NFL Picks: Week 17

Last Week: 13-3                 Season Record: 136-73

The regular season finale of my NFL Picks. This will likely be the hardest week to pick since the early season picks (you may remember those as the ones where I would consistently whiff horribly, including one week where I only hit on a single 1:00 game) because a lot of teams could be either resting their guys for the playoffs, or have nothing to lose and will try and play some young guys to see what they can do. Wouldn’t shock me if this week ends poorly for me. Not that I’m trying to use that as an excuse for bad picks or anything…

Detroit Lions (8-7) vs Green Bay Packers (7-8)

Two teams whose seasons will not be ending the way they had hoped. The Lions and Packers both had promising seasons as they each got off to good starts in the first quarter or so of the year. However the Packers’ season was basically canned the minute Anthony Barr landed on Aaron Rodgers’ collarbone and the Lions would shoot themselves in the foot with untimely poor play. This could potentially be Brett Hundley’s final audition should a QB-needy team become desperate and try to acquire his services. I think he plays with a little extra fire in him and leads the Packers to victory.

Projected Score: Packers 27 Lions 20

Houston Texans (4-11) vs Indianapolis Colts (3-12)

Like the Packers, the Colts’ season was over the minute Andrew Luck’s injury was discovered to be serious and wound up costing him his season. The Colts out of desperation acquired Jacoby Brissett from the Patriots in exchange for disappointing receiver Philip Dorsett, who has played sparingly for New England. Brissett played about as well as one could expect given how little time he had to learn the playbook, but the Colts struggled mightily in what may be the final season in Indy for Chuck Pagano. However, the Texans have also had a season from Hell, as injuries ravaged this young team. I actually think the Colts will win this game, though. This is really just a gut feeling.

Projected Score: Colts 21 Texans 13

Chicago Bears (5-10) vs Minnesota Vikings (12-3)

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If the Vikings win this game, they will lock up the 2 seed in the NFC and a first round bye with a home game in the divisional round at the very least, so there’s still plenty to play for here. For the Bears, this season went about the way I expected it to, as they’re under .500 but not so bad that they can be deemed an embarrassment. Mitchell Trubisky has shown some flashes of a potentially solid career and I think the Bears would be wise to try and let him loose this week to see what he can achieve. What have you got to lose? However whether they make that call or not, I still believe that the Vikings will win. They’re just that much better than the Bears.

Projected Score: Vikings 31 Bears 17

New York Jets (5-10) vs New England Patriots (12-3)

The Jets seem to always play the Patriots hard and they nearly came out with a win several weeks ago (that weird Austin Seferian-Jenkins non-touchdown is still one of the more bizarre things to happen this season). The Patriots still have the 1 seed to play for, which they will obtain with a victory. The Patriots were in basically an identical situation last year and they put the beatdown on the Dolphins, so I expect a similar approach this year. The Jets have really outperformed their talent this year, so much so it earned head coach Todd Bowles an extension. However they still aren’t on the Patriots’ level.

Projected Score: Patriots 34 Jets 13

Washington Redskins (7-8) vs New York Giants (2-13)

I’m so glad I didn’t have this blog up at the start of the season in time for NFL season predictions because I do not want to have any sort of record of me thinking the Giants were going to win the NFC East this year. Thank God for small miracles. The Giants will start Eli Manning, however since Geno Smith will be inactive, I think they will give Davis Webb a chance at some point to show what he can do. I don’t think it will be enough for them to beat the Redskins, though. They gave up on this year a long time ago.

Projected Score: Redskins 30 Giants 10

Dallas Cowboys (8-7) vs Philadelphia Eagles (13-2)

The Eagles have already locked up the 1 seed in the NFC and the Cowboys were eliminated from the playoffs with their loss to the Seahawks on Christmas Eve, so there really isn’t anything to gain from this game. I think the Eagles will play their starters for a little bit just to keep them warm and the Cowboys will try and end this disappointing season on a high note. I’m picking the Cowboys to win this game.

Projected Score: Cowboys 20 Eagles 16

Cleveland Browns (0-15) vs Pittsburgh Steelers (12-3)

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Sorry, Browns fans, I don’t see this one happening, which really hurts to say because I hate seeing teams go winless. It sucked seeing it happen to the Lions in 2008 and it’s going to suck this year. Which is a shame, too, because I think there are some talented pieces in Cleveland. The Steelers are playing for a shot at the one seed so I don’t envision them holding back.

Projected Score: Steelers 35 Browns 7

Carolina Panthers (11-4) vs Atlanta Falcons (9-6)

This is an extremely important game for both teams. For the Panthers, they have a shot at a division title and possibly a first round bye with a win, wild card game with a loss. Meanwhile the Falcons are in the playoffs with a win while their future will be uncertain with a loss. It will depend on what happens with the Seahawks. I think the Falcons will win this game, though. I think they’ve got just a tad bit more incentive than the Panthers, which can go a long way for a team on the bubble.

Projected Score: Falcons 24 Panthers 20

Cincinnati Bengals (6-9) vs Baltimore Ravens (9-6)

The Ravens are in perhaps the best situation of the four teams vying for the final two Wild Card spots in the AFC. A win and they’re the 5 seed, however a loss could eliminate them depending on what happens with the Titans, Chargers, and Bills. The Bengals’ season is over and Marvin Lewis’ tenure in Cincinnati will pretty much be over after this game. I’ve got the Ravens taking care of business and returning to the postseason.

Projected Score: Ravens 28 Bengals 17

Buffalo Bills (8-7) vs Miami Dolphins (6-9)

The Bills need a win and some help in order to make the playoffs. In order to get in for the first time in the 21st century, they will need to win and 2 out of the 3 teams they’re competing with to lose, that being the Ravens, Titans, and Chargers. There’s still a chance, but their odds are the lowest of the four. I do think they will do their part and beat Miami, though. But I think Miami will give them a fight. This team has struck me as the type that will enjoy playing the role of spoiler.

Projected Score: Bills 17 Dolphins 13

New Orleans Saints (11-4) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-11)

at Mercedes-Benz Superdome on December 24, 2017 in New Orleans, Louisiana.

The Saints clinch their division with a win, as they hold the tie breaker over the Panthers. The Buccaneers have been a major disappointment this season, though reports are that head coach Dirk Koetter will be retained for next season, as I had suggested in my head coach hot seat blog. It may end up being next year that the Buccaneers take that next step, but this game will be about trying to salvage what you can out of a lost season. I think the Saints will win and clinch the NFC South.

Projected Score: Saints 38 Buccaneers 20

Jacksonville Jaguars (10-5) vs Tennessee Titans (8-7)

If the Titans win, then they’re in. The Jaguars have nothing to gain from this game, as they’re already locked into the 3 seed, so if I’m head coach Doug Marrone, I’m considering resting my star players in preparation for the playoffs, which very easily could be a rematch against this very Titans team. Despite the Titans having everything to lose in this game, I do think the Jaguars will pull this one out despite not utilizing all of their talent. Just a hunch.

Projected Score: Jaguars 34 Titans 27

Kansas City Chiefs (9-6) vs Denver Broncos (5-10)

Both teams will be starting their young quarterbacks in this game. Since the Chiefs have nothing to gain, as they’re locked into the 4 seed, Andy Reid will be starting rookie first rounder Pat Mahomes to give Alex Smith some rest. The Broncos will be going with Paxton Lynch in a last ditch effort to see if he’s going to be worth waiting on. The former first rounder really hasn’t shown much, if anything in his two years in the league and this game could be extremely important in establishing confidence in him for the future. If not, I expect the Broncos to be a team to watch for in the 2018 Draft. I think Mahomes will do okay overall, as I believe he will make a few throws that will show you why he was the 10th pick in the draft. However I actually think the Broncos will win this due to the fact the Chiefs will be going half-staffed, so to speak.

Projected Score: Broncos 17 Chiefs 10

Oakland Raiders (6-9) vs Los Angeles Chargers (8-7)

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The Raiders were the preseason darlings of the AFC after a stellar 2016 season, however things just haven’t gone their way in 2017. I think they need to look to improve their defense in the offseason. The Chargers have a chance to make the playoffs after starting the year 0-4, which if things go the way my blog predicts, they’ll have an opportunity to do with a win, considering I predicted the Titans to lose. I think for that reason, the Chargers will get the job done and will get into the playoffs with a win over the Raiders.

Projected Score: Chargers 28 Raiders 24

San Francisco 49ers (5-10) vs Los Angeles Rams (11-4)

Last week I predicted the Jaguars would be Jimmy Garoppolo’s undoing. Then he went and dropped 44 on them. The Rams also boast a tough defense with the potential to throw him off his game, but after what he did to Jacksonville, I’m not so sure they’ll be able to do it, especially considering the Rams have already locked up the NFC West. Offensively the Rams have been an absolute revelation this season and they’ve been really fun to watch under Sean McVay, who could very easily win coach of the year. I do have the Rams winning, though. However Jimmy G will probably make me look dumb for saying so.

Projected Score: Rams 27 49ers 24

Arizona Cardinals (7-8) vs Seattle Seahawks (9-6)

There are no primetime games this week so this here is essentially the final game of the regular season. If I weren’t working, I’d be living on NFL Red Zone all day, as every single game will be featured on it. Based on what I have happening, the Seahawks will have already been eliminated before this game even starts, as I predicted the Falcons to win. However, if the Panthers wind up beating the Falcons, then a win would clinch a playoff berth for the Seahawks. I think they will win regardless, though, and be the casualties of what has been a very tough NFC this year.

Projected Score: Seahawks 28 Cardinals 21

That’s it for my regular season NFL picks. The first week of the New Year will be my end-of-year series for the NFL, which will be something similar to what I did with the MLB season. I can’t promise that will start New Year’s Day, though. Pretty much from 11 am until sometime after midnight on New Year’s Day I will be busy. I’d give it a 25% chance of there being a blog. Please leave a comment below or hit me up on Facebook or Twitter @jimwyman10 and contribute to my Patreon. Happy New Year everybody.

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