Milwaukee Brewers Strike Twice

Thank God for the Brewers. Never thought I’d ever utter a sentence like that, but here we are. The Brewers have pulled off not one, but TWO major acquisitions today, as they signed free agent outfielder Lorenzo Cain to a 5 year $80M deal and acquired outfielder Christian Yelich from the Miami Marlins in exchange for prospects Lewis Brinson, Monte Harrison, Isan Diaz, and Jordan Yamamoto. Brinson is the big one, as he was Milwaukee’s top-rated prospect. I actually think the haul the Marlins got for Yelich was better than the one they got for Giancarlo Stanton if I’m being completely honest.


As for Lorenzo Cain, he returns to the team that originally drafted him in the 17th round of the 2004 MLB Draft. Cain had been a part of the Brewers organization for about 6-7 years before being the centerpiece of their blockbuster trade for Zack Greinke from the Royals in 2011. Cain was a big part of the back-to-back AL champion Royals teams in 2014 and 2015, the latter of which culminated in a World Series championship. He was their 3-hole hitter and finished third in the AL MVP voting in 2015. In 2017, Cain hit an even .300 with 15 home runs, 49 RBI, and stole 26 bases while sporting a .363 OBP and .440 SLG. He also had 5 DRS in centerfield, which was actually the lowest of his career (he’s had as good as 18 DRS in 2013) and finished with a WAR of 4.1.


Christian Yelich is one of the brightest young stars in the majors, as he was the 3-hole hitter for Team USA’s World Baseball Classic championship-winning team and traditionally batted at the top half of a Marlins lineup that featured the likes of Giancarlo Stanton and Marcell Ozuna. Yelich had another strong season in 2017 as he hit .282 with 18 home runs and 81 RBI and stole 16 bases. He reached base at a .369 clip and slugged .439. He had a DRS of -6 in centerfield this season however he’s shown that he’s significantly above average as a defender in left, as he had a DRS of 13 in both 2013 and 2014. He ended up being worth 4.5 WAR for the Marlins. Let’s take a look at what the Brewers look like with their two new star outfielders.

1. Lorenzo Cain-CF

2. Eric Thames-1B

3. Christian Yelich-LF

4. Travis Shaw-3B

5. Domingo Santana/Ryan Braun-RF

6. Stephen Vogt-C

7. Orlando Arcia-SS

8. Eric Sogard-2B

9. Pitcher’s Spot

That has the potential to be a DEADLY lineup, especially if guys like Thames and Shaw can replicate their breakout 2017 performances. Based on this lineup, I think the Brewers can compete with the Cubs for the NL Central title. They’re going to need another pitcher if they REALLY want to show it, though. Aside from Jimmy Nelson there isn’t much in the Brewers rotation and we can’t even be 100% sure that Nelson wasn’t a fluke last season.

As for the Marlins, after trading Yelich, they have officially traded all three of their stud outfielders. First it was Giancarlo Stanton to the Yankees for a washing machine, then it was Marcell Ozuna to the Cardinals for some solid prospects, and now Yelich to the Brewers for the best prospects they had to offer. And people forget they also traded Dee Gordon to the Mariners a while back. However this team now has the looks of a unit that anticipates finishing last in the NL East, maybe even all of baseball. Here’s how they look without their three star outfielders.

1. Starlin Castro-2B

2. Martin Prado-3B

3. JT Realmuto-C

4. Justin Bour-1B

5. Derek Dietrich-LF

6. JT Riddle/Miguel Rojas-SS

7. Lewis Brinson-CF

8. Magneuris Sierra-RF

9. Pitcher’s Spot

Two of the prospects they acquired in their trades, Brinson and Sierra, are now the two best outfielders they have to offer. I took the liberty of putting Dietrich in left since he’s kind of a super utility guy. Plus JT Realmuto has said that he wants out and so has Starlin Castro even though he hasn’t played a game for the Marlins yet, mainly because he doesn’t want to be part of another rebuild like he was with the Cubs. Reportedly the Nationals are interested in Realmuto, I haven’t heard anything on Castro. But yeah, I don’t anticipate this team winning very many games in 2018.

As for the Royals, Cain was likely the first domino to fall amongst their core from their 2015 World Series championship team. Eric Hosmer, Mike Moustakas, and to a lesser extent Alcides Escobar are all likely to sign elsewhere, basically leaving Salvador Perez and Alex Gordon all by themselves. Here’s what the Royals look like, assuming they can’t resign any of these guys.

1. Billy Burns-CF

2. Cheslor Cuthbert-3B

3. Alex Gordon-LF

4. Salvador Perez-C

5. Paulo Orlando-RF

6. Brandon Moss-1B

7. Jorge Soler-DH

8. Whit Merrifield-2B

9. Raul Mondesi-SS

Of course, this is assuming none of the other guys return. Reportedly the Royals have made a pretty good offer to Eric Hosmer. But as it stands right now, this is how they look heading into the 2018 season. Not great. It wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest if this team finished last in the AL, just like the Marlins in the NL. The worst part about Cain leaving is that it was through free agency so the Royals couldn’t even get anything in return for him. Though I’m sure the World Series victory will be fine for an organization that historically isn’t used to a whole lot of winning.

But yeah, thank you Brewers for igniting some life into this offseason. I’ve said this several times and it’s never seemed to work, but hopefully this knocked over the first domino and now others will fall in behind them. Looking at you, JD Martinez and basically every pitcher on the market.

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