after Orlando Brown there is a pretty steep drop-off in offensive line talent. Brown is pretty raw, but he is so freaking huge (6’7 340 pounds) that you can’t help but take a chance on him. He was Baker Mayfield’s chief protector at Oklahoma and helped Rodney Anderson rush for over 1000 yards.

25. Buffalo Bills (from Kansas City Chiefs)-Christian Kirk-WR-Texas A&M


Time to give Lamar Jackson a new toy to play with. Bills receivers had a pretty rough year in 2017, even after the acquisition of Kelvin Benjamin from the Panthers, as Antonio Brown outpaced their entire group by himself. They’ve got some size to them, as Benjamin, Jordan Matthews, and Zay Jones are all at least 6’2, but they lack that quick route runner that can act as kind of a safety blanket. Enter Christian Kirk. What he lacks in size (5’11 201 pounds), he makes up for in quickness and agility. No matter who is quarterbacking the Bills in 2018, I’m sure they’d love to have this guy in the slot.

26. New Orleans Saints-Christian Wilkins-DL-Clemson


Christian Wilkins was a guy a lot of people had in their preseason top 10 players, but he kind of fell off as the season went along, with some experts leaving him out of the first round altogether. I watched footage from the Auburn game and I can kind of see why Wilkins might have fallen off. He doesn’t really do anything particularly special. His technique is good, but I think he lacks the ideal strength you want out of your interior linemen, though I will admit, watching that tape, he improved in that as the game went along. But he is pretty quick and athletic and I think with a few more trips to the weight room, he could become a dangerous force. The Saints don’t have a single hole on their team that I can see so they can afford to draft and stash a guy like Wilkins and bank on his development.

27. Jacksonville Jaguars-Ronnie Harrison-S-Alabama

at Jordan Hare Stadium on November 25, 2017 in Auburn, Alabama.

Quarterback is the biggest need for the Jaguars, but given that Blake Bortles is set to hit free agency after this season, you would need that quarterback to start immediately and none of the remaining QBs are day one starters. I think the Jaguars will franchise tag Bortles before looking for a potential replacement (though he has looked really good these last few weeks). They could also go receiver here, but I think they’ll get another defender to add to that ruthless defense like Alabama safety Ronnie Harrison. Barry Church is up there in age and finding another enforcer-type in the secondary could help turn the Jaguars defense from a really exciting one to an all-timer. Harrison’s hit in the photograph above was one of my favorite plays from the Iron Bowl, as Kerryon Johnson was trying to make his way for the pylon before getting earholed by Harrison.

28. Los Angeles Rams-Joshua Jackson-CB-Iowa


Joshua Jackson led all of college football with 8 interceptions and the Rams could use a ball hawk like that at corner. Trumaine Johnson has been in the perpetual franchise tag so finding a potential successor could be in the Rams’ benefit. Jackson played with Chargers rookie standout Desmond King at Iowa so one would be forgiven for thinking he could provide a similar boost to an already strong defense. Plus, like with pass rushers, I feel that one can never have too many good corners.

29. Pittsburgh Steelers-Malik Jefferson-LB-Texas


I disagree with a lot of scouts on Malik Jefferson when watching footage. I read that he’s super athletic and he’d be best suited as an edge defender. Watching that footage, I didn’t think Jefferson looked that athletic, though I did like his technique a lot and he looked like he had a solid future as an off the ball linebacker. He rarely ever goes for the risky knockout hit, he consistently wraps up, and he’s pretty good in zone coverage (his man coverage leaves some to be desired). The Steelers could be in need of an inside linebacker soon. Vince Williams was a revelation this season, but the scary injury to Ryan Shazier could be career threatening and the Steelers may need to find a guy to fill the potential void.

30. Minnesota Vikings-Vita Vea-DL-Washington


A guy built like Vita Vea should not be as quick as he is. He’s 6’5 340 pounds but he moves like a guy 100 pounds lighter. Analysts, myself included, seem to be all over the map about where his projected value is and I think how he does at the Combine could be a huge barometer as to where he might end up. My main beef with him is I think he has a slow get-off. When I watched some of his early-season highlights, it seemed like the ball would be snapped, a whole second would pass by, and then he’d break out of his 3-point stance. If he can work on anticipating the snap, he’ll be unblockable. As if the Vikings need another impact defender, though I think defensive tackle is a weak spot for them. Sharrif Floyd is a really good player, don’t get me wrong, but he’s often injured and the Vikings fear they may have seen the last of him in the NFL. Plus, current starters Linval Joseph and Tom Johnson will each be in their 30’s next season, so getting younger at that position seems to be the wise move.

31. Philadelphia Eagles-Isaiah Oliver-CB-Colorado


On paper, it seems that the Eagles’ weakest position would be runningback and Kerryon Johnson, Bo Scarbrogh, or Damien Harris could all be the pick here. However they seem to have found a way to make it work so I don’t think they will go that route. Instead, I think they go with the big corner in Isaiah Oliver. I only watched footage of one game on Oliver, I don’t even remember who they were playing, but he never got beat once in coverage by any receiver. He doesn’t appear to be particularly fast, but that’s not really his game a la Richard Sherman. I think he could struggle against smaller, shiftier receivers, but in a division with bigger receivers like Dez Bryant, Josh Doctson, possibly Courtland Sutton based on this mock draft, and ODell Beckham, a big corner to match up is a must.

32. New England Patriots-Mason Rudolph-QB-Oklahoma State


Patriots fans, settle down. I can explain. Quite frankly, I think the Patriots’ biggest needs are edge defender and potentially cornerback, depending on what happens with Malcolm Butler. If there isn’t a guy they like when they pick, I fully believe they will trade out of the pick. However I’m not projecting trades, so they have to stick here and in this mock I have them drafting a potential successor for Tom Brady. Bill Belichick is always grooming quarterbacks and they’ve all been used as trade pieces in the past. In fact, I thought Jacoby Brissett was far more raw than Mason Rudolph is when the Patriots took him in the third round of the 2016 Draft and he was able to start an entire season for the Colts. Rudolph has some pretty good arm talent, which I highlighted in my scouting quarterbacks blog, he just comes from a system that transitions pretty poorly to the NFL. However if he lands with the Patriots, I think he will be in the perfect situation to develop. Who better to learn from than Tom Brady and what better offense to work with than the Patriots? Plus, if Brady continues to play well into his 40’s and Rudolph impresses in practices and preseasons, the Patriots could have another trade chip on their hands.

That’s it for my first mock draft of the year. Let me know what you thought of it in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10 and contribute to my Patreon.

NFL Picks: Week 17

Last Week: 13-3                 Season Record: 136-73

The regular season finale of my NFL Picks. This will likely be the hardest week to pick since the early season picks (you may remember those as the ones where I would consistently whiff horribly, including one week where I only hit on a single 1:00 game) because a lot of teams could be either resting their guys for the playoffs, or have nothing to lose and will try and play some young guys to see what they can do. Wouldn’t shock me if this week ends poorly for me. Not that I’m trying to use that as an excuse for bad picks or anything…

Detroit Lions (8-7) vs Green Bay Packers (7-8)

Two teams whose seasons will not be ending the way they had hoped. The Lions and Packers both had promising seasons as they each got off to good starts in the first quarter or so of the year. However the Packers’ season was basically canned the minute Anthony Barr landed on Aaron Rodgers’ collarbone and the Lions would shoot themselves in the foot with untimely poor play. This could potentially be Brett Hundley’s final audition should a QB-needy team become desperate and try to acquire his services. I think he plays with a little extra fire in him and leads the Packers to victory.

Projected Score: Packers 27 Lions 20

Houston Texans (4-11) vs Indianapolis Colts (3-12)

Like the Packers, the Colts’ season was over the minute Andrew Luck’s injury was discovered to be serious and wound up costing him his season. The Colts out of desperation acquired Jacoby Brissett from the Patriots in exchange for disappointing receiver Philip Dorsett, who has played sparingly for New England. Brissett played about as well as one could expect given how little time he had to learn the playbook, but the Colts struggled mightily in what may be the final season in Indy for Chuck Pagano. However, the Texans have also had a season from Hell, as injuries ravaged this young team. I actually think the Colts will win this game, though. This is really just a gut feeling.

Projected Score: Colts 21 Texans 13

Chicago Bears (5-10) vs Minnesota Vikings (12-3)


If the Vikings win this game, they will lock up the 2 seed in the NFC and a first round bye with a home game in the divisional round at the very least, so there’s still plenty to play for here. For the Bears, this season went about the way I expected it to, as they’re under .500 but not so bad that they can be deemed an embarrassment. Mitchell Trubisky has shown some flashes of a potentially solid career and I think the Bears would be wise to try and let him loose this week to see what he can achieve. What have you got to lose? However whether they make that call or not, I still believe that the Vikings will win. They’re just that much better than the Bears.

Projected Score: Vikings 31 Bears 17

New York Jets (5-10) vs New England Patriots (12-3)

The Jets seem to always play the Patriots hard and they nearly came out with a win several weeks ago (that weird Austin Seferian-Jenkins non-touchdown is still one of the more bizarre things to happen this season). The Patriots still have the 1 seed to play for, which they will obtain with a victory. The Patriots were in basically an identical situation last year and they put the beatdown on the Dolphins, so I expect a similar approach this year. The Jets have really outperformed their talent this year, so much so it earned head coach Todd Bowles an extension. However they still aren’t on the Patriots’ level.

Projected Score: Patriots 34 Jets 13

Washington Redskins (7-8) vs New York Giants (2-13)

I’m so glad I didn’t have this blog up at the start of the season in time for NFL season predictions because I do not want to have any sort of record of me thinking the Giants were going to win the NFC East this year. Thank God for small miracles. The Giants will start Eli Manning, however since Geno Smith will be inactive, I think they will give Davis Webb a chance at some point to show what he can do. I don’t think it will be enough for them to beat the Redskins, though. They gave up on this year a long time ago.

Projected Score: Redskins 30 Giants 10

Dallas Cowboys (8-7) vs Philadelphia Eagles (13-2)

The Eagles have already locked up the 1 seed in the NFC and the Cowboys were eliminated from the playoffs with their loss to the Seahawks on Christmas Eve, so there really isn’t anything to gain from this game. I think the Eagles will play their starters for a little bit just to keep them warm and the Cowboys will try and end this disappointing season on a high note. I’m picking the Cowboys to win this game.

Projected Score: Cowboys 20 Eagles 16

Cleveland Browns (0-15) vs Pittsburgh Steelers (12-3)


Sorry, Browns fans, I don’t see this one happening, which really hurts to say because I hate seeing teams go winless. It sucked seeing it happen to the Lions in 2008 and it’s going to suck this year. Which is a shame, too, because I think there are some talented pieces in Cleveland. The Steelers are playing for a shot at the one seed so I don’t envision them holding back.

Projected Score: Steelers 35 Browns 7

Carolina Panthers (11-4) vs Atlanta Falcons (9-6)

This is an extremely important game for both teams. For the Panthers, they have a shot at a division title and possibly a first round bye with a win, wild card game with a loss. Meanwhile the Falcons are in the playoffs with a win while their future will be uncertain with a loss. It will depend on what happens with the Seahawks. I think the Falcons will win this game, though. I think they’ve got just a tad bit more incentive than the Panthers, which can go a long way for a team on the bubble.

Projected Score: Falcons 24 Panthers 20

Cincinnati Bengals (6-9) vs Baltimore Ravens (9-6)

The Ravens are in perhaps the best situation of the four teams vying for the final two Wild Card spots in the AFC. A win and they’re the 5 seed, however a loss could eliminate them depending on what happens with the Titans, Chargers, and Bills. The Bengals’ season is over and Marvin Lewis’ tenure in Cincinnati will pretty much be over after this game. I’ve got the Ravens taking care of business and returning to the postseason.

Projected Score: Ravens 28 Bengals 17

Buffalo Bills (8-7) vs Miami Dolphins (6-9)

The Bills need a win and some help in order to make the playoffs. In order to get in for the first time in the 21st century, they will need to win and 2 out of the 3 teams they’re competing with to lose, that being the Ravens, Titans, and Chargers. There’s still a chance, but their odds are the lowest of the four. I do think they will do their part and beat Miami, though. But I think Miami will give them a fight. This team has struck me as the type that will enjoy playing the role of spoiler.

Projected Score: Bills 17 Dolphins 13

New Orleans Saints (11-4) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-11)

at Mercedes-Benz Superdome on December 24, 2017 in New Orleans, Louisiana.

The Saints clinch their division with a win, as they hold the tie breaker over the Panthers. The Buccaneers have been a major disappointment this season, though reports are that head coach Dirk Koetter will be retained for next season, as I had suggested in my head coach hot seat blog. It may end up being next year that the Buccaneers take that next step, but this game will be about trying to salvage what you can out of a lost season. I think the Saints will win and clinch the NFC South.

Projected Score: Saints 38 Buccaneers 20

Jacksonville Jaguars (10-5) vs Tennessee Titans (8-7)

If the Titans win, then they’re in. The Jaguars have nothing to gain from this game, as they’re already locked into the 3 seed, so if I’m head coach Doug Marrone, I’m considering resting my star players in preparation for the playoffs, which very easily could be a rematch against this very Titans team. Despite the Titans having everything to lose in this game, I do think the Jaguars will pull this one out despite not utilizing all of their talent. Just a hunch.

Projected Score: Jaguars 34 Titans 27

Kansas City Chiefs (9-6) vs Denver Broncos (5-10)

Both teams will be starting their young quarterbacks in this game. Since the Chiefs have nothing to gain, as they’re locked into the 4 seed, Andy Reid will be starting rookie first rounder Pat Mahomes to give Alex Smith some rest. The Broncos will be going with Paxton Lynch in a last ditch effort to see if he’s going to be worth waiting on. The former first rounder really hasn’t shown much, if anything in his two years in the league and this game could be extremely important in establishing confidence in him for the future. If not, I expect the Broncos to be a team to watch for in the 2018 Draft. I think Mahomes will do okay overall, as I believe he will make a few throws that will show you why he was the 10th pick in the draft. However I actually think the Broncos will win this due to the fact the Chiefs will be going half-staffed, so to speak.

Projected Score: Broncos 17 Chiefs 10

Oakland Raiders (6-9) vs Los Angeles Chargers (8-7)


The Raiders were the preseason darlings of the AFC after a stellar 2016 season, however things just haven’t gone their way in 2017. I think they need to look to improve their defense in the offseason. The Chargers have a chance to make the playoffs after starting the year 0-4, which if things go the way my blog predicts, they’ll have an opportunity to do with a win, considering I predicted the Titans to lose. I think for that reason, the Chargers will get the job done and will get into the playoffs with a win over the Raiders.

Projected Score: Chargers 28 Raiders 24

San Francisco 49ers (5-10) vs Los Angeles Rams (11-4)

Last week I predicted the Jaguars would be Jimmy Garoppolo’s undoing. Then he went and dropped 44 on them. The Rams also boast a tough defense with the potential to throw him off his game, but after what he did to Jacksonville, I’m not so sure they’ll be able to do it, especially considering the Rams have already locked up the NFC West. Offensively the Rams have been an absolute revelation this season and they’ve been really fun to watch under Sean McVay, who could very easily win coach of the year. I do have the Rams winning, though. However Jimmy G will probably make me look dumb for saying so.

Projected Score: Rams 27 49ers 24

Arizona Cardinals (7-8) vs Seattle Seahawks (9-6)

There are no primetime games this week so this here is essentially the final game of the regular season. If I weren’t working, I’d be living on NFL Red Zone all day, as every single game will be featured on it. Based on what I have happening, the Seahawks will have already been eliminated before this game even starts, as I predicted the Falcons to win. However, if the Panthers wind up beating the Falcons, then a win would clinch a playoff berth for the Seahawks. I think they will win regardless, though, and be the casualties of what has been a very tough NFC this year.

Projected Score: Seahawks 28 Cardinals 21

That’s it for my regular season NFL picks. The first week of the New Year will be my end-of-year series for the NFL, which will be something similar to what I did with the MLB season. I can’t promise that will start New Year’s Day, though. Pretty much from 11 am until sometime after midnight on New Year’s Day I will be busy. I’d give it a 25% chance of there being a blog. Please leave a comment below or hit me up on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10 and contribute to my Patreon. Happy New Year everybody.

Playoff Picture Heading Into Week 17

So with one week left in the regular season, the playoff picture has pretty much taken shape with just a few slots left for grabs. Let’s take a look at where all 32 teams stand with one week to go in the regular season.

Eliminated From Contention

Cleveland Browns

New York Giants

Indianapolis Colts

Houston Texans

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Chicago Bears

San Francisco 49ers

New York Jets

Denver Broncos

Cincinnati Bengals

Miami Dolphins

Oakland Raiders

Arizona Cardinals

Green Bay Packers

Washington Redskins

Dallas Cowboys

Detroit Lions

Teams that Clinched Playoff Berths

New England Patriots

Pittsburgh Steelers

Philadelphia Eagles

Minnesota Vikings

Jacksonville Jaguars

Kansas City Chiefs

New Orleans Saints

Carolina Panthers

Los Angeles Rams

Future Undetermined

Baltimore Ravens

Tennessee Titans

Atlanta Falcons

Seattle Seahawks

Los Angeles Chargers

Buffalo Bills

Week 17 is going to be huge for the teams on this list. I’m going to break down each playoff contender’s situation

AFC Picture

All the divisions have been clinched in the AFC, however both Wild Card spots are up for grabs. We also know who will have the first round byes, as the Patriots and Steelers have both clinched now that the Jaguars have lost to the 49ers and the Steelers have beaten the Texans.

New England Patriots (12-3)


Week 17: Home against the Jets

If the Patriots win, they clinch home field throughout the AFC playoffs. However, if the Jets do the unthinkable and win in Foxboro, the Patriots can still take home field if the Steelers lose to the Browns. They’ve already clinched a bye so no matter what the Wild Card Round will not feature Brady’s Bunch.

Pittsburgh Steelers (12-3)


Week 17: Home against the Browns

The Steelers still have a chance to clinch home field despite the fact that the Patriots hold the tie breaker, but they’re going to need to become Jets fans. Despite not having Antonio Brown, the Steelers offense went to town on the Texans defense, so I’m sure they’ll be okay against the Browns. If they beat the Browns and the Patriots lose to the Jets, they’ll be the number 1 seed. However if the Patriots win, it won’t matter what the Steelers do against the Browns.

Jacksonville Jaguars (10-5)


Week 17: On the road against the Titans

The Jaguars clinched the 3 seed after losing to the Jaguars coupled with the Steelers defeating the Texans. They hold the tie breaker over the Chiefs thanks to a superior conference record so even if they finish the season tied, which would require a Jags loss and a Chiefs win, Jacksonville would still be the 3.

Kansas City Chiefs (9-6)


Week 17: On the road against the Broncos

As mentioned above, the Jaguars hold the tie breaker over the Chiefs so Kansas City is locked into the 4 seed. It wouldn’t shock me at all to see Andy Reid rest his starters for this game as it’s very likely that the Chiefs’ opponent in the Wild Card round will be a physical team.

Baltimore Ravens (9-6)


Week 17: Home against the Bengals

The Ravens have not clinched a playoff spot yet, but they do control their own destiny. A win over the Bengals would clinch them the first Wild Card spot and a date with the Chiefs. However, if they lose and two of the following three teams win (Bills, Chargers, Titans), then the Ravens are out. But if they lose and only one of those teams wins, then the Ravens will be the 6 seed.

Tennessee Titans (8-7)


Week 17: Home against the Jaguars

The 6 seed is currently held by the Titans but it is sure to be the most interesting playoff position of them all, as a loss by the Titans practically ensures one of the other two teams competing get in. Add in the fact they’re playing the Jaguars, whom they actually blew out back in Week 2 and things get even more interesting. However since that game, both teams have gone in opposite directions, the Jaguars showing themselves to be top talents in the league while the Titans are barely scraping by. However if the Titans win, they’re in. If not, they’ll be done provided the Chargers and/or Bills win. And who knows? If the Titans and Ravens both win, then the Titans will end up playing the Jaguars in back-to-back weeks.

Los Angeles Chargers (8-7)


Week 17: Home against the Raiders

The Chargers need to win this game if they’re going to have a chance and they’re going to need to get some help. If they win and the Titans lose, they’re in. I believe the same is true if the Ravens lose. They hold the tie breaker over the Bills, which they gained in their head-to-head victory (you may remember it as the game where Nathan Peterman threw 5 interceptions in the first half of his starting debut). But they’re out with a loss to the Raiders, so they can’t get caught scoreboard watching.

Buffalo Bills (8-7)


Week 17: On the road against the Dolphins

The Bills are basically in the exact same situation as the Chargers, except they need to win and two out of the three other teams in the Wild Card hunt need to lose, that being the Ravens, Titans, and Chargers. Also like the Chargers, if the Bills lose, they’re done. The Ravens and Titans control their destiny in these situations.

NFC Playoff Picture

There’s only one team left to clinch a spot and it’s either going to be the Falcons or Seahawks. However, seeding is confusing as shit. I’m not even 100% sure of how it all works at this stage. The easiest route of action would be for the Vikings to win their game or a Panthers loss, then there won’t be anything confusing. But we don’t always get what we want.

Philadelphia Eagles (13-2)


Week 17: Home against the Cowboys

The Eagles clinched the 1 seed and home field advantage throughout the playoffs, so there is nothing left for them to gain. They can rest their starters against the Cowboys if they so choose.

Minnesota Vikings (12-3)

at Lambeau Field on December 23, 2017 in Green Bay, Wisconsin.

Week 17: Home against the Bears

The Vikings have tie breakers over the Rams and Saints, which is huge considering they are right on their tails. However, the Panthers hold the tie breaker over the Vikings due to Carolina’s head-to-head victory. But the Saints hold the tie breaker over the Panthers so if there’s a 3-way tie between the three teams, there will be a loop of tie breakers: Vikings over Saints, Saints over Panthers, Panthers over Vikings. In that scenario, should the Vikings lose and the Saints and Panthers win, then it would come down to what happens with the Rams. But if the Vikings, Saints, and Rams lose and the Panthers win, Carolina jumps from the 5 to the 2 seed, meaning they’d go from having to play on the road in the Wild Card round to having a bye and a home game in the Divisional round.  Is your brain in a knot yet?

Los Angeles Rams (11-4)


Week 17: Home against the 49ers

The Vikings hold the tie breaker over the Rams so it’s guaranteed the Rams will be a 3 or 4 seed, since they won their division. If they lose to the 49ers, which used to be unthinkable but is now entirely possible thanks to the emergence of Jimmy Garoppolo, then they will drop to the 4 seed with either a Saints or Panthers victory.

New Orleans Saints (11-4)

at Mercedes-Benz Superdome on December 24, 2017 in New Orleans, Louisiana.

Week 17: On the road against the Buccaneers

A Saints win clinches them the division and a home game in the first round, since they hold the tie breaker over the Panthers. The Vikings hold the tie breaker over the Saints so I think they can’t get a bye no matter what happens with the Vikings. If they lose and the Panthers win, though, the Panthers will take the division and the Saints will be the 5 seed.

Carolina Panthers (11-4)


Week 17: On the road against the Falcons

A Panthers win would make things very confusing in the playoff picture due to the circular tie breakers, so I’m kind of praying the Falcons win just so I don’t have to think so hard. But it would certainly get interesting if the Panthers win because if the Vikings lose, then even though they wouldn’t win the division, they’d hold the tie breaker over the potential 2-seed. It’s all weird and I’m having a hard time wrapping my brain around things. And don’t even get me started on conference records because the Vikings hold the advantage over the Panthers in that regard, but head-to-head comes first.

Atlanta Falcons (9-6)

at Mercedes-Benz Superdome on December 24, 2017 in New Orleans, Louisiana.

Week 17: At home against Carolina Panthers

The Falcons control their destiny. If they win, they’re in. However they face a Panthers team that has a chance to win their division, so it won’t exactly be a cakewalk. No matter what, the Falcons would be the 6 seed if they got in. They could also get in with a loss, but the Seahawks would also have to lose, considering Atlanta holds the tie breaker.

Seattle Seahawks (9-6)

at AT&T Stadium on December 24, 2017 in Arlington, Texas.

Week 17: At home against the Cardinals

If the Seahawks win and the Falcons lose, the Seahawks are the 6 seed. Atlanta holds the tie breaker based on their win in their head-to-head matchup in Week 11 in that Monday Night game where Blair Walsh’s potential game-tying kick was too short.

Games with no Playoff Implications:

Winning these games would essentially be as meaningful as winning a bowl game. You can probably skip these ones.

Giants vs Redskins

Packers vs Lions

Texans vs Colts

Eagles vs Cowboys

Chiefs vs Broncos

Those are the playoff scenarios, I explained it as well as I could, but that 2-5 situation in the NFC is kind of brutal. If you can clean that up for me, let me know in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10 and contribute to my Patreon.


NFL Picks: Week 16

Last Week: 11-5                 Season Record: 123-70

We’re almost at the end of my NFL picks. Excuse me while I bawl my eyes out. I’m going to end up missing most of these games because I’m working at that time, but hopefully my boss will at least let us listen to the Patriots game over the radio. There weren’t any Thursday games and for the Saturday games, I picked the Ravens and Vikings to beat the Colts and Packers, respectively. Let’s get to the games.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-10) vs Carolina Panthers (10-4)


This is not how I expected the Buccaneers’ season to go. They showed so much promise and watching them on Hard Knocks, you could tell there was a lot of energy and hope with this team. But things just haven’t gone that way. It’s hard to tell where things really went wrong, but I like to point to early kicking woes that really killed their confidence early. The Panthers, on the other hand, have done a complete 180 from their huge letdown 2016 season and will more than likely make the playoffs, whether they host as a division champion or visit as a Wild Card team has yet to be determined. I’ve got the Panthers.

Projected Score: Panthers 30 Buccaneers 17

Cleveland Browns (0-14) vs Chicago Bears (4-10)

It’s the 1-year anniversary of the last time the Browns won a game, when they beat the Chargers thanks to a late blocked field goal. The Browns will look for another Week 16 Christmas miracle when they take on the Bears, who have also had a lot of problems this season. I would really hate to see a team go 0-16, that’s just no fun for anybody, even if it is the hapless Browns. But I can’t envision them stopping Jordan Howard, though if Deshone Kizer can find Josh Gordon a little more frequently, then I think they’ll have a chance. But I’ve got the Bears taking this one and the Browns falling to 0-15.

Projected Score: Bears 24 Browns 20

Detroit Lions (8-6) vs Cincinnati Bengals (5-9)

The Lions got off to a great start last Saturday against the Bears but kind of disappeared in the second half offensively. Luckily for them, their defense kept up their great performance all game and they were able to get the win. Marvin Lewis won’t be returning to the Bengals next season and I get the sense at this point that the Bengals are going to be phoning in the rest of the season. I’ve got the Lions in a blowout and their playoff hopes will still be alive come Week 17.

Projected Score: Lions 35 Bengals 10

Miami Dolphins (6-8) vs Kansas City Chiefs (8-6)

The Dolphins defense has impressed me this season, especially cornerback Xavien Howard, who had perhaps his best performance of the season when he shut down star Patriots receiver Brandin Cooks. Things weren’t so great against the Bills last week, as offensively they couldn’t get a thing going. They’re going to struggle against the Chiefs, who have suddenly returned to their early season form now that Andy Reid has given up playcalling duties. I’ve got the Chiefs winning this, I don’t think the Dolphins can keep up with them offensively.

Projected Score: Chiefs 31 Dolphins 20

Buffalo Bills (8-6) vs New England Patriots (11-3)

Things could get chippy in this game. None of the Bills came to Tre’Davious White’s defense after Rob Gronkowski’s cheap shot a few weeks ago and they may be trying to make up for that this week. Keep an eye on how guys are covering Gronk throughout this game. The Buffalo defense was impressive the last time they played the Patriots, but their offense couldn’t do a thing, which led to their 23-3 loss. I still don’t think they’ll be able to score enough points and I think the Patriots will win this one. Whether people get ejected or not will be another story.

Projected Score: Patriots 27 Bills 17

Atlanta Falcons (9-5) vs New Orleans Saints (10-4)

at Mercedes-Benz Superdome on December 17, 2017 in New Orleans, Louisiana.

A Saints win and a Panthers loss will clinch the division for the Saints so they’re going to be playing with some extra motivation against the Falcons this week. However, if the Falcons win and the Panthers lose, then there will be a 3-way tie for the top spot in the NFC South and I can’t think of a more perfect scenario the way the division has gone this year. I’m half hoping for a Falcons victory here, but I think the Saints are just too complete a team for the Falcons to beat twice in one year, as the main reason they won last time was the Saints shooting themselves in the foot. I’ve got New Orleans in a close one.

Projected Score: Saints 31 Falcons 28

Los Angeles Chargers (7-7) vs New York Jets (5-9)

The Chargers are one of the more underrated teams in the NFL this season and a lot of that has to do with how poor a start they got off to, as they were 0-4 until they defeated the Giants. The Jets are pretty much done this season, which Josh McCown’s injury seemed to signal. Bryce Petty has had his issues but wasn’t terrible against a good Saints defense last week. But the pass rush from the Chargers is going to fluster him and I think the Chargers are going to take this game in a cake walk.

Projected Score: Chargers 27 Jets 7

Los Angeles Rams (10-4) vs Tennessee Titans (8-6)

If the Titans aren’t careful, they could miss the playoffs entirely. They’ve already pretty much lost the division to the Jaguars, who with a win or a Titans loss will have officially clinched. The Jags take on the suddenly hot 49ers while the Titans are facing the even hotter Rams. Sean McVay’s squad has been an absolute revelation this season and I think he’s the frontrunner for Coach of the Year and I think they’re going to put a beatdown on the Titans, as they will cause too many problems for Marcus Mariota.

Projected Score: Rams 41 Titans 24

Denver Broncos (5-9) vs Washington Redskins (6-8)


Brock Osweiler looked pretty good in relief of the injured Trevor Siemian and it appears he’s going to be the starter the rest of the way. However that was against the Colts and having a good game against the Colts is like beating somebody who just got maced in a staring contest. The Redskins defense has been up and down this season but one constant has been Ryan Kerrigan, who was elected to the Pro Bowl this season. He’s been getting after the quarterback all year and I think if he’s not getting sacks, he will at least force Osweiler into some poor throws. I’ve got Washington.

Projected Score: Redskins 28 Broncos 20

Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4) vs San Francisco 49ers (4-10)

Since Jimmy Garoppolo became the starting quarterback, the 49ers are 3-0. Now granted, they’ve played the Bears, Texans, and Titans, but still, considering the fact they were 1-10 heading into this stretch, you have to be excited if you’re a 49ers fan. However the Jaguars are a beast the likes of which they haven’t seen all year, as their defense is absolutely suffocating. I’ve got the Jaguars ending the 49ers’ run.

Projected Score: Jaguars 31 49ers 14

New York Giants (2-12) vs Arizona Cardinals (6-8)

The Giants are terrible and Eli Manning being reinserted into the starting lineup changed nothing. While the Cardinals haven’t been very impressive themselves, they’ve at least shown some positive things this season, such as Chandler Jones leading the NFL in sacks this season. The Giants are going to get their asses kicked, though each of the last two times I’ve said that they’ve gotten a win. I’m still taking the Cardinals in a blowout, but don’t be surprised if I jinxed them.

Projected Score: Cardinals 34 Giants 14

Seattle Seahawks (8-6) vs Dallas Cowboys (8-6)

This is basically a playoff game right here, as considering how tough a lot of the Wild Card competition is in the NFC, a loss will likely eliminate either of these teams. So pretty much everything is on the line here. The Cowboys will be getting Ezekiel Elliott back from his suspension in this game and it could be just the boost they needed. The Seahawks just got their teeth kicked in by the Rams following an emotional loss to the Jaguars. Based on these turns of events, I think I’m going to go with the Cowboys to win this game, handing the Seahawks their third loss in a row and ending their playoff hopes.

Projected Score: Cowboys 31 Seahawks 21

Pittsburgh Steelers (11-3) vs Houston Texans (4-10) 

The first of the two Christmas Day games, the Steelers are coming off a heartbreaking loss to the Patriots where Jesse James’ touchdown was overturned, then Ben Roethlisberger’s fake spike was intercepted by Duron Harmon. Personally, I felt that the call on James was the correct one, as the ball did bobble when he hit the ground. However I do think the rule needs to be amended in the offseason. Plus they lost Antonio Brown for an unknown period of time due to a leg injury, however I think he will be back in time for the playoffs. It’ll be interesting to see how the Steelers offense performs without their stud playmaker against a Texans defense that has been solid despite the injuries. I think the Steelers will still win, but I think it will be a lot closer than it would’ve been had Brown been healthy. Eli Rogers will be a guy to watch.

Projected Score: Steelers 24 Texans 21

Oakland Raiders (6-8) vs Philadelphia Eagles (12-2)


The other of the two Christmas Day games, the Raiders have been a disappointment this season and things don’t appear to be getting any better as they head into Philadelphia, who despite having lost Carson Wentz, seem to still be in the thick of things with Nick Foles at the helm. They fell behind big against the Giants but were able to come all the way back and win, showing me that they will be fine with Foles at the helm. Probably not as fine as they would be with Wentz, but Foles is about as good a replacement as you could ask for. I’ve got the Eagles.

Projected Score: Eagles 31 Raiders 20

That’s it for the picks this week, there won’t be a blog on Christmas Day as my schedule on Christmas Eve is just way too packed. However I will try and write something on Christmas to post on the 26th. Your Christmas present from me is that I’m not going to tell you to leave a comment below or find me on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10 or even contribute to my Patreon. Merry Christmas, Happy Hanukkah, and Happy Holidays.

NFL Picks: Week 14

Last Week: 12-4                 Season Record: 103-58

Last week my misses were Giants-Redskins, Lions-Ravens, Buccaneers-Packers, and Eagles-Seahawks. For the Thursday night game, I picked the Saints, who of course lost to the Falcons. So my shot at a perfect week in the NFL still eludes me regardless of how this week goes. Let’s get picking.

Indianapolis Colts (3-9) vs Buffalo Bills (6-6)

With a Bills loss, the Patriots will clinch the AFC East for the ninth consecutive season. They face a Colts team that has been pretty disastrous this season so I don’t think it will be likely, the Patriots will have to earn that division crown with a win on Monday Night against the Dolphins. The Colts have the worst offensive line in football and this potent defense will be living in the backfield.

Projected Score: Bills 27 Colts 10

Minnesota Vikings (10-2) vs Carolina Panthers (8-4)

The Panthers are in a fight for a wild card spot right now, as the Falcons and Seahawks are in a slugfest with them for the final two spots with the Packers potentially lurking with a potential Aaron Rodgers return. The Vikings are about as difficult a team in football to beat, which hasn’t been done since Week 4, so they’ve got their work cut out for them. Both teams pride themselves on tough, physical defenses but I’m going to give the edge to the Vikings. They’ve been much more consistent offensively than the Panthers and I trust them a little bit more to move the ball against a good defense.

Projected Score: Vikings 23 Panthers 20

Chicago Bears (3-9) vs Cincinnati Bengals (5-7)

That was quite an embarrassing loss for the Bears last week. Not only did they lose to the 10-loss 49ers, but all of the 49ers points were scored via field goals kicked by a longtime kicker they had cut in Robbie Gould. Not a good look. The Bengals are also coming off a tough loss against the Steelers that is better remembered for how brutal it was, prayers go out to Steelers linebacker Ryan Shazier and his family. The Bengals blew a 17-0 lead and lost 23-20 on a last-second field goal. They nearly lost safety George Iloka to a suspension for this game but he was able to get it reduced to a fine upon appeal. However they will be losing Adam “Pacman” Jones for the rest of the season due to injury. Vontaze Burfict and Joe Mixon will also miss this game due to injury. So a lot to deal with for the Bengals at the moment and for that reason I’m actually going to pick the Bears to get the win.


Projected Score: Bears 17 Bengals 13

Green Bay Packers (6-6) vs Cleveland Browns (0-12)

This game is interesting mainly because of the shit people in the Browns organization are talking. New GM John Dorsey has gone as far as to guarantee a victory this week! Pretty bold claim coming from a team that’s 0-12. They wouldn’t dare make this claim if Aaron Rodgers were healthy, but Brett Hundley has had a couple nice games during his stint in the starting role. We also saw the Browns compete against a hot Chargers team last week and Josh Gordon looked pretty good in his return from suspension. But I’m still going with the Packers to win.  They’re just all-around better than the Browns. Yes I know, any given Sunday, but come on now. Of course, any time I make a comment like that, it bites me in the ass. Sooooooooo…

Projected Score: Packers 35 Browns 17

San Francisco 49ers (2-10) vs Houston Texans (4-8)

Jimmy Garoppolo won his first start as the 49ers quarterback over the Bears but it came without San Francisco reaching the end zone. That’s going to be an issue because even though the Texans are without many of their stars on defense, they still hold their own very well. I think this is going to be a low-scoring game, both teams have had their struggles on offense and I can’t imagine either team really exploding on the scoreboard. I’m going to give the advantage to the Texans in this one, I trust their defense to make more plays, plus they have more weapons on offense to go to, namely DeAndre Hopkins.

Projected Score: Texans 20 49ers 13

Oakland Raiders (6-6) vs Kansas City Chiefs (6-6)

The last time these two teams met, Derek Carr found Michael Crabtree by the pylon for the win in their fifth attempt at a victory to end that game. Since then, the Chiefs have been in an absolute tailspin, as overall they’ve lost 6 of their last 7 after having started the year 5-0. They haven’t been able to make the needed adjustments and it’s really hurting them. Marcus Peters was suspended by the team for this game after throwing the official’s flag into the stands and that’s going to hurt because they struggled to cover Robby Anderson last week, now you’re asking them to cover Amari Cooper and Crabtree without their best corner. I’ve got the Raiders taking the division lead.


Projected Score: Raiders 30 Chiefs 20

Detroit Lions (6-6) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-8)

The Lions come off a bad loss to the Ravens and will look to get back on track against the Buccaneers. They’re on the outside looking in on the playoffs as they’ve lost 6 of their last 9 after a promising start to the season. Tampa Bay has Jameis Winston back but it didn’t matter as they still lost to the Brett Hundley-led Packers. This season hasn’t gone the way either team would’ve liked and they’re both looking for some sort of redemption. I’m going with the Lions this week, Jameis Winston hasn’t been taking good care of the football this season and I think this Lions defense will have ample opportunity to take advantage.

Projected Score: Lions 24 Buccaneers 17

Dallas Cowboys (6-6) vs New York Giants (2-10)

The Giants fired Ben McAdoo shortly after the Giants loss to the Raiders last week and interim head coach Steve Spagnuolo’s first move at the helm was reinserting Eli Manning into the starting role. So basically benching him for Geno Smith was pointless. It’s just a disastrous situation in East Rutherford. The Cowboys are coming off a thrashing of the Redskins but that was more the Redskins playing like shit than the Cowboys being particularly good. I am going to take them this week, though. Say what you will about this season for them, at least there’s some functionality in Big D.

Projected Score: Cowboys 35 Giants 14

Tennessee Titans (8-4) vs Arizona Cardinals (5-7)

Like I said last week, the Titans are probably the weakest team with this good a record I’ve seen in a long time. There’s just no way they should be the 3-seed right now. And now they get a Cardinals team that just got their asses curb stomped by the Rams. But I actually think Arizona is going to win this game. They’re a feisty group that is capable of beating up on the likes of Tennessee, which they did against Jacksonville a couple weeks ago.

Projected Score: Cardinals 27 Titans 24

New York Jets (5-7) vs Denver Broncos (3-9)

The Jets have to be the worst tankers ever. They continue to win their way out of a high draft pick. A lot of credit has to go to Todd Bowles for this season because even though they have a losing record, they’ve far exceeded all expectations. Hell, people were predicting them to go 0-16 for crying out loud. Now they take on the Broncos, who offensively have been an utter trainwreck this year and at this point are playing to try and land either Josh Rosen or Sam Darnold. I’m taking the Jets to come out of Mile High with this one.

Projected Score: Jets 21 Broncos 14

Washington Redskins (5-7) vs Los Angeles Chargers (6-6)

The Redskins were absolutely god-awful on Thursday Night Football last week and they promptly got their asses whipped by the Cowboys. It gets a lot tougher this week when they face the Chargers, who are suddenly one of the hottest teams in football. After starting the year 0-4, they’ve won 6 of their last 8 and are suddenly in a 3-way tie for first place in the division. In fact, the Chargers’ 2 losses during their stretch run were the Patriots and the Jaguars, two teams that will be playing in January. The defense has quietly been one of the best in football, which is a big reason for this in-season turnaround. I’ve got the Chargers winning this one.


Projected Score: Chargers 28 Redskins 24

Seattle Seahawks (8-4) vs Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4)

This is going to be a really fun game. Both teams have physical and opportunistic defenses that create a lot of turnovers and can deliver some brutal shots. The Seahawks got a big win over the Eagles last week, as Russell Wilson officially entered his name into the MVP discussion. He played out of his mind in that game. The Jaguars have been a ground and pound team all season with Leonard Fournette and have been winning these games despite Blake Bortles not having a particularly strong season. I am going to give the edge to the Seahawks in this game, quarterback play being the deciding factor.

Projected Score: Seahawks 27 Jaguars 21

Philadelphia Eagles (10-2) vs Los Angeles Rams (9-3)

Brace yourselves, commentators comparing Carson Wentz and Jared Goff is coming. But that’s only natural, as Goff and Wentz went 1 and 2, respectively in the 2016 NFL Draft. Their careers will forever be linked, just as Winston and Mariota’s are, or Manning and Leaf’s. Both guys have taken huge leaps forward this season as Carson Wentz is a leading candidate for MVP while Sean McVay has saved Jared Goff’s career after a really poor rookie season. Both teams also have really good defenses so I expect this thing to come down to the wire. But I’m going with the Eagles this week, bouncing back from a loss. This is a gut feeling, as I can really see this thing going either way. Plus, a win here wins the division for the birds.

Projected Score: Eagles 31 Rams 28

Baltimore Ravens (7-5) vs Pittsburgh Steelers (10-2)

The Ravens are coming off a beatdown of the Lions while the Steelers are coming off a Monday Night brawl with the Bengals. Both teams seem to be at their best when they play each other so I’m expecting another good, hard-fought contest between them. The Ravens defense is back to their usual tricks, beating up on the rest of the league as Terrell Suggs continues to defy father time, as he’s over 10 sacks again in his age-35 season. But it’s their offense that worries me. I just don’t think they have the consistency or the weapons to keep up with this explosive Steelers offense, even without the aid of Juju Smith-Schuster, who is suspended for a hit on Vontaze Burfict. I’m going with the Steelers.

Projected Score: Steelers 24 Ravens 13

New England Patriots (10-2) vs Miami Dolphins (5-7)

The Patriots will be without Rob Gronkowski this week, who is serving a 1-game suspension for his cheap shot on Bills corner Tre’Davious White. A lot of people are calling bullshit on that decision and are saying he should’ve gotten more games because his late and clearly intentional hit gave the Bills rookie a concussion, but I’m going to say simmer down to those people. While yes, the hit by Gronk was totally uncalled for and has no place in the game, I think 1 game was the right call. It’s to make up for the fact that the officials didn’t eject him (which they should have). Besides, where were all these calls for heads when AJ Green choke slammed Jalen Ramsey? It’s because Green was ejected in that game (also because Gronk is a member of the Patriots, people will feel that the punishment handed down is never enough). I’m still going to go with the Pats in this one. They’re just the Dolphins’ daddy. If my predictions come true, then the Patriots and Steelers will clash next week with both teams at 11-2. Too hyped.


Projected Score: Patriots 38 Dolphins 17

That’s it for my picks segment this week. Agree? Disagree? Let me know in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10 and contribute to my Patreon.

NFL Picks: Week 13

Last Week: 12-4                 Season Record: 91-54

So this is going to be a bit different than my usual NFL picks blogs. I’m going to try and keep it a little shorter because I’m writing this at 2 in the morning coming back from the Big Ten Championship Game, won by the Ohio State Buckeyes 27-21. I couldn’t write it earlier in the day because I also cover the Indiana Wrestling team for a school TV station (IUSTV Sports) and Indiana had 3 consecutive duals that I had to be in attendance for and by the time I got out, it was time for me to get to a shuttle. What I’m trying to say is I’m running on fumes right now. And I’m a little pouty because I just had to drop over $200 for an Uber from Indianapolis to Bloomington because they jack up the rates when there’s a big event happening, which I guess is understandable. The driver was pleasant enough. I’m also going to kind of combine my Playoff picks in this because those are being released on Sunday Night rather than the usual Tuesday Night, them being the final ones of the year. I also wanted to mention, I freaking NAILED my conference championship picks. I went 8-0. I kind of feel dirty saying I finally got a perfect week since I did 4 fewer games than usual, so I’m just going to put an asterisk next to that. Sound good? Well, I don’t care, it’s my blog. Also, I picked the Redskins to beat the Cowboys on Thursday. That went VERY poorly, though not as bad as that time I picked the Dolphins to beat the Ravens on a Thursday Nighter and the Ravens ended up winning 40-0. That was fun. So with that, let’s get into the blog.

College Playoff Rankings:

1.Oklahoma Sooners

2.Clemson Tigers

3.Georgia Bulldogs

4.Alabama Crimson Tide

Just Missed:

Ohio State Buckeyes

Wisconsin Badgers

It hurt not including a Big Ten team in this but you just can’t at this point. Had Wisconsin won the Big Ten Title they would absolutely be in, but alas, that schedule. I’m predicting the committee swaps Clemson and Oklahoma on me and we may get a third straight year of Clemson-Alabama in the Playoff, though it could happen a week sooner than usual. And yes, I have Alabama getting in even though they didn’t win their conference. Let’s face it, I would take a 1-loss Alabama (that one loss being a Top-10 Auburn team) over Big Ten champ and 2-loss (including one by 31 points) Ohio State every time. It’s just the way things are. On to the NFL picks.

Minnesota Vikings (9-2) vs Atlanta Falcons (7-4)

Like I mentioned in the intro, I’m not going to go that long on these just simply because of the hour I’m writing them, my brain just isn’t functioning the way it needs to. But if you read my picks blogs enough I’m sure you can get a sense of how I feel about each team considering I feel like I can get a bit repetitive at times. I’m taking the Vikings in this one. I know Julio Jones is coming off that monster 250-yard game against the Buccaneers, but that’s the Buccaneers. Xavier Rhodes is far better than anyone the Bucs have to offer to cover Julio. Rhodes won’t shut him down, but he definitely won’t let up 250 yards. I expect that to be enough for an efficient Vikings team to get the job done.


Projected Score: Vikings 28 Falcons 20

Detroit Lions (6-5) vs Baltimore Ravens (6-5)

I’m going to pick the Lions here. Joe Flacco is just too inconsistent for me to trust and this Lions defense can be pretty potent at times. I do think it will be a low-scoring game because Baltimore’s defense is firing on all cylinders right now, but I trust Stafford more than I do Flacco.

Projected Score: Lions 21 Ravens 13

New England Patriots (9-2) vs Buffalo Bills (6-5)

It’s 2 am. I’m not going into any depth on what’s essentially been a lock every year since Brady took over for Bledsoe.

Projected Score: Patriots 35 Bills 14

San Francisco 49ers (1-10) vs Chicago Bears (3-8)

This is just a cavalcade of shit right here. Though it will be interesting for the sheer fact it’s two young and inexperienced quarterbacks with bright futures going head-to-head. Jimmy Garoppolo is making his starting debut for the 49ers against Mitchell Trubisky, who appears to be the future of the Chicago Bears. Having seen what Jimmy G can do, I’m going to go with the 49ers in this one.

Projected Score: 49ers 27 Bears 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-7) vs Green Bay Packers (5-6)

I really don’t know what to expect with either team, they’ve just been so maddeningly inconsistent. Jameis is back, though I don’t know if that can save this season. Plus he’s in some pretty hot water for allegedly groping a female Uber driver. We’ll have to wait and see what comes of that. For the Packers, Aaron Rodgers is practicing again just 5 weeks after breaking his collarbone. It’s still going to be Brett Hundley in this game, who admittedly played pretty well on Sunday night against the Steelers. This is a tough game to call so I think I’m going to give the edge to the Buccaneers just simply because they’re getting their starting quarterback back.


Projected Score: Buccaneers 24 Packers 21

Indianapolis Colts (3-8) vs Jacksonville Jaguars (7-4)

I just don’t get it with the Jaguars sometimes. One minute they look like world eaters and the next they lose to the Cardinals. I don’t know, man. I just don’t. But if you lose to the Colts, you have some serious effing problems. The only teams the Colts have beaten are the winless Browns, the 1-10 49ers, and Tom Savage’s first start back with the Texans. Jags fans, you’re going to be fine.

Projected Score: Jaguars 38 Colts 13

Denver Broncos (3-8) vs Miami Dolphins (4-7)

Welp, Paxton Lynch is out with a bum ankle. Back to Trevor Siemian! My God this Broncos quarterback situation is a train wreck. They just can’t seem to catch a break. The rest of this roster is far more talented than 3-8 so if I’m the Broncos, I play for next year and try and tank to land either Sam Darnold or Josh Rosen. Those dudes are the real deal. The Dolphins do just enough to prove to people they still have a pulse. Cutler is back this week and I think he’ll lead the Dolphins to an underwhelming victory.

Projected Score: Dolphins 21 Broncos 17

Kansas City Chiefs (6-5) vs New York Jets (4-7)

Remember when the Chiefs were cream of the crop in the NFL? Pepperidge Farms remembers (wait…I think…yep, we did it, folks, that’s the billionth time somebody referenced that Family Guy meme! Congratulations!). But in all serious, here’s a pretty interesting video that showcases some of the flaws the Chiefs have that were exposed by the Dallas Cowboys. It basically gameplans what the Jets are going to do to win this game.

Projected Score: Jets 28 Chiefs 20

Houston Texans (4-7) vs Tennessee Titans (7-4)

Is there a less impressive 7-4 team than the Titans right now? I don’t mean just this season, I mean ever. I really don’t know how they’ve gotten this far. And they’re probably going to make it to 8 wins because they’re facing perhaps the most injury-riddled team in the NFL in the Houston Texans. Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good.

Projected Score: Titans 19 Texans 10

Cleveland Browns (0-11) vs Los Angeles Chargers (5-6)

This was the one game the Browns won last season but I don’t see history repeating itself here. The Chargers, despite their record, are one of the hottest teams in football right now. Last year when these two squared off, the Chargers were basically in “meh” mode. Right now they have a legitimate shot at the playoffs the way the Chiefs are spiraling out of control right now. Imagine a home playoff game in that empty soccer stadium. It’s so awful it just has to happen.

Projected Score: Chargers 27 Browns 14

Carolina Panthers (8-3) vs New Orleans Saints (8-3)

The winner of this game is in the drivers’ seat in the NFC South. It’s easily the most important game going on this week. The Saints smacked the Panthers around the last time these two teams met but a Carolina win here would put them at an advantage in case of tie breakers. But I think the Saints will win this. Yeah, they lost last week to a good Rams team, but the Saints are still one of the hottest teams in football and I think they bounce back here.


Projected Score: Saints 35 Panthers 31

Los Angeles Rams (8-3) vs Arizona Cardinals (5-6)

Sean McVay proved he belonged last week after beating Sean Payton’s Saints. It was their first win over a really legitimate team and it was done so in impressive fashion. As for the Cardinals, I really have no idea what to make of this team but they feel a lot worse than 5-6. Which is a shame, too, because there is still a lot of talent on this roster even with the injuries to David Johnson and Carson Palmer. They beat the Jaguars last week, but the Rams are far more consistent than the Jags and I expect them to be fine here.

Projected Score: Rams 34 Cardinals 17

New York Giants (2-9) vs Oakland Raiders (5-6)

The Giants are awful and they’re benching Eli Manning for Geno Smith in this game. I don’t need to explain myself further, do I? The Raiders have new motivation now that the Chiefs suddenly suck and they have a legitimate shot at the division again. Motivation is a pretty big factor in winning football games.

Projected Score: Raiders 31 Giants 14

Philadelphia Eagles (10-1) vs Seattle Seahawks (7-4)

This game’s going to be awesome, I just know it. Seattle always seems to put on a show one way or another in prime time, no matter the injury situation (and it is steep). For the Eagles, Alshon Jeffery just got a $52M contract extension, so I’m expecting an extra spring in his step. I’m going to give the edge to the Eagles to run their winning streak up to 10 games. While Seattle has proven they are capable of overcoming injuries to Richard Sherman and Kam Chancellor, I just think Philly is a different beast this year.

Projected Score: Eagles 28 Seahawks 24

Pittsburgh Steelers (9-2) vs Cincinnati Bengals (5-6)

The Steelers are starting to run away with this division. Hell it’s feasible they could be 11-0 right now. Their first loss was a fluke against the Bears and their other was an anomaly where Big Ben threw 5 picks against the Jaguars. Antonio Brown has been unbelievable and Le’Veon Bell has been a workhorse while the defense has quietly been one of the better units in the NFL. Cincinnati just isn’t consistent enough to where that’s going to make a difference.

Projected Score: Steelers 35 Bengals 20

So those are my picks for this week. Sorry they aren’t as in depth as usual, but hey, maybe you guys like this more. Let me know what you think in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10 and contribute to my Patreon.

NFL Picks: Thanksgiving Edition

Welcome to a special edition of my NFL picks. I will only be doing the Thanksgiving Day games today but I will also be going a little more in depth with them. I’m going to do my best to watch every second of all three, but I will likely be in a food coma by the Chargers-Cowboys game. So with that, let’s get picking.

Minnesota Vikings (8-2) vs Detroit Lions (6-4)

NFL: Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings

Case Keenum is having a career year in 2017 (photo credit: USA Today)

Quarterbacks: Case Keenum vs Matthew Stafford

Injury Report: Nobody of major concern is officially inactive, however defensive ends Brian Robison of the Vikings and Ziggy Ansah of the Lions are questionable. Robison will probably play, he was a full participant in practice on Wednesday. Ansah will also likely play, but he was limited all week.

The Vikings haven’t lost since October 1st…against the Lions. Detroit won that defensive slugfest 14-7 and Case Keenum struggled, completing 16 of 30 passes for 219 yards and no touchdowns. Matthew Stafford wasn’t much better, however. He completed just 19 of 31 for 209 yards and no touchdowns. Both teams had relatively effective ground games, however, as Lions runningback Ameer Abdullah got 94 yards and a touchdown on 20 carries. Dalvin Cook for the Vikings got 66 yards on 13 carries, however he tore his ACL and is out for the season. The duo of LaTavius Murray and Jerick McKinnon have picked up the slack nicely since then, however. Both teams are totally different since this game. Case Keenum is playing the best football of his career right now and that has helped Adam Thielen have big-time success as well. The Lions have gotten contributions from all over the place at receiver. Golden Tate and Marvin Jones have been excellent this season and they’ve also gotten contributions from Theo Riddick out of the backfield, TJ Jones, and rookie Kenny Golladay, who is finally healthy again. Last week the Vikings convincingly beat up on an extremely talented Rams team while the Lions won after Chicago badly missed a last second field goal. The Lions just claimed Dwight Freeney off waivers from the Seahawks. I can’t imagine him having too much of an impact in this one, if any at all given the fact that he won’t even have 24 hours to learn the playbook. The Lions won this Thanksgiving matchup last year, but I’m going to give the edge to the Vikings this year. They’re too hot right now and they look like one of the most complete teams in the NFL.

Projected Score: Vikings 27 Lions 24

Los Angeles Chargers (4-6) vs Dallas Cowboys (5-5)

San Diego Chargers v Kansas City Chiefs

Melvin Ingram is having a career year for the Chargers (photo credit: Sports Illustrated)

Quarterbacks: Philip Rivers vs Dak Prescott

Injury Report: Cowboys Linebacker Sean Lee is the only player already considered to be out as of this writing, however Dallas is still without suspended runningback Ezekiel Elliott. Tackles Tyron Smith and La’el Collins are both questionable and were limited participants in practice, as is defensive end DeMarcus Lawrence. Nobody major seems to be in danger of missing this game for the Chargers.

Boy have the Cowboys been a mess since Zeke’s suspension was finally enforced. They’ve scored a grand total of 16 points in the two games without their star back. But I’m going to go on a limb and say that the Cowboys miss Tyron Smith more. He’s questionable for this game and his availability will be a huge deciding factor if the Cowboys have any chance at winning. They missed his absence horribly against the Falcons, as evidenced by Adrian Clayborn’s six sacks. The Eagles also had some success against the Cowboys’ offensive line. Rookie Derek Barnett had two sacks and Brandon Graham and Timmy Jernigan also got past the otherwise all-world offensive line. Dallas has some health issues and it could come back to bite them, especially against a Chargers team that has to feel on top of the world right now. The Chargers were the team that victimized Bills rookie quarterback Nathan Peterman for 5(!) first half interceptions as they blew out Buffalo 54-24. If Tyron Smith can’t go, the Chargers will have a field day with this offensive line and Dak Prescott will be running for his life. Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram are both in the top 7 in the NFL in sacks and it wouldn’t surprise me if defensive coordinator Gus Bradley blitzed on most downs to take advantage of this weakened line. I’m going to give the edge to the Chargers here. The Cowboys just have too many issues working against them right now and even if Tyron Smith is able to go, I can’t imagine him being nearly as effective as he usually is.

Projected Score: Chargers 28 Cowboys 20

New York Giants (2-8) vs Washington Redskins (4-6)

New York Giants v Washington Redskins

Landon Collins is one of the best defensive playmakers in the NFL (photo credit: USA Today)

Quarterbacks: Eli Manning vs Kirk Cousins

Injury Report: Giants Offensive linemen DJ Fluker and Justin Pugh are out as well as linebacker BJ Goodson. Olivier Vernon, Damon Harrison, and Sterling Shepard are all questionable, however they were able to play in their victory against the Chiefs on Sunday. The Redskins placed swiss army knife Chris Thompson on IR with a broken fibula. That’s going to hurt not only the Redskins, but my fantasy team. Terrelle Pryor was also placed on IR, however he hadn’t been contributing like the Redskins hoped when they signed him away from the Browns. Tight end Jordan Reed is also out, but that’s been an issue for the Redskins all season and isn’t anything new. Vernon Davis has been stepping up in his absence. Offensive linemen Trent Williams and Brandon Scherff are listed as questionable, so that could be a potential issue for the Redskins

Welp, I’m going to eat shit for this segment of last week’s picks:


As many of you probably know, the Giants ended up beating the Chiefs 12-9 in overtime. So if any Giants fans out there want to harass me online, you have every right to do so. Defensively the Giants were really impressive against the Chiefs. The weather did play a factor, as it was cold and very windy all game, which definitely aids the defense. When the Giants are playing hard, their defense is as tough as any in football. It also helps when Janoris Jenkins is actually trying, which he was last week. If he puts forth the effort he did against the Chiefs, then Redskins receivers will have a hard time getting open. Josh Doctson has been very inconsistent for the Redskins but when he’s on, he makes some fantastic catches. Jamison Crowder is the top option for the Redskins, who are suddenly very depleted on offense. Defensively they’re actually one of the healthier teams in the league. They did lose rookie defensive lineman Jonathan Allen for the season and he had been playing very well in a rotational role, but the rest of the line has really stepped up in his absence. I’m actually going to give the edge to the Giants this week. Like the Cowboys, the Redskins are dealing with a bunch of injuries to key players right now and the Giants are coming off a big momentum swing. Plus, I feel like I owe it to Giants fans after that disaster from Sunday.

Projected Score: Giants 19 Redskins 14

Those are my picks for Thanksgiving. There won’t be a blog on Friday, as I will be spending the day with family and won’t have time for it. Fear not, my weekend picks will be posted as scheduled. Have a happy Thanksgiving everybody!

NFL Picks: Week 11

Last Week: 11-3                  Season Record: 69-46

Damn, 69 wins again. Just like with college football last week, I may try and sabotage my picks segment for the NFL just so I can stay at 69 wins. However that won’t end up happening because I won the Thursday night bout between the Steelers and Titans in NBC’s experiment with sky cam cameras for most of the game. I thought it was okay, I prefer the traditional camera view mainly because I can see everything, sky cam cuts off my view of the receivers. However I did appreciate sky cam on running plays more. But with that, let’s get to the picks.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-6) vs Miami Dolphins (4-5)

So this was the game that was supposed to happen in Week 1 but Hurricane Irma had other ideas. Personally, I liked Chris Long’s idea to move this game to a neutral site and donate the proceeds to relief efforts, but the NFL decided moving this game to the week where both teams have a bye would be a better idea, leaving these teams with having to play 16 straight weeks with no bye. Seems smart. The Buccaneers are coming off an odd week for them, beating the Jets on field goals, something that was a MAJOR issue for this team over the last couple years. Patrick Murray hit 5 through the uprights and it was enough to give the Bucs their first win since Week 4. The Dolphins’ spectacular defensive performance this season finally ran out of steam on Monday night against the Panthers. I think this will be a more defensive game, both teams’ normal starting quarterbacks are out and they’re pretty limited offensively as is. I’m going to give the edge to the Dolphins, I think they’re better suited to win a defensive game.

Projected Score: Dolphins 20 Buccaneers 13

Detroit Lions (5-4) vs Chicago Bears (3-6)

The Bears finally let Mitchell Trubisky loose last week against Green Bay and he looked solid. 21-35 with 297 yards and a touchdown. The problem was the Packers stacked the box to stop Jordan Howard and it worked, as Howard was limited to just 54 yards on 15 carries and Brett Hundley was able to have his best game as a pro, leading the Packers to victory. The Lions seem to be back on track, winning back-to-back games since falling below .500 a couple weeks ago. Matthew Stafford has been leading this team through thick and thin but this team goes where the defense is willing to take them. I think Detroit’s defense steps up and gets the job done.


Matthew Stafford has been up to his usual tricks this season (photo credit: Fan Rag Sports)

Projected Score: Lions 24 Bears 14

Jacksonville Jaguars (6-3) vs Cleveland Browns (0-9)

I want to say the Jaguars broke their streak of good-bad-good-bad but they didn’t play too well in their victory against the Chargers. It just seemed like the Chargers wanted to win a little less, especially in that wildly unimpressive overtime period. By that logic, the Jaguars are slated to have a good performance and they face the perfect team to do so in the Cleveland Browns. Ahead of the game, Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles gave some sound advice to Browns quarterback Deshone Kizer: “Try to throw it to your team as much as possible.” That’s good advice, Blake. The Browns offense has been abysmal this season and it’s going to be a looooooooooooooooong day against this explosive Jaguars defense.

Projected Score: Jaguars 35 Browns 10

Baltimore Ravens (4-5) vs Green Bay Packers (5-4)

This is a tough game to project because both teams have stout defenses but have had their struggles offensively. The Ravens are coming off their bye week following a narrow 23-20 defeat at the hands of the Tennessee Titans while the Packers won their first game under Brett Hundley on the strength of their defense. It’s going to come down to which offense can make a play because you can bet both teams’ defenses will be bringing a little something extra as they try and keep their playoff hopes alive. I’m going to pick the Packers this week. I think they’re riding a little more momentum right now and that can come in handy.


Brett Hundley has the unenviable task of trying to to match Aaron Rodgers’ production (photo credit: 247 Sports)

Projected Score: Packers 24 Ravens 20

Arizona Cardinals (4-5) vs Houston Texans (3-6)

Blaine Gabbert vs Tom Savage. A match made in heaven. The Cardinals are hovering around mediocrity and things don’t appear to be getting any better, however the Texans are in full tank mode with all the injuries to critical players they’ve had this season. If I’m Houston, I prepare for next year by having everyone get healthy while also testing out some young guys to see what they can do. They traded their first round draft pick in 2018 to the Cleveland Browns for the right to draft Deshaun Watson so playing for the high pick isn’t really an option. I think Arizona is going to win this game, however it wouldn’t shock me to see Houston compete simply because of how inconsistent the Cardinals have been.

Projected Score: Cardinals 20 Texans 17

Los Angeles Rams (7-2) vs Minnesota Vikings (7-2)

If I were to tell you at the beginning of the year that the best matchup in Week 11 would be Jared Goff vs Case Keenum, you’d laugh in my face and revoke my rights to talk football, and rightfully so. But that just goes to show the job that head coaches Sean McVay and Mike Zimmer have done this season. Goff has taken a HUGE leap in year 2 of his NFL career and the Vikings have been overcoming some injuries to key players. This is going to be a really good game. I think I’m going to give the edge to the Vikings. This is more a gut feeling than anything because these two teams do match up really well with one another and there isn’t a big enough edge for either team where I’d feel totally confident in a decision based on numbers or the eye test.

Projected Score: Vikings 28 Rams 27

Washington Redskins (4-5) vs New Orleans Saints (7-2)

The Saints continue to be the hottest team in football, having won 7 in a row and last week may have been their most impressive performance of the season as they dropped 47 points on the Buffalo Bills through almost exclusively running the football. The Bills are no slouches defensively so it came as a shock to me to see the Saints score that many points on them, though if I had to pick one team that would do that, it would probably be New Orleans. I just would’ve guessed they’d be throwing the football some more, but six rushing touchdowns will get the job done every time. The defense has also been terrific and I think the Redskins will struggle to score points against them. I think the Saints win again and increase their win streak to 8.

Projected Score: Saints 35 Redskins 17

Kansas City Chiefs (6-3) vs New York Giants (1-8)


Ben McAdoo may get fired after this game.

Projected Score: Chiefs 42 Giants 0

Buffalo Bills (5-4) vs Los Angeles Chargers (3-6)

The Bills benched Tyrod Taylor after a lackluster performance against the Saints in favor of rookie fifth rounder Nathan Peterman. Peterman played okay in relief of Taylor late in the game, throwing the team’s only touchdown on the day for the first of his NFL career. The Chargers are a tough team to make your starting debut against, however. Defensively they’re quietly one of the top units in the NFL thanks in large part to the pass rush duo of Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa. I think the Chargers defense is going to frustrate this Bills offense and the Bolts will get the win.

Projected Score: Chargers 23 Bills 14

Cincinnati Bengals (3-6) vs Denver Broncos (3-6)

This is a game between two struggling offenses and some stellar defenses that are probably feeling pretty frustrated considering how much they have to do to accommodate their offenses. Andy Dalton and the duo of Trevor Siemian and Brock Osweiler have struggled this season and I wouldn’t be surprised if either coach goes to backup quarterbacks AJ McCarron or Paxton Lynch to try and get a spark. These are two teams with plenty of weapons on offense but the quarterback play has held them back. I’m going to go with the Bengals. I think they’ve shown me a little more this season than the Broncos have.


Geno Atkins has continued to dominate on the interior of the line (photo credit: Sports Illustrated)

Projected Score: Bengals 17 Broncos 10

New England Patriots (7-2) vs Oakland Raiders (4-5)

This game will be played in Mexico. It’s the Raiders’ second straight year playing with our neighbors to the south, where they beat the Houston Texans last season. The Patriots are on fire right now, winning five in a row, including a beatdown of the Broncos on Sunday night where special teams were the main deciding factor, as the Broncos muffed a punt, let up a kick return touchdown, and had a punt get blocked all in a matter of 20 minutes of game time. The Patriots likely won’t get that kind of help against this scrappy Raiders team but I still think they will prevail, I just think Oakland is too unbalanced an offense to pose too much of a threat.

Projected Score: Patriots 27 Raiders 17

Philadelphia Eagles (8-1) vs Dallas Cowboys (5-4)

This is a fun game on paper, however the Cowboys are missing some key members of their squad. Sure, Ezekiel Elliott’s suspension hurt, but my god, I don’t know if I’ve ever seen a team miss an offensive lineman as much as the Cowboys missed Tyron Smith last week against the Falcons. Chaz Green was absolutely manhandled by Adrian Clayborn so bad that Clayborn nearly set an NFL record for sacks in a game with 6 (the record is 7 by Hall of Famer Derrick Thomas). Clayborn isn’t exactly the late-great Derrick Thomas, he had 2 sacks going into that game and came out of it has one of the league’s leaders. Smith is expected to miss this game as well so the Cowboys are going to have to find some way to give Green help on the left side because you can bet Eagles defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz is going to be bringing the house against him. I have the Eagles in this one.

Projected Score: Eagles 24 Cowboys 7

Atlanta Falcons (5-4) vs Seattle Seahawks (6-3)

The Falcons, as mentioned in the previous game, absolutely ransacked the Cowboys offense in their victory last week, spearheaded by Adrian Clayborn’s 6 sacks. They face an even weaker offensive line in Seattle, though it has admittedly played a lot better since acquiring Duane Brown from the Texans. However the Seahawks lost both star defensive backs Richard Sherman and Kam Chancellor for the season and that’s going to hurt badly. Those are two of the biggest leaders of this defense and their presence will be sorely missed against a Falcons team that appears to be regaining its confidence. I have Atlanta in this one.


The Cowboys couldn’t stop Adrian Clayborn all afternoon last week. (photo credit:

Projected Score: Falcons 30 Seahawks 20

Teams on Bye: New York Jets, Indianapolis Colts, San Francisco 49ers, Carolina Panthers

Those are my picks for this week. About five or six shots left at a perfect week, so fingers crossed I can nab one before the season gets out. Agree? Disagree? Let me know in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.

NFL Picks: Week 10

Last Week: 8-5                  Season Record: 58-43

I was killing it last week up until the 4:00 games, where I missed every single one, but my performance before that was good enough where it didn’t hurt me overall. 8-5 is roughly where I expected to be when I started doing this and after a few really strong weeks, I finally have a good record. However those good weeks came after losing the Thursday night game, and I finally broke my 3-week Thursday Night losing streak when the Seahawks beat the Cardinals. So let’s see if Thursday Nighters really do correlate with my performance, or if I’m just getting better at picking.

New Orleans Saints (6-2) vs Buffalo Bills (5-3)

Brees diving endzone

Drew Brees is quietly defying father time this season (photo credit: WWL)

Believe it or not, this is the only matchup this week between two teams with winning records, which comes as a surprise to me based on the perception of these teams at the beginning of the year. But the Saints have been one of the most well-rounded teams in football, as defensively they’re 10th best in points per game allowed and 15th in total yards allowed in addition to their typical offensive prowess. Buffalo has also been impressive defensively, as they rank 6th best in points and 23rd in yards. The reason for Buffalo’s high ranking in points but low ranking in yards is because the Bills have been a turnover machine defensively, as they’re second in the NFL in interceptions and first in forced fumbles. This could potentially be a low-scoring game but I think the Saints will prevail, as I trust in Drew Brees’ ability to put up points on a tough defense more than I do Tyrod Taylor’s.

Projected Score: Saints 27 Bills 17

Green Bay Packers (4-4) vs Chicago Bears (3-5)

The Packers have struggled mightily with Brett Hundley under center, as they’ve lost 3 in a row since losing Aaron Rodgers (I’m counting the Vikings game that Rodgers went down in because he was injured pretty early in that game). In that stretch they’ve only been decent defensively so despite the fact that they’re going up against a very one dimensional offense in Chicago, I’m not so sure they’ll be able to leave Soldier Field with a W. The Bears have won two in a row with Mitchell Trubisky under center despite the fact that he’s hardly thrown any passes. Defensively during this stretch the Bears defense has been sensational and I think they will fluster Hundley to no end and allow the Bears to win, even if Trubisky hardly throws.

Projected Score: Bears 17 Packers 10

Cleveland Browns (0-8) vs Detroit Lions (4-4)

I’ve got a strange feeling about this one. The Browns are coming off a much-needed bye week and they face a Lions team that has been pretty inconsistent overall. The Browns are likely going with Deshone Kizer at quarterback and they’ve been terrible offensively and the Lions defense has been pretty good. But the Browns looked pretty solid for three quarters against the Vikings in London so maybe the bye will have them on the right track. I’m going to go with the Lions because I think Matthew Stafford will be too difficult for Cleveland to stop, but I do have a funny feeling that this may be the week for the Browns.

Projected Score: Lions 27 Browns 20

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2) vs Indianapolis Colts (3-6)

The Steelers, like the Browns, are also coming off a bye and had been trending in the right direction leading up to it, winning three in a row. In fact, those three consecutive wins have come following Ben Roethlisberger’s 5 interception game against the Jaguars. They face a Colts defense that struggles to get takeaways and after cutting Vontae Davis, the Colts have nobody they can trust to cover Antonio Brown. I think Brown has a field day in this game and the Steelers win easily.

Projected Score: Steelers 42 Colts 14

Los Angeles Chargers (3-5) vs Jacksonville Jaguars (5-3)


Joey Bosa has shown that his 2016 Rookie of the Year campaign was no fluke (photo credit: Sports Illustrated)

The Chargers are also coming off their bye week after being competitive with the Patriots for four quarters. The defense has been really good this season, as they haven’t allowed more than 26 points in any game this season, which includes a shutout of Denver. The Jaguars were able to beat the Bengals despite suspending Leonard Fournette for the game for violating team rules (allegedly, he missed a team photo, which seems like a silly reason to suspend someone an entire game for. A fine probably would’ve gotten the point across) and will likely have him back this week. I feel like on paper the Jaguars should win this game, but based on the good-bad-good-bad performances they’ve given, this is scheduled to be a bad week, so I’m going to go with LAC.

Projected Score: Chargers 20 Jaguars 14

New York Jets (4-5) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-6)

The Jets are coming off an impressive Thursday Night victory over the Bills and Josh McCown has quietly been really good this season, especially considering his best receivers are Jermaine Kearse and Robby Anderson. The defense has also been pretty good and they face a Buccaneers team that will be without Jameis Winston and possibly Mike Evans. Winston injured his shoulder in Tampa’s blowout loss to the Saints last week and Evans is appealing a one-game suspension for a cheap shot on Marshon Lattimore (probably will play this week due to appeal rules). Ryan Fitzpatrick gets the start for the Bucs but I don’t think he’ll make much of a difference. I have the Jets.

Projected Score: Jets 27 Buccaneers 14

Cincinnati Bengals (3-5) vs Tennessee Titans (5-3)

The Bengals offense got shut down by Jacksonville last week and couldn’t beat the Jaguars despite not having to face Leonard Fournette. It also didn’t help that they lost AJ Green in the second quarter for putting Jalen Ramsey in a chokehold. Neither player got suspended for the exchange, which surprises me given Mike Evans did get suspended for his shot on Lattimore. Hell, Green threw punches! But regardless, they face a Titans team that has been really inconsistent this season yet still somehow find themselves on pace for a 10-win season. This is a tough game to project because I just have no idea what to expect out of either team. I’m going to give the edge to Tennessee because I don’t trust Cincinnati’s ability to score points.

Projected Score: Titans 28 Bengals 17

Minnesota Vikings (6-2) vs Washington Redskins (4-4)

The Vikings defense has carried this team this season but don’t discredit the play of Case Keenum. He’s been pretty effective as Sam Bradford deals with an injury. Mike Zimmer will have an interesting decision on whether to bring in Teddy Bridgewater when he’s fully healthy, but thanks to Keenum’s play, he’s able to wait until the former first rounder is 100%. They face a Redskins team coming off an exciting victory in Seattle. The defense looked really good and I think this has the potential to be another low-scoring game. I’m going to give the edge to the Vikings, as they’ve been more efficient this season.

Projected Score: Vikings 23 Redskins 16

Houston Texans (3-5) vs Los Angeles Rams (6-2)


Todd Gurley has been a major factor in the Rams offensive rebirth (photo credit: The Ringer)

Losing Deshaun Watson for the season has very visibly hurt this Texans team, as they were only able to muster 14 points against a poor Colts defense under Tom Savage. They go back to Savage again against a really tough Rams defense. It won’t be a fun day for Savage. The Rams are coming off an absolutely DOMINANT performance against the Giants, where they went into East Rutherford and won 51-17. They face another team that appears to be playing for next year and I think they get another win. Don’t look now, but the Rams may be 7-2 after this weekend.

Projected Score: Rams 34 Texans 10

Dallas Cowboys (5-3) vs Atlanta Falcons (4-4)

So it looks like Ezekiel Elliott is finally going to serve that suspension after being denied an injunction (or an appeal, or objection, I don’t know legal talk. You’d think I would’ve learned after following Tom Brady’s case so closely). I do anticipate a drop off in the team’s rushing performance, as Elliott is a hard guy to replace, but I also think they will be okay. Alfred Morris is a capable back and he’ll be running behind the best offensive line in football. Where Dallas will be hurt is in big play ability because Morris lacks Zeke’s explosiveness. The Falcons have been a disappointment at this stage in the season but if they were to pull off a big win, I think this would be where they’d have to do it. The Cowboys will be without Zeke and Dez Bryant isn’t totally healthy. I think the Cowboys offense will struggle some and I think Atlanta takes it at home.

Projected Score: Falcons 31 Cowboys 24

New York Giants (1-7) vs San Francisco 49ers (0-9)

It’s hard to get embarrassed on your home field as badly as the Giants were embarrassed by the Rams last week. This team appears to have quit on head coach Ben McAdoo and I don’t anticipate things going any better as they face the winless 49ers. The 49ers have played hard all year and haven’t had things go their way and I think this is the week they are finally rewarded for their efforts. The Giants seem like they’re phoning it in and I think Kyle Shanahan will have his guys ready to pounce. But this will also be my third time picking the 49ers this season and they’ve let me down each time. Third time’s the charge I guess?

Projected Score: 49ers 27 Giants 10

New England Patriots (6-2) vs Denver Broncos (3-5)


The Patriots defense has improved significantly throughout the season and a lot of it is thanks to the improvement of Kyle Van Noy (photo credit: Pats Pulpit)

The last team you want to face coming off a bye is the New England Patriots and the Broncos themselves are coming off a blowout loss to the Eagles. Bill Belichick and his guys have had two weeks to prepare for this Broncos team and while they do have a good defense (ignoring the fact they let up 51 points to the Eagles), they have a ton of issues on the offensive side of the ball. I think Brock Osweiler will struggle to move the ball against the Patriots. I don’t anticipate this being a close game.

Projected Score: Patriots 35 Broncos 10

Miami Dolphins (4-4) vs Carolina Panthers (6-3)

This has the potential to be a good game. The Dolphins defense has been impressive this season and Jay Cutler is coming off his best performance as a Dolphin in the loss to the Raiders last week. Carolina has been inconsistent offensively but dominant on defense, so I think this could be a tightly-contested ball game. Despite not having Kelvin Benjamin after shipping him off to Buffalo, they were still able to put up enough points to beat the Falcons (though some self-inflicted wounds by Atlanta certainly contributed). I do think Carolina comes out and wins though, I don’t think Miami is good enough offensively to overcome Carolina’s defense.

Projected Score: Panthers 21 Dolphins 17

Teams on Bye: Baltimore Ravens, Kansas City Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles, Oakland Raiders

Those are my picks for this week. Hopefully I don’t make a damn fool of myself. Agree? Disagree? Let me know in the comments section below or on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10.